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Jan 18, 2018
In the News: GE, O, EGO, CELG
There is a lot happening in the markets. Let’s have a look at some of the top news. Jan 17, 2018
Dropping Coverage of the Education (For-Profit) Industry
Image Source: IowaPolitics. Valuentum is dropping coverage of the Education (For-Profit) industry to focus resources elsewhere. Jan 14, 2018
2018 Starts Out with a Bang!
Image Shown: An ETF that measures momentum (MTUM) has done considerably better than the S&P 500 since the beginning of 2017. Among its top 5 holdings are Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Boeing (BA)—newsletter holdings that have had excellent value characteristics along the way. Visa (V) is also included in its top 10 holdings. Even some the most bullish and optimistic investors have been surprised by the resiliency of today’s market environment. Why does it seem appropriate to remind members that the stock market doesn’t always go straight up with almost no volatility? Jan 12, 2018
Discount Rates, Growth Rates, and "Skin in the Game"
In episode 18 of his video series "Off the Cuff," President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about why it is so important for you to learn the discounted cash-flow model and how to think about discount rates and growth rates within it. He also provides a few perspectives on the concept of "skin in the game," and the areas where it might be good and the areas where it might be bad. Running time: ~12 minutes. Jan 10, 2018
The New Theorem of the Stock Market
Image Source: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too (Valuentum). Learn about the new theorem of the stock market. Jan 9, 2018
Microsoft: A Dividend Growth Giant
Image Source: Microsoft. Microsoft is no longer a tech dinosaur. Estimates suggest it is beating Amazon at its own game. We’re huge fans of Microsoft’s free cash flow generation and balance-sheet health and what that means for the dividend. There’s not a lot to dislike about Microsoft, and while the risks are many, few company’s have a stronger business model. Jan 8, 2018
Nelson: Is Visa the Best Company Ever?
Image Source: Visa’s fiscal fourth-quarter 2017 earnings slide deck. Visa’s business model is phenomenal and its competitive advantages among the best in the world. The company’s free cash flow generation is remarkable, and it alone covers its cash dividend payment by more than 5 times. There are few companies with higher levels of profitability than Visa's, and even fewer that also have as strong of growth potential. The company’s valuation is starting to get a little stretched, but it has the free-cash-flow generation to grow into it. Jan 4, 2018
SMART Global: A Leader in Specialty Memory Solutions
SMART Global is an interesting idea in the memory space, but obsolescence risk and overcapacity will always be two primary concerns. This one is still worth having on your radar. Jan 2, 2018
The Fed's Dislocation and Too Few Stocks?
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson talks about how central banks may be pushing savers into riskier assets than what might otherwise be warranted by their risk profiles, how interest rates should be viewed within the valuation context, and whether too few stocks to invest in is driving a 'rising tide lifts all boats' dynamic. A discussion about the severe limitations of the price-to-earnings ratio is included. Running time: ~14 minutes. Jan 2, 2018
2018 Healthcare and Biotech Outlook
Image Source: Global Panorama. 2017 will undoubtedly go down as one of the most fabulous years for the stock market, and while we continue to warn of the dangers associated with the market continuing to trade at lofty valuations, we are intrigued by the outlook for big cap pharma and biotech in the near term. Changes in the US tax laws will likely have a profound impact on the industry.
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