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Amazon’s Story Doesn’t Change

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Online mega-retailer Amazon (click ticker for report: ) reported strong first quarter results. Revenue was slightly worse than consensus estimates anticipated, growing 22% year-over-year to $16 billion. Conversely, earnings per share exceeded consensus expectations, but still fell 35% year-over-year to $0.18. Amazon reports a metric of trailing twelve months (TTM) free cash flow, which declined 85% sequentially to $177 million as the firm invests heavily in fulfillment centers and distribution. Amazon’s earnings guidance was relatively weak, with the firm anticipating it will post operating income of negative $340 million to positive $10 million in the second quarter—meaning the company isn’t likely to come anywhere near the consensus expectation of $0.22 per share. Revenue is anticipated to fall between $14.9 billion … Read more

The E-Commerce War Between eBay and Amazon Heats Up

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In order to help drive more sellers on to its platform, Best Ideas Newsletter holding eBay (click ticker for report: ) announced new, less complicated fee structures. The firm already charged lower fees than Amazon (click ticker for report: ), but the new structure gives greater transparency to sellers. The move is very positive, in our view, as we think it can help drive a stronger network of fixed price sellers to eBay. After becoming associated with auctions since its inception, eBay is in the process of becoming a destination for buyers of everything, much like Amazon has done successfully over the past several years. While Amazon may look slightly more attractive in the near-term because more buyers are on … Read more

Best Idea Portfolio Holding Visa Is Off to a Fantastic Start in 2013

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Best Ideas Newsletter holding Visa (click ticker for report: ) announced stellar results for its fiscal year 2013 first quarter Wednesday afternoon. Revenue jumped 12% year-over-year to $2.8 billion, in line with consensus estimates. Earnings per share, net of a one-time tax benefit of $0.11, increased 22% year-over-year to $1.82 per share, a few cents higher than the consensus expected. Other than a litigation charge of $4.4 billion that the firm had to pay out during the first quarter, new CEO Charlie Scharf’s first quarter on the job went off without a hitch. Payments volume increased across all geographies, growing 3% year-over-year in the US to $544 billion, 13% (excluding currency) in Asia-Pacific to $313 billion, and 37% (excluding currency) in Central … Read more

MasterCard Posts Terrific Fourth Quarter Results

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Late last week, payment processor MasterCard (click ticker for report: ) announced terrific fourth quarter results. Revenue jumped 10% year-over-year to $1.9 billion, in line with expectations. Earnings, however, exceeded consensus estimates, growing 21% year-over-year to $4.86 per share. Much like Best Ideas Newsletter holding Visa (click ticker for report: ), MasterCard continues to ride secular tailwinds as the world moves to a cashless society. Though the US is MasterCard’s largest market, its credit card market share substantially lags that of Visa. Still, the company has tremendous global exposure. With credit and debit payments nearing maturity in the US, other markets (shown below) are driving the growth at MasterCard (Image Source: MasterCard Earnings Presentation). Although the company’s exposure to Europe may be … Read more

Superb Growth Continues at Best Ideas Portfolio Holding eBay

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Not surprisingly, fantastic growth continued during the fourth quarter at Best Ideas Newsletter holding eBay (click ticker for report: ). Revenue surged 18% year-over-year to $4 billion, a touch better than consensus expectations. Earnings per share, on a non-GAAP basis, grew 17% compared to a year ago to $0.70. We continue to like this holding of our Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The continued resurgence of the core eBay business continued uninterrupted, as revenue surged 16% year-over-year to $2 billion, which coincided with 16% gross merchandise volume growth ($19.1 billion). While PayPal grabs all the headlines, the performance of eBay’s marketplace has been fantastic over the last several quarters. The eBay marketplace, in our view, has reached a similar positioning as … Read more

Dear Valuentum Member

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In such a short time that you’ve known us, you have seen us do so much: from generating more than 25 percentage points of outperformance in our Best Ideas portfolio since inception (May 2011) to delivering on our high-single-digit return goal of our Dividend Growth portfolio during 2012 to the Valuentum Dividend Cushion score predicting the dividend cuts of JC Penney (JCP), SuperValu (SVU), Roundy’s (RNDY), and others. You’ve seen us identify a triple in EDAC Tech (EDAC) and predict the bankruptcy of the parent of American Airlines (AMR). These are tremendous accomplishments. There’s an old saying in the market that if your winners are outperforming your losers, you’re doing a great job. Through November of last year, 87% of … Read more

Ecommerce Sales Surge During the Holiday Season

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It should be no surprise to Valuentum members that ecommerce sales were fantastic this holiday season as we continue to hold payment processors Visa (click ticker for report: ) and PayPal – via eBay (click ticker for report: ) – in the portfolio of our Best Ideas Newsletter. Digital business analytics firm comscore (SCOR) reported that for the first 51 days of the November-December 2012 holiday season, retail ecommerce spending advanced 16% versus the same period a year ago, a breakneck pace. Impressively, the data show that the 5-week work week ending December 21, 2012 registered a rate of expansion of 53% in spending. We continue to focus on high-VBI rated firms that are benefiting from long-term secular tailwinds, and … Read more