BRK

Dow Fell 9.99%, Worst Point Drop in History, More Nibbling?

by

Dow Fell 9.99%, Worst Point Drop in History, More Nibbling? — Image: On March 12, 2020, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2,353 points, the most in its history, and the most in percentage terms since Black Monday in 1987. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 9.99% March 12, 2020, to 21,200.62. — From Value Trap: During the dark days of 2008 and 2009…where widespread and indiscriminate selling was prevalent, correlations among stock sectors rose considerably. According to data from Morningstar, average daily correlation over the trailing six months between individual stocks increased to 0.66 at the end of 2011 from just 0.10 in 1994. The average sector correlation for monthly returns on the S&P 500 index was 0.84 during the Financial Crisis … Read more

Buffett Makes Another “Unforced Error” in Airlines

by

Image Source: Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation By Callum Turcan The commercial passenger airline industry is nearly impossible, to downright impossible, to generate meaningful shareholder value in. Specifically as it relates to the US, since the Airline Deregulation Act of 1978 (which among other things allowed airlines to set their own routes without always needing to seek regulatory approval which in turn greatly increased competition, lowered fares, and saw a boom in travelers and miles traveled) various airlines have gone under (such as Pan Am in 1991 and Delta Air Lines (DAL) in 2005 along with others) as competitive advantages once created by government barriers no longer existed. This is true globally as well, as rising competition from private … Read more

Berkshire Reports 2019 Earnings

by

By Callum Turcan Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.A) (BRK.B) reported fourth quarter and full-year results on Saturday February 22, and we appreciate the firm’s performance across most of its business lines, keeping in mind that losses at its insurance-underwriting business during the fourth quarter weakened its company-wide performance. That being said, the insurance business can be volatile at times, which is why we appreciate Berkshire’s large railroad, utility, consumer goods, and other business segments. On the topic of Berkshire’s insurance-related exposure to the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic (which has since spread from China (FXI, MCHI, KWEB) to the rest of the world, shutting down economies in South Korea (EWY), Italy (EWI), and elsewhere), insurance firms fundamentally altered the structure of their policies after the … Read more

2019: Another Market Beating Year for the Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio!

by

2019: Another Market Beating Year for the Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio! — Summary: — We estimate thus far the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio return has beat the S&P 500 by 2.8 percentage points during 2019 (34.4% versus 31.6% for the S&P 500, as measured by the SPY). — Our move to overweight Apple, Facebook, and Visa worked out wonderfully for members during 2019. We continue to overweight big winners, and we credit this to our team’s conviction in our very best ideas. —  We also made quite the savvy move in rolling over a solid gain in Chipotle (60%+) into even more shares of Apple stock during the year. We’re putting some of the best ideas right in front of … Read more

Berkshire Hathaway Invests in RH, a Quality Company in Our View

by

Image Shown: RH now counts Berkshire Hathaway Inc as a shareholder, which saw shares of RH initially spike up on the news. By Callum Turcan In a recent regulatory filing, Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.A) (BRK.B) announced it had acquired a ~$0.2 billion stake in upscale home-furnishings company RH (RH), formerly known as Restoration Hardware Holdings, by initiating a position in the company’s equity. Please note RH does not pay out a common dividend at this time, indicating Berkshire Hathaway is seeking capital appreciation with this investment. Additionally, RH’s fiscal 2018 ended on February 2, 2019. Business Overview As of February 2, 2019, RH operated 86 galleries and showrooms across the US, Canada, and the UK. That includes galleries highlighting offerings … Read more

Top Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Holding Berkshire Hathaway Reports Solid Third Quarter Performance

by

Image Shown: Shares of Berkshire Hathaway Inc moved higher on Monday November 4 after reporting a decent third quarter 2019 earnings report on Saturday November 2. By Callum Turcan Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.A) (BRK.B) reported solid third quarter 2019 earnings on November 2, and we continue to like Berkshire Hathaway Class B shares as a top holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Our fair value estimate for BRK.B stands at $229 per share with room for upside, as the top end of our fair value estimate range sits at $275 per share. Third Quarter Overview We would like to highlight up front that Berkshire Hathaway’s underlying financial performance improved from the third quarter of 2018 to the same quarter … Read more

Buffett Favorite, Bank of America a Bargain

by

“If Bank of America can continue to narrow the return on capital gap to JPMorgan, we expect its shares will grow into our $35 fair value estimate.” — Matthew Warren By Matthew Warren and Brian Nelson, CFA On October 16, Bank of America (BAC) reported third-quarter results that showed adjusted EPS of 75 cents per share, as compared to the average analyst estimate of 68 cents per share, and 66 cents in the year-ago quarter. The adjustment was for the previously announced $2.1 billion pre-tax impairment charge related to Bank of America’s investment in its merchant services joint venture from 2009, which negatively impacted EPS by 19 cents per share. The bank plans to create this capability in-house going forward. … Read more

Covering Best Ideas Newsletter Holding Berkshire Hathaway

by

Image Source: Berkshire Hathaway Inc – 2018 Annual Report By Callum Turcan As a top holding in our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.A) (BRK.B) Class B shares have room to run in our view. Our fair value estimate for BRK.B stands at $229 per share, significantly higher than where shares are trading at as of this writing (~$204 per share). Please note Berkshire Hathaway does not pay out a common dividend at this time. Covering a Tricky Balance Sheet The conglomerate splits its operations into two; ‘Insurance and Other’ and ‘Railroad, Utilities, and Energy,’ with Berkshire Hathaway breaking down the financial performance of each segment when possible. Berkshire Hathaway’s ‘Insurance and Other’ segment had a large net … Read more

Jim Chanos Attacks DaVita and Throws Shade at Warren Buffett

by

Image Shown: DaVita Inc is a midsized kidney dialysis company with strong free cash flows. However, the company is coming under fire from famed short seller Jim Chanos who recently threw shade at Warren Buffett. Image Source: DaVita Inc – IR Presentation By Callum Turcan Fabled short seller Jim Chanos was in the news on September 19 when he announced he was short DaVita Inc (DVA), a kidney dialysis company, at the Delivering Alpha conference. What made this news particularly noteworthy comes down to Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.A) (BRK.B) having a significant stake in DaVita. We must stress here that Berkshire’s ~24% equity stake in DaVita’s outstanding shares isn’t needle moving; the stake is worth ~$2-2.5 billion. Warren Buffett didn’t … Read more

Berkshire Hathaway Gets Ready to Put Part of Its Large Cash Pile to Use

by

Image Source: Fortune Live Media By Callum Turcan Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.A) (BRK.B), specifically Class B shares trading as BRK.B, is a top holding in Valuentum’s Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The massive holding company is invested in much more than just insurance (a portfolio which includes Geico, Cornhusker Casualty Company, General Re, Oak River Insurance Company, and more), Berkshire has exposure to American railroads (through its ownership of BNSF), global consumer goods sales–through its ownership of See’s Candy and stake in Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)–and a slate of other industries. We give shares of BRK.B a fair value estimate of $229, with a fair value range of $183/share – $275/share. As BRK.B trades at the lower end of our fair … Read more