Could TV Get Competitive?

Compounding worries that internet-based distribution will continue to eat away from traditional cable distributors, Intel (click ticker for report: ), DirecTV (click ticker for report: ), Time Warner Cable (click ticker for report: ), and Charter Communications (CHTR) are seeking deals to over-the-top (OTT) rights from programmers. This matters because OTT rights could give content distributors the ability to deliver TV shows via the internet rather than set-top boxes. If such a dynamic were to take hold, the TV business could become more competitive, as it would allow virtually every participant to offer services everywhere. Thus far, only Best Ideas Newsletter holding Intel has showed that it is serious about offering a broadband TV service, while the previously-mentioned companies are … Read more

Why Valuentum’s Email Transaction Alerts Are Worth Paying Attention To

Valuentum subscribers have noticed that we’ve been quite busy as of late, adding protection to our portfolio in the form of a broader-market put option and taking some large profits in Astronics (ATRO) and eBay (EBAY). We’ve highlighted our best-in-class hit rate–meaning that a large percentage of the firms we added to the portfolio are outperforming the broad market benchmark. But there are a couple ways of looking at our performance–the first is relative outperformance versus the market since inception, which is at 28 percentage points. Investors duplicating our portfolio are enjoying this outperformance. Another way of looking at our track record, however, is to evaluate the performance of additions to the portfolio on the long side (purchases) since inception–i.e. … Read more

iOS Gets a Facelift: Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference

Day 1 has passed at Best Ideas Newsletter holding Apple’s (click ticker for report: ), and we were hit with a barrage of news. The most pertinent issue of the day was the introduction of iOS 7, the iPhone and iPad’s new operating system. It is the first major overhaul of iOS, and it signals the company is serious about bringing positive changes. In addition to a new mobile operating system, Apple unveiled iTunes Radio, a streaming music service to compete with the likes of Pandora (click ticker for report: ) and Spotify. Lastly, the firm unveiled its newest Mac Pro—one of the most innovative products we’ve seen from the company in the last year. iOS 7 Image Source: Apple … Read more

Checking In With Intel

While shares languished throughout 2012, Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Intel (click ticker for report: ) has experienced a solid rebound in 2013, with shares up 21% year-to-date. We have a nice gain on the position in our actively-managed portfolios, and the firm continues to pay out a nice and safe dividend yield (about 3.7%). Our conviction in the significant valuation upside of the firm remains unchanged (the high end of our fair value range is north of $30 per share), and we continue to think fears that Intel would never become a player in the mobile space are completely unfounded. Intel recently received the “Barron’s treatment,” as the financial publication called for shares to double. Though the publication … Read more

Intel’s New Management Team Looks Fit for the Challenge

Earlier this morning, Best Ideas and Dividend Growth Newsletters holding Intel (click ticker for report: ) announced that it has ended its search to find a replacement for current President and CEO Paul Otellini. Stepping into the CEO role will be current COO Brian Krzanich, while Renee James will take the helm as President. Krzanich appears to be a typical Intel hire, in our view. Every Intel CEO has come from within after spending several years at the firm. Krzanich joined the company in 1982, and has since held various roles throughout the development and business side of the firm. His expertise lies in manufacturing, which has been a crown jewel of Intel’s competitive advantage over the past several years. … Read more

Intel Struggles With The PC Market Slumping

Best Ideas and Dividend Growth Newsletter holding Intel (click ticker for report: ) reported lackluster results Tuesday afternoon. For the first quarter, the firm posted a revenue decline of 3% year-over-year, which was slightly worse than consensus expectations. Earnings were a penny shy of consensus estimates, falling 17% year-over-year to $0.40 per share. Gross margins fell 800 basis points year-over-year to 56%, but the firm maintained its full-year outlook for gross margins of 60%. Ultimately, the market knew not to expect a blowout quarter, as PC sales languish. For the quarter, PC client revenue declined 6% year-over-year to $7.99 billion, but the segment’s operating income decline was steeper, falling 28% year-over-year to $2.5 billion as the firm took large inventory … Read more

Could the FCC Hurt Carriers’ Profits?

Reports have surfaced that the FCC wishes to create a free, nation-wide WiFi network in order to facilitate web and cellular traffic. Though plans are only in the initial stages (and we are not jumping to any conclusions), the government could provide the US with a high-speed network at no cost, helping to put the nation on par with the Internet service achieved in several other countries. The news does not alter our fair value estimates for companies in our coverage universe, pending new details regarding probability and timing of implementation. Understandably, the companies that currently own spectrum and experience fantastic returns on networks are a bit upset about the possibility. The high margins achieved by wireless operators Verizon (click … Read more

Microsoft Remains a Terrific Company

Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Microsoft (click ticker for report: ) reported solid second-quarter fiscal 2013 results Thursday afternoon. Revenue jumped 3% year-over-year (5% non-GAAP) to $21.5 billion, roughly in line with consensus figures. Earnings per share declined 3% year-over-year (+4% non-GAAP) to $0.76 per share, a penny better than the consensus estimate. The performance from the Windows Division was relatively strong, in our view. 60 million Windows 8 licenses sold is a pretty solid number (as the image below shows), though we think the company (and the industry) would have liked to see the new operating system perform better (Image Source: Microsoft 2Q Earnings Presentation). We place a lot of the blame on the OEMs such as Dell (click ticker for … Read more

Intel Punished for Investing in the Future

Thursday afternoon, semiconductor giant Intel (click ticker for report: ) reported better than expected fourth quarter results. Revenue declined 3% year-over-year to $13.5 billion, roughly in-line with consensus expectations. Earnings easily exceeded modest estimates, falling 25% year-over-year to $0.48 per share. Due to the weak PC market and the firm’s desire to clear inventories, gross margins were down significantly in the fourth quarter, falling 650 basis points year-over-year to 58%. Gross margin declines were the primary driver behind the lapse in profitability, but research & development costs increased $300 million compared to the same period of 2011 to 19.5% of sales (up 290 bps Y/Y). On a segment basis, the PC Client Group, not surprisingly, drove the majority of revenue … Read more