Ignore Debt Ceiling News, Focus on Corporate Earnings

Simply put, the United States is not going to default on its debt. In other words, we think any market action resulting from the debt-ceiling issue will be irrelevant in coming months, and resolve itself in due time — as it has with any other crisis. Further, we remain unconvinced that this topic is a legitimate concern for long-term equity investors. The fact that America has a large national debt (and a problem with entitlement programs) is well documented in every history and social-studies textbook in grammar schools across the country; how can this be something that will blindside the markets? We’re not talking about derivatives on complex mortgage instruments here. The debt-ceiling deadline is purely a political issue, one … Read more

Best Idea Apple Reports Fantastic Third Quarter

Apple (AAPL) reported its fiscal third-quarter results after the market close Tuesday, and they were fantastic. The firm’s top- and bottom-lines exceeded both consensus and our expectations, and we continue to believe that there is further upside to the shares. We added them to our Best Ideas List June 17, a trading session before its near-term bottom at about $310 per share. The stock surged to over $400 per share during after-hours trading Tuesday, and we will continue to monitor its trading activity in the coming weeks to see if taking a slice of our position off the table may be warranted. We will update our subscribers before we take any action. Apple posted quarterly revenue of $28.6 billion and earnings per … Read more

Apple Priced for Significantly Slower Growth

This article originally appeared on Seeking Alpha. Please view disclosures: https://seekingalpha.com/article/275395-apple-priced-for-significantly-slower-growth At Valuentum, we often use a discounted cash-flow model as a means to back into the current share price of firms in order to ascertain whether the market is unfairly pricing their stock relative to reasonable long-term growth and profitability assumptions. In Apple’s case, it appears that the market is certainly concerned about future growth rates, almost to the tune of merely expecting inflation-like expansion beginning toward the middle of this decade. Although in the land of technology, competition adapts quickly and a few years from now can be viewed as the distant future, Apple represents a compelling risk-reward opportunity at these levels based on our analysis. Often, evaluating a … Read more