Member Articles

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending October 9

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending October 9. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Ameren (AEE): now $0.425 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.41. Diversified Royalty (BEVFF): now C$0.01854 per share monthly dividend, was C$0.01667. Genesis Energy (GEL): now $0.64 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.625. Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT): now $0.07 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. InfraCap MLP ETF (AMZA): now $0.515 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.51. MV Oil Trust (MVO): now $0.21 per share quarterly … Read more

Asset Managers: Capital Retention In the Name of Capital Preservation

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In recent years, the operating theme for many asset managers has shifted to capital preservation, particularly in their efforts to serve the large and growing number of baby boomers and commercial clients managing pensions. This is a reasonably expected change when considering that many investors lost a significant amount of capital during the Financial Crisis, many of which are still recovering. The ramifications of the credit crunch have led to requirements for increased transparency and regulatory compliance, adding structural costs to the asset-management business model, but this is only one side of the coin. The volume of investable assets is set to increase to a whopping $102 trillion by 2020 from ~$64 trillion today, fueled by an increase in the … Read more

Alcoa Disappoints in Third Quarter, China Weakness Prevalent

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Alcoa (AA) no longer is the industrial bellwether it once was as the global economy migrates more toward a service orientation, but the aluminum giant still has its hands in a lot of end markets. The company’s third-quarter results, released October 8, showed revenue falling 11% on a year-over-year basis, and modest net income of $0.07 per share, excluding special items. Acquisition and divestitures muddied the waters, but the general take was a negative one. The company is doing the best it can to migrate away from the volatility of its lower-margin operations, focusing its efforts on value-add operations, and while it is making progress, the company remains tied to the broader economic environment and the pricing pressures that inevitably … Read more

US Auto Sales Continue Breakneck Pace in September

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The recent market volatility seemed to have had little impact on auto sales for the month of September. Amid a wild ride in the stock market that began near the conclusion of August, the US auto industry posted its best month in September since July 2005 in terms of seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of sales, which came in at 18.17 million. Consensus estimates were not nearly has high as the actual figure, as sales were initially expected to be closer to 17.6 million. A number of factors helped drive the strong sales numbers across the automotive industry. Consumer confidence remains high, as does disposable income; unemployment is at its lowest point since April 2008, and gas prices have fallen. … Read more

Yum! Brands Blows Up

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The share price chart of Yum! Brands is shown above. The writing was on the wall. We warned about the impending collapse in Yum! Brands’ (YUM) shares in our highly-selective July 14 note, “Warning! 5 Heavily-Followed Dividend-Paying Stocks to Avoid:” “The owner of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell has a solid franchise, but its share price has rocketed too far too fast, perhaps on renewed speculation that it will spin off its Yum! China division into a separate entity, which may never happen. But while speculation fuels the share price advance, there are a few things we do know for certain. The fast-food environment in the US is cutthroat, and the trend toward fast-casual is a long-term secular dynamic, … Read more

Transaction Alerts: Moving Closer to Market Neutral on Energy

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The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio has generated significant outperformance in part from avoiding many of the landmines across the energy sector during the past many months. We’ve done equally well in our calls in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, and we’re very proud of raising the issue of the importance of looking at non-GAAP free cash flow across pipeline entities. We believe that such a measure is the best one to assess the timing of free cash flows as they are generated, an important consideration for investors of all types, and not properly addressed in measures of distributable cash flow or a company’s dividend or distribution. Why are we now inching ever so slightly back into energy? 1. The market … Read more

Attention to Pricing Issues Pressures Valeant

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As recently as early August, Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX) was flying high, continuing its history of aggressively pursuing acquisitions and profiting greatly from newly-acquired drugs. However, exactly what had allowed the firm to grow at a substantial pace has caused a precipitous fall in its share price and may cause significant pressure to the biotech industry (IBB) as a whole in the relatively-near future, or so some are positing. Valeant has a reputation for growing through acquisitions and aggressively cutting costs during the integration of newly-acquired companies. Through the acquisitions of other biotech and pharmaceutical companies, Valeant becomes the owners of various drugs, of which it then has control over pricing. This is where the company, in the eyes of some … Read more

Time to Scoop Up More GE? Another Activist Stake in Yet Another Newsletter Portfolio Holding

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Stocks in Valuentum’s newsletter portfolios–the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio–are often ones that find the greatest interest among activist investors. After all, they are generally undervalued on a discounted cash-flow basis, generate tremendous amounts of free cash flow, and have solid balance sheets, flush with cash that can be used to pay outsize dividends. This makes them ripe for shareholder activism, which so far, has been a blessing for constituents of the newsletter portfolios as share prices are driven higher. Traditionally, it has been Carl Icahn (IEP) that has taken a liking to our ideas. The activist investor, and chosen Treasury Secretary of Presidential hopeful Donald Trump, has been involved at one time or another in … Read more

Standard & Poor’s Notes Heightened Default Risks

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Not all is well in Big Oil, or at least, not all is what it once was. The upstream oil and gas arena continues to face significant pressure from falling energy resource pricing, runaway capital spending projections and conditions that may not subside anytime soon. At the heart of the problem is OPEC’s strategy to maintain market share, apparently at all costs, which is different than the cartel’s efforts in previous cycles to support the price. Though upstream industry constituents have announced capital spending reductions and some have idled rigs, commercial inventories of crude oil remain at decade highs, and risks to the global economy, not the least of which from China (FXI), Brazil (EWZ), and Australia (EWA), threaten the … Read more

Seeking Alpha, Is It Time To End Anonymity?

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Is this really what investors want to see? Isn’t it time to end anonomity on website postings and end the smear campaigns? Write to Eli Hoffman at eli@seekingalpha.com and George Moriarty at george@seekingalpha.com to express your concerns.  What do you think? Is it time for a change?