Dividend Hikes for This Week Included Caterpillar and Target

June 14, 2013

Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending June 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE): now $0.65 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.60. Caterpillar (CAT): now $0.60 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.52. Heico Corp (HEI): now $0.07 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.06. Oil-Dri Corporation of America (ODC): now $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.18. Target Corp (TGT): now $0.43 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.36.

Is BHP Jumping Into the Potash Market?

June 13, 2013

Earlier this week, rumors intensified regarding mining giant BHP (click ticker for report: BHP) and the firm’s prospective entry into the potash market. Because demand for potash (see image below) tends to be a bit more stable than the company’s other resources (namely iron ore), we can see why BHP would be interested in entering the market. Image Source: Potash As it is currently structured, the potash market is dominated by a few large players, namely Canpotex and Belarus Potash Company. Canpotex is comprised of Potash Corporation (click ticker for report: ), Mosaic (click ticker for report: ), and Agrium (click ticker for report: ), while the Belarus Potash Company (BPC) represents the Russian equivalents. These two producers form a

Does ShopHouse Justify Chipotle’s Valuation?

June 13, 2013

Key Takeaways: ·       Chipotle’s internal growth is slowing. ·       Chipotle’s ShopHouse concept is expanding, but we think it could divert attention from the core business. ·       We could open a bearish position in Chipotle in the portfolio of our Best Ideas Newsletter. After its price finally came down to earth in late 2012 (falling to under $250 from over $400 per share), shares of quick-serve burrito restaurant Chipotle (click ticker for report: ) have rocketed back toward the $400 level. Shares have jumped 23% year-to-date, even though the company’s same-store sales growth totaled just 1% in the first quarter. Shares now trade at a premium to our fair value ($338 per share is the high end of our fair value range). With comparable

Cooper Tire & Rubber Receives a Generous Takeover Bid

June 13, 2013

Early Wednesday morning, American tire company Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB) announced that it agreed to be acquired by India-based Apollo Tyres for $35 per share ($2.5 billion) in cash. Not only did we peg Cooper’s fair value at $35 per share, the firm also appeared on our list of  The 25 Cheapest Stocks on the Market over $10, perhaps marking one of our best stock calls thus far this year. Apollo paid a 43% premium over the previous day’s closing price, right in line with our above-market fair value estimate. We think Apollo’s offer was fair, and we think the newly-combined entity will be a stronger company. Fears of Cooper’s heavy pension obligations and concerns about intense competition from

Lululemon’s CEO Departure: Sell-off Justified?

June 12, 2013

Luxury athletic apparel maker Lululemon (click ticker for report: ) announced strong first-quarter results Monday that were obscured by the announcement of CEO Christine Day’s departure. We doubt anyone on the Street saw this announcement coming (as evidenced by the large sell-off), and we are a bit surprised at the timing. Although the company has had some quality control issues during the past few months, and we’ve seen the firm chase demand (not have enough inventory), we don’t think Day was at all forced out. She’s presided over a boom in the company’s revenue and profitability over the past five and a half years. Still, Day’s “personal reasons” for leaving come at a strange intersection. Many growth investors believe Day

First Solar Is Wise to Raise Capital

June 12, 2013

First Solar’s Wild Ride Without question, solar modules and systems maker First Solar (click ticker for report: ) has been among the most controversial stocks in our coverage list during the past few years. The stock recently popped back above the $50 level on positive earnings guidance for 2014 and 2015, after nearly falling into the single digits last summer.  Though we’ve recently increased our fair value estimate for the solar maker to $47 per share (at the time of this writing) as we’ve warmed up to its mid-decade outlook (which looked better than what we had previously anticipated), management made a wise (and opportunistic) decision to raise equity capital at current levels via the announcement of a secondary offering yesterday.

iOS Gets a Facelift: Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference

June 11, 2013

Day 1 has passed at Best Ideas Newsletter holding Apple’s (click ticker for report: ), and we were hit with a barrage of news. The most pertinent issue of the day was the introduction of iOS 7, the iPhone and iPad’s new operating system. It is the first major overhaul of iOS, and it signals the company is serious about bringing positive changes. In addition to a new mobile operating system, Apple unveiled iTunes Radio, a streaming music service to compete with the likes of Pandora (click ticker for report: ) and Spotify. Lastly, the firm unveiled its newest Mac Pro—one of the most innovative products we’ve seen from the company in the last year. iOS 7 Image Source: Apple

Google Getting Social About Maps

June 10, 2013

Best Ideas Newsletter holding Google (click ticker for report: ) is on the brink of making a big splash in the map space, as it is reportedly set to acquire social map application Waze for $1.3 billion. This comes after months of speculation that Apple (click ticker for report: ) and Facebook (click ticker for report: ) were also bidding to acquire the Israeli-based tech company. Although Google Maps remains a highly-regarded product, Waze is a step in a different direction. Waze differs from other map applications because it harnesses user-submitted data (largely via GPS) to provide real-time traffic and driving updates. The application provides data on traffic flow, accidents and other specific events that could slow traffic, information on

Overvalued and Dangerous Dividend: Iron Mountain Crushed by REIT Conversion Update

June 7, 2013

It is not too often that a firm in our coverage universe finds itself on both the Top 25 Most Overvalued Stocks list AND Dividend Yields to Avoid list, but that is exactly where Iron Mountain (click ticker for report: ) has been for a while now. However, it wasn’t until the IRS issued a tentatively adverse ruling to the company’s REIT (real-estate investment trust) conversion request that a catalyst emerged to send the stock tumbling back toward our fair value estimate. Why Did the IRS Delay the Ruling? During the past few years, we’ve seen a large number of companies rush to become REITs in order to capitalize on more-efficient tax policy, as well as to satisfy the desire for yield from investors. REIT conversions have been one of

Ciena Surges on Robust Telecom Spending

June 7, 2013

After Cisco (click ticker for report: ) CEO John Chambers hinted at an acceleration in enterprise spending, network specialist Ciena (click ticker for report: ) reported much stronger than anticipated second quarter results Thursday. Revenue jumped 6% year-over-year to $508 million, smashing consensus expectations. Non-GAAP operating profit was halved to $0.02 per share, but that was better than the expected loss. On a GAAP basis, the firm still lost $0.27 per share. Cash flow for the year isn’t great as the company greatly expanded its accounts receivable, but we figure this will even out as the year progresses. What drove growth during the quarter? We’ve identified a few factors. Capital investment from the American wireless carriers is returning, even if the

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But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] "attractive"? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth,"...We view that as fuzzy thinking...Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term "value investing" is redundant.

                         -- Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992

At Valuentum, we take Buffett's thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the two approaches found on each side of the spectrum (value/momentum) in a name couldn't be more representative of what our analysts do here; hence, we're called Valuentum.



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