Image: Returns Following the Trump Victory

To download the table for easier viewing, please select the link . Financials: Trump’s Treasury Secretary choice Steven Mnuchin wants to repeal most of the burdensome Dodd-Frank legislation. A steepening yield curve is helping banks and may drive improved net interest margins in coming periods. Goldman Sachs is ripping higher, leading the Dow’s charge.   Crude Oil: The world is moving to a better balance in supply/demand dynamics in the energy markets. OPEC is talking, has agreed to cuts, and expectations for improved economic growth are helping energy resource pricing. High-beta companies such as Continental Resources are rallying hard.   Energy: Capital spending cuts are bolstering free cash flow in the upstream space as energy resource pricing improves. Reduced regulations could help … Read more

Valuentum Weekly Web Commentary

Stocks mentioned in this edition: Airbus (EADSY), Anthem (ANTM), Boeing (BA), Canada Pacific (CP), Chipotle (CMG), Cigna (CI), CSX (CSX), International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF), Lockheed Martin (LMT), NextEra (NEE), Rockwell Collins (COL), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Ulta Salon (ULTA), Union Pacific (UNP), UnitedHealth (UNH), Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU), Vulcan Materials (VMC), W. W. Grainger (GWW) Chipotle Not Showing Signs Of Recovery What we originally believed to be a transient issue has turned into an extended public relations nightmare for fast-casual restaurant chain Chipotle (CMG). Though we do not necessarily question the safety of its food, we view its brand as damaged and the potential reward that would come along with a return to favor in the … Read more

Seeking Balance: What’s Happening in the Crude Oil and Iron Ore Markets

Image Source: Sollven Melindo Commodity prices are notoriously volatile as the global markets often struggle to maintain a sustainable balance of supply-demand. Let’s take a look at some recent developments and coming events that are impacting the prices of crude oil and iron ore. By Kris Rosemann We’re not rushing to add any commodity-based exposure at the moment. We have some of course – but we’re not looking to add more to the newsletter portfolios. For starters, the iron ore pricing market appears to be setting itself up for another period of pain, and we’re preaching serious levels of caution for those considering the space as iron-ore prices have already begun to descend from the peak of the puzzling early-2017 … Read more

Steel Dynamics Bets Big on North America’s Industrial Economy

Image Source: Steel Dynamics Inc – June 2020 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Investor sentiment towards the steel industry is rebounding as the medium- and long-term outlook for global industrial activity has improved markedly since March 2020. The ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic has significantly hampered near-term industrial activity, though major fiscal stimulus packages (made feasible through major monetary stimulus programs) launched in various developed nations could provide some relief. Shares of Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD) have recovered meaningfully since their March 2020 lows and are trading a tad below our fair value estimate as of this writing. Shares of STLD yield ~3.6% on an annualized forward-looking basis as of this writing and we give the steel maker a Dividend Cushion … Read more