EVEP

Nelson’s Quick Thoughts on Midstream Energy MLPs

by

Image Source: Roy Luck Nelson’s Take We continue to be quite cautious on the midstream MLP business model (AMLP), including Energy Transfer Partners’ (ETP), given its extreme capital-market dependency (i.e. the continuous need for new equity and debt capital), and we maintain our view that the group is 1) inextricably tied to energy resource pricing, if not directly (5%-10%) than indirectly through the financial health of their upstream customer bases and 2) the credit markets via ongoing project-financing requirements and outsize debt loads. Many in the group continue to be capital-intensive, highly-leveraged entities that have little cash cushions on the books to handle exogenous shocks. Most, if not all, generate traditional free cash flow (CFO less all capex) shortfalls, after … Read more

A Little Optimization To Maximize The Value

by

We continue to help readers find some of our best ideas for consideration, and some of the companies in this article didn’t make the cut for our long-term perspective. We’re allocating resources elsewhere. Clean Diesel Tech (CDTI) Clean Diesel Tech is a leading global manufacturer and distributor of emissions control systems and products to the automotive and heavy duty diesel markets. Clean Diesel Tech is a leading global manufacturer and distributor of emissions control systems and products to the automotive and heavy duty diesel markets. It uses patented technology to reduce emissions and lower the carbon intensity of engine applications. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in California. Clean Diesel Tech expects to realize a shit in … Read more

More First-Quarter Earnings Flying In: GM, Ford, Big Oil and More

by

Image Source: General Motors GM’s dividend yield and valuation opportunity are incredible, while Microsoft’s free cash flow generation and solid net cash position speak to tremendous dividend strength. We liked what we saw out of Union Pacific during the first quarter, and you have to be aware of Big Oil’s bloated balance sheets. All of this and more included in this piece. By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s puzzling to think about, but with the first-quarter 2017 US GDP print today, April 28, coming in at just 0.7%, below expectations, one wouldn’t think the stock market is near all-time highs. Interestingly, in the report, too, the weakest area came from real consumer spending, which registered a pace of growth as poor … Read more

January 5-9: The Week That Was – Drowning in Crude

by

By Brian Nelson, CFA The first full week of 2015 was a wild one! Monday and Tuesday brought some hefty losses to the indices, but the middle of the week helped recover most of the ground, only to give some of it back Friday. When all was said and done, however, the S&P 500 still closed comfortably above 2040, a huge leap from just 5-6 years ago. We’re still enjoying the good times, with economic data still coming in relatively sanguine. Like a frog in water, the markets are just waiting for the next shoe to drop, and the Federal Reserve is doing all that it can to assure investors that the Yellen-put is there to prop up the markets should … Read more

Seeking Balance: What’s Happening in the Crude Oil and Iron Ore Markets

by

Image Source: Sollven Melindo Commodity prices are notoriously volatile as the global markets often struggle to maintain a sustainable balance of supply-demand. Let’s take a look at some recent developments and coming events that are impacting the prices of crude oil and iron ore. By Kris Rosemann We’re not rushing to add any commodity-based exposure at the moment. We have some of course – but we’re not looking to add more to the newsletter portfolios. For starters, the iron ore pricing market appears to be setting itself up for another period of pain, and we’re preaching serious levels of caution for those considering the space as iron-ore prices have already begun to descend from the peak of the puzzling early-2017 … Read more