NKE

Thank you…

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Earlier this week, I received an email from a colleague and valued member of our services. I wanted to share it here for others to read. I haven’t included his name, but if he wants me to, I can add it in. It is filled with wisdom, experience and kindness. And it really made my year to read his words. The Valuentum community, I believe, is the best community of investors out there. Sir, if you do happen to read your own email on our site, we very much have appreciated your feedback, and we hope to continue to live up to your praises. We are dedicated, and our team has been rejuvenated by your words. … Read more

Nike’s Earnings Expansion Will Continue to Be Challenged

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On Thursday, Nike (NKE) reported strong fiscal second-quarter results. Revenue expanded 8% during the period (9% on a currency neutral basis), while diluted earnings per share from continuing operations nudged 4% higher, to $0.59 per share. Sales at its Nike brand expanded in every product type, geography and key category. Sales in its Converse brand advanced 11% on a currency-neutral basis thanks to strong performance in its largest owned markets. Though we liked that gross margins advanced 140 basis points in the period thanks to a mix of higher-margin products, higher prices, and lower input costs, selling and administrative expenses leapt 14%, exceeding the pace of revenue growth. Earnings before interest and taxes for the three months ended November 30, … Read more

PLG Brands Continues to Drive Wolverine Worldwide

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Shoe seller Wolverine Worldwide (click ticker for report: ) posted strong third-quarter results driven largely by former Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Collective Brands’ PLG brands. Revenue surged 9% year-over-year on a pro forma basis and more than doubled on a year-over-year reported basis, to $717 million (modestly exceeding consensus estimates). Earnings per share were even stronger, rising 61% year-over-year to $1.16 (excluding acquisition costs) and coming in handily above consensus expectations. Year-to-date, the company has generated $96.2 million in free cash flow, equal to 5% of total revenue. Image Source: Wolverine Worldwide Wolverine’s ‘Lifestyle’ and ‘Performance’ groups were the drivers behind revenue expansion during the quarter as the company continues to capitalize on the success of recently-acquired Sperry Top-Sider … Read more

Nike Marks a Strong Start to Earnings Season

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After becoming the newest member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, athletic apparel giant Nike (click ticker for report: ) posted a fantastic start to its 2014 fiscal year. First quarter revenue jumped 8% year-over-year to $7 billion, roughly in-line with consensus estimates. Earnings per share, on the other hand, soared past consensus expectations, growing 37% year-over-year to $0.86. Free cash flow totaled $379 million, equal to 5.4% of net revenue. Product Demand Remains Robust The primary reason behind Nike’s continued strength in the athletic apparel space is the robust demand for its products. The firm continues to innovate, particularly in the running and basketball spaces, and the innovations helped demand remain strong across all geographies. Revenue in North America, … Read more

Samsung’s Smartwatch Underwhelms

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The day many had been waiting for in tech came Wednesday morning as Samsung unveiled its long-rumored smartwatch, dubbed the “Galaxy Gear,” to the public. The Galaxy Gear acts as a compliment to a smartphone, allowing users to check text messages, phone calls, and e-mails, as well as set alarms, run apps, and check the weather. The smartwatch will supposedly integrate seamlessly with the upcoming Galaxy Note III, and it will retail for $300. The Market Isn’t Big Enough at Launch Our first issue with the Galaxy Gear is the miniscule addressable market at launch. Though the device will eventually be compatible with the Galaxy S IV and other Samsung smartphones, it will only work with the Note III at … Read more

Is the Worst Behind China?

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Summer was not very kind to the Chinese economy. We’ve seen the country hit by concerns of credit overexpansion, as well as negative manufacturing data and declining exports. On top of macro issues, companies that usually prosper in China like Nike (click ticker for report: ) and Yum! Brands (click ticker for report: ) posted weak results. However, after bottoming out at 47.7 during July, the HSBC China Manufacturing PMI compiled by Markit turned modestly positive at 50.1 during the month of August (anything above 50 represents expansion). Industry destocking appears to be mostly completed, and manufacturers are receiving more new orders. HSBC’s lead Asian economist Hongbin Qu implied the economy had bottomed, saying in the press release: “The final … Read more

Strength in Footwear Persists

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Shoe retailers DSW (click ticker for report: ) and Brown Shoe Company (BWS) posted better-than-expected second-quarter results. DSW On Tuesday, DSW’s second-quarter release revealed that its sales surged 9.7% year-over-year to $562 million, easily exceeding consensus expectations. Earnings per share adjusted for luxury testing and the termination of Retail Venture Inc’s pension plan increased 47% year-over-year, to $0.97. Image Source: Valuentum, Company Filings After same-store sales slipped 2.4% during the first quarter, DSW returned to growth in the second quarter, with same-store sales 4.4% higher than the same period a year ago, re-accelerating the two-year comp trend (8.6%). Not only has DSW added some new merchandise to stores with necklaces and other small accessories, but management pointed to strength in … Read more

Foot Locker’s Revenue Growth Slows; Will Hicks Leave?

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Athletic footwear retailer Foot Locker (click ticker for report: ) posted second quarter results Friday that were largely in-line with expectations. Revenue increased 6.4% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, in-line with consensus estimates. Earnings per share excluding the integration of Runners Point Group increased 21% year-over-year to $0.46, a penny below consensus expectations but not much of a disappointment. Same-store Sales Growth Decelerating… Source: Valuentum, Company Filings Foot Locker’s same-store sales increased only 1.8% year-over-year, down dramatically from the growth in excess of 5% we’ve seen from the retailer since the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Revenue growth at existing stores becomes more difficult since comp sales growth has been so strong during the past few years. We don’t think Foot … Read more

Mixed Second Quarter Results Across Retail

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Tuesday morning, a variety of retailers reported calendar second quarter results that were decidedly mixed. Let’s take a deeper look. TJX Companies TJX Companies (click ticker for report: ) posted second quarter results marked by top and bottom line expansion. Revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $6.4 billion with same-store sales growth of 4% while earnings per share improved 18% year-over-year to $0.66 per share. Both metrics exceeded consensus expectations. Year-to-date, the firm has generated free cash flow of $314 million, equal to 2% of total revenue. Though the company has 3,119 locations worldwide, the company continues to experience stable comparable same-store sales (“comp”) growth. TJX’s 2-year stacked comp has consistently hovered around 10-11% during the past four quarters. Source: Valuentum, … Read more

Icahn Reignites Apple

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Shares of Best Ideas portfolio and Dividend Growth portfolio holding Apple (click ticker for report: ) showed considerable relative strength following solid third quarter results July 24. Pricing momentum was augmented when legendary money manager Carl Icahn (or iCahn) sent out a series of tweets about the tech giant on August 13. iCahn Moves the Market Icahn needs no introduction, as he boasts a rumored net worth in excess of $20 billion, has engaged in numerous high-profile corporate battles (US Steel, Dell, TWA), and without question is considered one of the greatest money managers of his era. When Icahn speaks (or tweets), markets listen. While Icahn’s presence as an Apple shareholder has little, if any, fundamental change on the company, his … Read more