Delta Delivers Most Profitable December Quarter in Its History

Image Source: Colin Brown By Brian Nelson, CFA On January 10, Delta Air Lines (DAL) posted fourth quarter 2024 results that beat on both the top and bottom lines. Adjusted operating revenue increased 5.7% in the fourth quarter, and the firm leveraged the top line growth into 30.4% expansion in adjusted operating income. Its adjusted operating margin in the quarter hit 12% compared with 9.7% in the same period a year ago. Adjusted pre-tax income was 47% higher on a year over year basis, while its adjusted pre-tax margin reached 10.8% versus 7.8% in last year’s quarter. Adjusted net income increased 45.6%, while adjusted diluted earnings per share expanded to $1.85 in the quarter versus $1.74 consensus and $1.28 in last … Read more

Delta Air Lines Speaks of Industry Fare Pressures

Image Source: Colin Brown By Brian Nelson, CFA Delta Air Lines (DAL) reported disappointing second-quarter results on July 11 with both revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in lower than expected. The company put up record June quarter revenue, which reached $15.4 billion on an adjusted operating basis, up 5.4% from the same period a year ago, but the Street was looking for more. Earnings per share of $2.36 also missed the consensus forecast. Though airlines have largely rationalized capacity in recent years, fare pressures are starting to weigh on performance. We maintain our view that airlines are not long-term investments given their leverage to a cyclical economy and volatile jet fuel prices. Management had the following to say about … Read more

Delta Reports Strong March Quarter; Airline Stocks are Too Risky for Our Taste

Image Source: Colin Brown By Brian Nelson, CFA On April 10, Delta Air Lines (DAL) reported solid results for its quarter ending in March. On an adjusted basis, operating revenue came in at $12.6 billion (up 6%), while adjusted operating income came in at $640 million with an operating margin of 5.1%. Adjusted pre-tax income was $380 million, revealing a pre-tax margin of 3.0%. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.45 per share, while the company hauled in adjusted operating cash flow of $2.5 billion. Free cash flow was a robust $1.4 billion, while its adjusted debt to EBITDAR came in at 2.9x, down modestly from the end of 2023. Return on invested capital was 13.8% on a trailing … Read more

Boeing In Negative Headlines Again; Part of 737 Max Fuselage Blows Out During Commercial Flight

  Image: Boeing’s shares have been quite volatile the past couple years. By Brian Nelson, CFA On January 6, Boeing (BA) received some more bad news. Part of a fuselage installed on one of its new eight-week old 737 Max 9 aircraft blew out on an Alaska Airlines (ALK) flight. There were no reported injuries because of the mishap, but understandably passengers were undoubtedly shaken up. Some posted videos of the experience. Boeing had been working hard to get back on track with customer perception of the safety of its 737 MAX line-up, and we view the incident as yet another hiccup in the firm’s relations with the public. Key Boeing supplier Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) installed the part on the … Read more

Recent Data Indicates US Consumer Spending Holding Up Well, Online Sales Surging

Image Shown: As of this writing, the S&P 500 (SPY) appears ready to end 2020 on a high note, supported by the resilience of the US consumer. By Callum Turcan The ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic accelerated the shift towards e-commerce, and that change has long legs. Retailers that previously invested in their digital operations and omni-channel sales capabilities were able to capitalize on this shift while those that relied heavily on foot traffic were hurt badly. Numerous retailers went under in 2020 including J.C. Penney Company Inc (JCPNQ) and Neiman Marcus. Holiday season shopping data indicates that US consumer spending was frontloaded and grew modestly in 2020, aided by surging e-commerce sales, which advanced nearly 50% on a year-over-year basis. … Read more

Boeing’s Financials Are Absolutely Frightening

By Brian Nelson, CFA On November 18, 2020, Boeing (BA) announced that the US Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) withdrew its order that had grounded its 737-8s and 737-9s (737 MAX) that had been involved in two terrible accidents during the past few years, a Lion Air flight that killed 189 people and an Ethiopian Airlines jet crash that claimed the lives of 157 more. We’ll never forget these tragedies and the impact on the families and the aviation industry, more generally.   In January 2017, we had added Boeing to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, but we had removed it March 16, 2018, prior to the unfortunate and high-profile accidents that occurred several months after. During the short time it … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending September 1

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending September 1. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Andeavor (ANDV): now $0.59 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.55. Atlantica Yield (ABY): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Bank of America (BAC): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.075. Bank of Hawaii (BOH): now $0.52 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS): now CAD 0.79 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.76. Canadian Western Bank (CBWBF): now $0.24 … Read more

United’s Passenger Debacle An Immaterial Investment Consideration

Image Source: Business Insider  The major airlines in the US have done a fantastic job capitalizing on the ongoing upswing in air travel demand, but their economically-sensitive business models remain the most operationally-leveraged out of any industry group in our coverage. This should be investors’ biggest concern: A downturn in the global economy and competitive pricing pressures are far greater worries for investors than United’s recent passenger debacle. However, as with many news-oriented items (as opposed to materially-relevant, investment-related items), United’s misstep is making headlines in a big way. Though the footage in this article is appalling, investors in airline stocks have much more important things to worry about, in our view. By Brian Nelson, CFA The airline industry has … Read more

Warren Buffett Is Back Into Airlines, Should You?

Warren Buffett has changed his mind about airline stocks… In this 10-minute podcast, the Valuentum analyst team talks all about the hazards of the airline business model from substantial operating leverage to the risks of volatile jet fuel costs to bankruptcies and beyond. The team also highlights the long-term passenger growth prospects of the sector, and recent consolidation that has brewed a more optimistic tone from industry observers. To view Valuentum’s updated YouTube page, please see here. Ticckerized for airline-related equities around the globe. Brian Nelson, CFA: The worst sort of business is one that grows rapidly requires significant capital to engender the growth and then earns little or no money. Think airlines. There’s a durable competitive advantage that has proven … Read more