CBRL

Restaurant Traffic – What’s Going On?

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By Kris Rosemann What’s going on with restaurant stocks these days?  Sonic’s (SONC) announcement of preliminary results for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2016, ended August 31, has been the latest catalyst to drag the restaurant sector (BITE) lower due to it reporting “lower-than-expected traffic, reflecting lower consumer spending in restaurants and continued aggressive competitive activity.” Our newsletter portfolios have not been spared the pain as shares of Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Cracker Barrel (CBRL) have faced pressure since its fiscal fourth quarter report September 14, and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) has suffered as a result of the weak data as well. Sonic’s report was not the first we’ve been hearing of slowing consumer … Read more

Cracker Barrel Rocks Back on Weak Guidance

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By Kris Rosemann Cracker Barrel’s (CBRL) fiscal fourth quarter results, reported September 14, came in at reasonably solid levels, but as we know, what really matters in the market is what lies ahead. The firm reported revenue growth of 3.7% from the year-ago period, thanks to comparable store restaurant sales increasing 3.2% and comparable store retail sales growth of 3.5%. Though traffic fell 1.2% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter, such weakness was more than offset by a 4.4% increase in average check as the average menu price rose 2.4%. The quarter marked Cracker Barrel’s largest outperformance in sales and traffic of its casual dining peers in fiscal 2016 despite the drop in traffic, as restaurant chains in the US … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 3

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending June 3. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week American Tower (AMT): now $0.53 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.51. Broadcom (AVGO): now $0.50 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.49. Colliers International (CIGI): now C$0.05 per share semi-annual dividend, was C$0.04. Cracker Barrel (CBRL): now $1.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.10. Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT): now $0.105 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.085. First National Bank Alaska (FBAK): now $20.00 per share quarterly … Read more

Cracker Barrel Delivers Big Dividend

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Image Source: Eli Christman Well, how do you like that? Our favorite dividend growth restaurant idea, Cracker Barrel (CBRL), which was recently added to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio February 1, 2016, announced an impressive $3.25 per-share special dividend June 1, as it increased its quarterly payout 4.5%, to $1.15 per share ($4.60 on an annual basis, implying a forward dividend yield of 2.8%). Though many investors have pointed to McDonald’s (MCD) resurgence as the “story in retail,” we’re mighty pleased with what we’ve been seeing at the “old country store” and believe it to be a more resilient idea than the Golden Arches. Shares of Cracker Barrel surged June 1, breaching new all-time highs, and we’re expecting bigger things … Read more

Recent Add Cracker Barrel Surges Ahead; BHP Cuts

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February 23 was met with intense selling as investors digested news that the crude oil (USO) markets won’t become rational anytime soon. As we had outlined in our opening piece to the Best Ideas Newsletter a few days ago, “,” Saudi Arabia is not going to back down, and the Oil Minister of the member nation of OPEC even went so far as to say he “welcomes new additional supplies,” suggesting that the global glut of crude oil will continue for the foreseeable future. Commodity-oriented equities led the selling pressure. For those that have been reading our work for the past several months, none of this is new “news.” We’ve been warning about the risk for some time, and we … Read more

Market’s Swooning: Bye Bye Energy MLPs, Part II

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Things were ugly again during the trading session February 8, but you were expecting the weakness. There’s nothing surprising, and we continue to wait to scoop up undervalued gems once the tide of this market turns. Topping the news today was the abrupt replacement of the CFO of Energy Transfer Equity (ETE)/Energy Transfer Partners (ETP) coupled with the sell-off in Chesapeake Energy (CHK) on news of a probable bankruptcy, which set the tone among midstream MLPs (AMLP), the index diving aggressively. Followers of Valuentum were far ahead of these developments, “Focus on ETE, Not ETP, Strive for Balance and Stick to the SEC Filings,””Alert: Energy Transfer Equity Is More than 7x Leveraged!,” “Energy MLPs Continue Swoon,” and our body of … Read more

Alerts: A Long-Time Favorite from the Bullpen and An Interest Rate Risk Hedge

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We’ve long appreciated the stand-out dividend strength characteristics of Cracker Barrel (CBRL) among the full-service restaurant space, and we see an opportunity to add the company to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio today (see page 5). We’ve outlined our case for Cracker Barrel in the past, “Free Cash Flow Feeds Cracker Barrel’s Dividend Growth,” and while we haven’t quite gotten our price just yet, we’re going to inch forward a bit with a small 1.5% position in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio at this time. The company yields a very nice ~3.4%, and its Dividend Cushion is solid for that high of a payout. One of the areas we’re expecting Cracker Barrel to surprise to the upside is the positive … Read more

What’s Working in Today’s Market?

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By Brian Nelson, CFA As emerging markets around the world suffer from commodity-price-led economic weakness, capital continues to find a safe-haven in US government bonds (TLT, TBT), but for those equity-oriented funds that mandate a fully-invested status, not something we’re particularly advocates of, assets within US equities have favored “lower-beta” utilities (XLU) and consumer staples (XLP) sectors while cyclically-dependent and credit-levered sectors such as the financials (XLF) and materials (XLB) have suffered thus far in 2016. The industrials (XLI) and energy (XLE) sectors have also encountered higher-than-normal selling pressure in the first few weeks of the New Year, as investors evaluate the global economic landscape and what a prolonged period of low energy prices may mean for the lowest quality … Read more

Seeking to De-risk the Newsletter Portfolios

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There’s never a good reason to panic in investing, but the 276-point slide in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) January 4, the worst start to a year since the credit crisis in 2008, reminded us why we hold more than a 30% cash position in both newsletter portfolios at the moment: with a US stock market still near all-time highs, we like having ample capital available to scoop up bargains as stocks inevitably give back some of their gains. The question for us is not whether the broader US stock market will decline from here but whether such a decline will be 10%, 20% or more. After all, the S&P 500 (SPY) has essentially tripled from the March 2009 … Read more

Free Cash Flow Feeds Cracker Barrel’s Dividend Growth

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We continue to believe balance-sheet strength and solid future free cash flow generation are the building blocks of any company’s dividend health. When looking for quality dividend ideas within the full-service restaurant space, a subset of the restaurant industry, it only makes sense, in our view, that dividend analysis should be rooted in balance sheet and free cash flow assessments, along with an evaluation of the sustainability of the business, itself. One of our favorite dividend growth ideas in the full-service restaurant space, Cracker Barrel (CBRL), reported its fiscal 2015 results September 16. We think it’s one we may add to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio at the right price. Our fair value is ~$130 per share. Many of you … Read more