Brian Nelson

Main Street’s Dividend Track Record Is a Sight to See

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Image: Main Street has never lowered its monthly dividend, and it has paid supplemental dividends to bolster its yield. Image Source: Main Street By Brian Nelson, CFA Internally managed business development company Main Street (MAIN) recently reported second quarter results with net interest income and total investment income coming in better than expectations. Net investment income came in at $87.3 million (or $1.01 per share) in the quarter, while distributable net investment income [DNII] was $92.3 million (or $1.07 per share) in the period. Total investment income was $132.2 million in the quarter, up 4% from the same period a year ago. Return on equity was 16.1% on an annualized basis for the second quarter, while it was 18.5% for … Read more

ExxonMobil’s Free Cash Flow Remains Impressive

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Image: ExxonMobil’s shares have done quite well since the beginning of 2022. By Brian Nelson, CFA ExxonMobil (XOM) recently reported better than expected second quarter results with both revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in higher than the consensus forecast. Total revenue and other income increased 12.2% from the prior-year quarter, while non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $2.14 per share, up $0.08 on a sequential basis. Exxon Mobil returned $9.5 billion to shareholders in the quarter, consisting of $4.3 billion in dividends and $5.2 billion in buybacks. Management was upbeat about the performance: We delivered our second-highest 2Q earnings of the past decade as we continue to improve the fundamental earnings power of the company. We achieved … Read more

TJX Companies Boosts Profit Guidance

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Image: TJX’s stock has been on a tear over the past couple years. By Brian Nelson, CFA TJX Companies (TJX) reported better-than-expected second quarter fiscal 2025 results August 21 that showed a revenue beat and non-GAAP earnings per share outpacing the consensus estimate. Net sales increased 6% thanks to consolidated comparable store sales increasing 4% as a result of increased customer transactions, which was above the consensus forecast for comps to experience 2.8% growth. Its second-quarter pre-tax profit margin of 10.9% was 0.5 percentage points ahead of last year’s mark thanks to lower freight costs and stronger sales. Second-quarter diluted earnings per share of $0.96 was up 13% from the same period a year ago. Its comparable store sales growth, … Read more

Target’s Second Quarter Results Better Than Feared

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Image: Target’s shares have been quite volatile since the beginning of 2023. By Brian Nelson, CFA Target (TGT) reported better than expected second quarter results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in higher than the consensus forecasts. Sales grew 2.7% thanks to comparable store sales growth of 2%, which came in at the high end of the company’s expectations and above the consensus estimate of 1.1%. The quarter for Target marked a return to top-line growth and positive comparable store sales expansion and showcased meaningful margin expansion. Traffic at Target advanced 3% in the period as all six of its core merchandising categories delivered growth, with Apparel comparable sales growing 3%+ in the quarter. Digital comparable store sales … Read more

Mastercard’s Results Point to Continued Healthy Consumer Spending

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Image: Mastercard’s stock has done quite well since the beginning of 2022. By Brian Nelson, CFA Mastercard (MA) recently reported better than expected second quarter results with the firm’s revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in higher than the consensus forecasts. Second quarter net revenue came in at $7 billion, up 11% year-over-year (13% on a currency-neutral basis) thanks to growth in its payment network and value-added services and solutions. Operating income came in at $4 billion, up from $3.7 billion in the same period a year ago. Its adjusted operating margin was an impressive 59.4% in the quarter. On a currency-neutral basis, non-GAAP net income advanced 24%, while adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 27%, bolstered in part … Read more

Ford Raises Adjusted Free Cash Flow Guidance, Warranty Costs Weigh on Shares

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Image: Ford’s second quarter results weren’t great, but the company’s guidance calls for increased adjusted free cash flow in 2024. By Brian Nelson, CFA Ford Motor (F) reported disappointing second quarter results recently where both automotive revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share came in below expectations. Ford’s second-quarter revenue grew 6% year-over-year thanks to a “persistently fresh lineup of vehicles (including) momentum from the all-new F-150 pickup and record volumes of Transit commercial vans.” However, company net income came in at $1.8 billion, down from $1.9 billion in the same period of 2023, while company adjusted earnings before interest and taxes [EBIT] was $2.8 billion in the quarter, down from $3.8 billion due to an increase in warranty reserves. Its … Read more

Lowe’s Lowers Full Year 2024 Outlook on Weak DIY Sales

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Image: Lowe’s shares have traded sideways since the beginning of 2022. By Brian Nelson, CFA On August 20, Lowe’s (LOW) reported mixed second quarter results with revenue coming in below expectations and the firm’s non-GAAP earnings per share exceeding the consensus forecast. Total sales during the quarter fell 5.5%, while comparable sales for the quarter fell 5.1% “driven by continued pressure in DIY (do-it-yourself) bigger ticket discretionary spending and unfavorable weather adversely impacting sales in seasonal and other outdoor categories.” Adjusted diluted earnings per share fell to $4.10 per share in the second quarter from $4.56 per share in the second quarter of 2023. During the second quarter, Lowe’s bought back roughly 4.4 million shares of stock for $1 billion, … Read more

Gilead Raises Non-GAAP Diluted Earnings Outlook for 2024

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Image Source: Gilead By Brian Nelson, CFA Gilead Sciences (GILD) reported better than expected second quarter results on August 8. Total second quarter revenue increased 5% thanks to higher sales across its HIV, Liver Disease and Oncology portfolio, while non-GAAP diluted earnings per share came in at $2.01 in the second quarter of 2024, compared to $1.34 in the same quarter of 2023. Total product sales increased 6%, excluding its COVID-19-related treatment Veklury. Management had the following to say about the quarter: Gilead has had another strong quarter with 6% year-over-year growth in our base business. This was driven by sales of our therapies for HIV, Oncology and Liver Disease, including 8% growth for Biktarvy. One of the key highlights … Read more

Energy Transfer Raises 2024 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance, Units Yield 7.8%

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Image Source: Energy Transfer By Brian Nelson, CFA Energy Transfer (ET) reported strong second quarter results on August 7. Net income attributable to partners totaled $1.31 billion in the quarter, up from $911 million in the same quarter a year ago. Net income per common unit on a diluted basis expanded to $0.35 from $0.25 in last year’s quarter. Adjusted EBITDA in its June quarter was $3.76 billion compared to $3.12 billion for the same three months of last year. Distributable cash flow [DCF] to partners came in at $2.039 billion in the quarter compared to $1.554 billion in last year’s period. Total distributions to be paid to partners was $1.1 billion in the quarter, translating into excellent distribution coverage … Read more

Deere’s Fiscal Third Quarter Results Reveal Challenging Conditions in the Global Agricultural and Construction Sectors

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Image Source: Deere & Company By Brian Nelson, CFA Deere & Company (DE) reported better than expected fiscal third quarter results on August 15 with revenue and GAAP earnings per share coming ahead of the consensus forecasts. Worldwide net sales and revenues fell 17% on a year-over-year basis, accelerating from the 11% fall through the first nine months of the year, but this was better than feared. Net income of $6.29 per share in the quarter fell from $10.20 per share in the quarter ended July 30, 2023. Net income dropped 42% on a year-over-year basis. Management’s commentary was cautious in the press release: John Deere’s third-quarter results showcase our disciplined execution in the face of challenging conditions in the … Read more