Google Getting Social About Maps
June 10, 2013
Best Ideas Newsletter holding Google (click ticker for report: ) is on the brink of making a big splash in the map space, as it is reportedly set to acquire social map application Waze for $1.3 billion. This comes after months of speculation that Apple (click ticker for report: ) and Facebook (click ticker for report: ) were also bidding to acquire the Israeli-based tech company. Although Google Maps remains a highly-regarded product, Waze is a step in a different direction. Waze differs from other map applications because it harnesses user-submitted data (largely via GPS) to provide real-time traffic and driving updates. The application provides data on traffic flow, accidents and other specific events that could slow traffic, information on
Overvalued and Dangerous Dividend: Iron Mountain Crushed by REIT Conversion Update
June 7, 2013
It is not too often that a firm in our coverage universe finds itself on both the Top 25 Most Overvalued Stocks list AND Dividend Yields to Avoid list, but that is exactly where Iron Mountain (click ticker for report: ) has been for a while now. However, it wasn’t until the IRS issued a tentatively adverse ruling to the company’s REIT (real-estate investment trust) conversion request that a catalyst emerged to send the stock tumbling back toward our fair value estimate. Why Did the IRS Delay the Ruling? During the past few years, we’ve seen a large number of companies rush to become REITs in order to capitalize on more-efficient tax policy, as well as to satisfy the desire for yield from investors. REIT conversions have been one of
Ciena Surges on Robust Telecom Spending
June 7, 2013
After Cisco (click ticker for report: ) CEO John Chambers hinted at an acceleration in enterprise spending, network specialist Ciena (click ticker for report: ) reported much stronger than anticipated second quarter results Thursday. Revenue jumped 6% year-over-year to $508 million, smashing consensus expectations. Non-GAAP operating profit was halved to $0.02 per share, but that was better than the expected loss. On a GAAP basis, the firm still lost $0.27 per share. Cash flow for the year isn’t great as the company greatly expanded its accounts receivable, but we figure this will even out as the year progresses. What drove growth during the quarter? We’ve identified a few factors. Capital investment from the American wireless carriers is returning, even if the
Dividend Increases for the Week Ending June 7
June 7, 2013
Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending June 7. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Acme United Corporation (ACU): now $0.08 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.07. Altera Corporation (ALTR): now $0.15 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Concurrent (CCUR): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.06. Cracker Barrel (CBRL): now $0.75 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.50. DuPont Fabros Technology (DFT): now $0.25 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. FEI Company (FEIC): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08. Helmerich & Payne (HP): now $0.50 per
Realty Income’s Monthly Dividend Should Continue to Grow
June 7, 2013
With interest rates still near all-time lows (albeit rising), we think high-yielding equities are as vital as ever to providing income investors with an attractive total return investment. Realty Income (click ticker for report: ), one of the ideas on our dividend-growth watch list (not yet a portfolio constituent), has come under significant pricing pressure as of late. As such, we are strongly evaluating the firm’s shares for addition to the portfolio of our Dividend Growth Newsletter after this rather material slide. Let’s take a look. The ‘Monthly Dividend Company’ Initially, we were a little taken aback by a REIT actively touting itself as the “monthly dividend company.” However, after further investigation, we think the company is truly focused on returning capital to shareholders rather than taking advantage of
After Midnight Breakfast at McDonald’s: Is the Company out of Tricks?
June 6, 2013
Late yesterday night, fast food goliath McDonald’s (click ticker for report: ) confirmed that it is experimenting with an “after midnight” breakfast menu. Let’s emphasize the after midnight aspect, which specifically means that the firm won’t be serving all-day breakfast. Such a move to all-day breakfast would be expensive, and, in our view, a sure sign the firm was out of ideas. The moves to bolster its product offering in the late night segment has logic behind it—look no further than the popularity of breakfast diners at 2-5am on Saturday and Sunday mornings. For years, Taco Bell (click ticker for report: ) has been perceived as the go-to fast food destination after midnight, at least in part due to its
Salesforce.com: Completing the Package
June 6, 2013
Earlier this week, leading SaaS firm Salesforce.com (click ticker for report: ) made headlines acquiring cloud marketing platform ExactTarget (ET) for $2.5 billion in cash ($33.75/share). The move comes as Salesforce.com hopes to round out its product offering, and adding a company largely known for its email marketing platform helps the firm move toward this goal. Salesforce.com CEO Marc Benioff, excited about the transaction, explained that the landscape is changing, saying on the firm’s conference call about the deal: “There is no doubt our whole industry is changing, and the opportunity to create solutions in sales and service and marketing that are unified, that are mobile, that are social, that are in the cloud, that this combination of these two
Amazon’s Expansion Knows No Bounds
June 6, 2013
On Tuesday, we received a variety of information about Amazon’s (click ticker for report: ) expansion into different product lines. The company is looking to expand its AmazonFresh same-day grocery delivery service and could enter as many as 40 markets this year. Additionally, the firm entered into the highest streaming content contract ever, purchasing the rights to stream over 4,000 episodes of Viacom (click ticker for report: ) TV shows. Let’s dig into the details. AmazonFresh For years, people have speculated that the end-game for Amazon was to build so many warehouses that it could effectively offer same-day shipping on any product and compete with brick-and-mortar shops on the basis of time. Thus, the expansion of AmazonFresh comes as little
Checking In With Intel
June 6, 2013
While shares languished throughout 2012, Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Intel (click ticker for report: ) has experienced a solid rebound in 2013, with shares up 21% year-to-date. We have a nice gain on the position in our actively-managed portfolios, and the firm continues to pay out a nice and safe dividend yield (about 3.7%). Our conviction in the significant valuation upside of the firm remains unchanged (the high end of our fair value range is north of $30 per share), and we continue to think fears that Intel would never become a player in the mobile space are completely unfounded. Intel recently received the “Barron’s treatment,” as the financial publication called for shares to double. Though the publication
Three Very Good Questions From Members
June 5, 2013
Q: Why do you use a risk free rate assumption of 4.25% when the current spot rate of the 10-year Treasury is about 2%? In our discounted cash-flow models that we use to value every non-financial operating company in our coverage universe, we match the duration of future free cash flows (from year 1 to perpetuity) with expectations of the average discount rate over this forecast horizon (from year 1 to perpetuity). We think the best way to achieve expectations of the long-term future average rate of the 10-year Treasury (risk free rate) is to use the weighted average of the historical 10-year Treasury and the current spot rate. The goal of using a weighted average risk free rate in
