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Seeking Balance: What’s Happening in the Crude Oil and Iron Ore Markets

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Image Source: Sollven Melindo Commodity prices are notoriously volatile as the global markets often struggle to maintain a sustainable balance of supply-demand. Let’s take a look at some recent developments and coming events that are impacting the prices of crude oil and iron ore. By Kris Rosemann We’re not rushing to add any commodity-based exposure at the moment. We have some of course – but we’re not looking to add more to the newsletter portfolios. For starters, the iron ore pricing market appears to be setting itself up for another period of pain, and we’re preaching serious levels of caution for those considering the space as iron-ore prices have already begun to descend from the peak of the puzzling early-2017 … Read more

Analyzing Chevron and Important Updates in the Global Energy Industry

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Image Source: Chevron Corporation – November 2019 IR Presentation Summary In this note, let’s cover the current state of raw energy resource prices in North America and around the world. We’ll analyze Chevron’s 2020 capital investment and exploration budget, in particular, and the global energy industry at-large. Shares of CVX appear generously valued as of this writing given the numerous headwinds facing the energy industry going forward. By Callum Turcan The world of oil and gas equities has been battling with persistently low raw energy resource prices for some time now. Back in the middle of 2014, a barrel of light sweet crude delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma (home of the West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, benchmark), would fetch over $100. Now … Read more

Chevron Investing in Biofuels and Hydrogen

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Image Source: Chevron Corporation – August 2021 IR Presentation On June 27, 2021 (link here), we added Chevron Corporation (CVX) as an idea to both the Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios. We are huge fans of the energy giant’s capital appreciation potential, with our fair value estimate standing at $115 per share of CVX, well above where Chevron is trading at as of this writing. Additionally, we are huge fans of Chevron’s dividend growth potential in the wake of the recovery seen in raw energy resources pricing year-to-date. Shares of CVX yield ~5.6% as of this writing, and we expect Chevron will steadily grow its payout going forward, aided by its promising free cash flow growth trajectory. … Read more

Valuentum’s Comprehensive Outlook for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices

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Let’s take a deep dive into the energy sector. The best dividend growth ideas, the most likely takeout candidates and more…

Why Natural Gas Prices are So Low and Will Likely Remain So for Some Time

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ICYMI: Exxon Mobil’s Bright Growth Outlook

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This article originally appeared on our website December 8, 2021. Image Source: Exxon Mobil Corporation – December 2021 IR Presentation By Callum Turcan At the start of December 2021, Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) laid out its longer term strategy for the 2020s decade. We are going to cover that outlook, the state of the global energy complex, Exxon Mobil’s stellar and improving financial position, and what to expect going forward. Exxon Mobil is a tremendous enterprise and one of our favorite energy names out there. Outlook Overview The company noted in its early-December update that its capital expenditures would come in around ~$20-$25 billion from 2022-2027. Its investments are focused on its operations in the Permian Basin, Guyana, Brazil, its … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week October 30

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending October 30. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AbbVie (ABBV): now $1.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.18. Agnico Eagle (AEM): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Amkor Technology (AMKR): now $0.04 per share quarterly dividend. Arbor Realty Trust (ABR): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.31. Artisan Partners Asset Management (APAM): now $0.83 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.67. B. Riley Financial (RILY): now $0.375 per share quarterly dividend, was … Read more

Energy Sector In Shambles, Looks to Recover But Headwinds Persist

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Image Source: ConocoPhillips – November 2019 Analyst and Investor Meeting IR Presentation Executive Summary: Though raw energy resource pricing is on the rebound, the outlook for the oil and gas industry remains stressed. Global demand for oil and related refined petroleum products remains subdued due to headwinds generated by the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. The OPEC+ oil cartel has responded by pledging to keep a significant amount of oil output off the market for an extended time. However, raw energy resource prices need to go much higher and be sustained at elevated levels before the space could become attractive from a longer-term perspective. In our view, the US upstream industry (specifically those in the shale patch) need WTI to move … Read more

Worst in Energy Not Over, Stay Away from Leveraged Enterprises, Seeds of Financial Crisis Sown?

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Image Shown: The energy and banking markets continue to be experiencing pain. Since we removed the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) and Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) from the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, the XLE has fallen more than 50% and the XLF has fallen 13%, while the SPY has held up roughly 2%. We continue to believe staying away from energy and financials/banks will be a source of significant alpha. These are challenging times. The oil price swoon has complicated an already-dire situation with COVID-19. We’re seeing cracks in the credit markets, and the European banking system is far from healthy. The US banks may face knock-on impacts from energy loan defaults and hold … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week April 30

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 30. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Altra Industrial Motion (AIMC): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Ameriprise Financial (AMP): now $1.13 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.04. American Water Works (AWK): now $0.6025 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.5500. Ames National (ATLO): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Apple (AAPL): now $0.22 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more