MORL

Mortgage REITs Still Dangerous Income Vehicles

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Image: Since late May 2013, mortgage REITs, as measured by the iShares Trust Mortgage Real Estate ETF (REM), middle, have fallen more than 20%, while the master limited partnership space, as measured by the Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP), has fallen by nearly 45%, bottom. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (SPY) has rallied more than 75%, all on a price-basis, top.  By Brian Nelson, CFA There’s nothing “safe” about mortgage REITs (REM). The industry caught a lot of attention with the high-profile performance of some of the larger players, including AGNC Investment (AGNC) and Annaly Capital (NLY), in years past, but the hype has fizzled out. Not only has the mortgage REIT industry vastly underperformed a broad market benchmark such as the … Read more

Risks Remain Prevalent For Mortgage REITs

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Image shown: Mortgage REITs have held up better than master limited partnerships (MLPs) since mid-2015, but they haven’t exactly done well. For income investors, they may be the lesser of the two pain areas, but we’re still not really excited about them. By Kris Rosemann “The fundamental point remains sound: these are highly-levered, risky entities that depend on a number of factors beyond their control to generate profits.” – Kris Rosemann The Yield Curve Curve Is A Key Driver The mortgage REIT (mREIT) industry is not easy for many to understand, and even a great understanding of the space may not lead to investment success either. Many have stated that this area is not one in which individual investors should … Read more

Podcast: The Hazards of Mortgage REITs

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President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks mortgage REITs and the concept of spread risk that may lead to steep book value declines and weakened dividend health across the industry. ~5 mins. If you cannot view the video below, please view the transcript that follows or select the link here. Kris Rosemann: Hi, I am Kris Rosemann for Valuentum Securities. Today on our podcast President of Investment Research Brian Nelson is going walk us through some of our thoughts on mortgage REITs (REM). Brian could you explain to us why we at Valuentum don’t like mortgage REITs and maybe go through some of the risks individual investors should be concerned with that are not as prevalent as a normal operating … Read more

Valuentum Strives To Be the Gold Standard in Equity Research

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This article was originally published July 17, 2013. Valuentum’s Best Ideas portfolio and Dividend Growth portfolio continue to exceed their respective goals, but the firm’s research on the mortgage REIT industry has put it in a class by itself. In this article, please find a graphic portrayal of its call on the mREIT industry. Maxim, KBW, RBC, Edward Jones, Seeking Alpha, Wunderlich, Citi, Evercore, and JP Morgan were all behind the curve. Will still more research shops come around? 1)    September 13, 2012. 2)    May 6, 2013. 3)    May 6, 2013. http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2013/05/06/mortgage-reit-funds-in-focus-jefferies-says-investors-underestimate-mreit-risks/ 4)    May 26, 2013. /20130526_1 5)    May 30, 2013. http://www.thestreet.com/story/11937184/1/mortgage-reit-sell-off-overdone-on-rate-fears-kbw-rbc.html?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO 6)    June 7, 2013. http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/agnc/currents/2 7)    June 24, 2013. http://seekingalpha.com/article/1515952-american-capital-agency-corp-book-value-resilience-in-the-face-of-rates-back-up 8)    July 8, 2013. http://www.analystratings.net/ratings/Downgrades/7-8-2013/ 9)    July 9, … Read more