Intel’s Top Line Still Growing

By Brian Nelson, CFA We said 2016 was going to be a big year for Intel (INTC) and during the past few months, its stock has come roaring back after a sluggish and disappointing start. The company’s second-quarter report, released July 20, won’t help to drive shares to multi-year highs yet (so close!), but the chip-making giant put up some decent numbers (regardless of the media headlines). During the quarter, revenue of $13.5 billion advanced 3% on a year-over-year basis, while GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins in the period exceeded the executive team’s internal targets by nearly a percentage point. Backing out restructuring charges, the company earned $0.59 per share, six cents better than the consensus mark. The Intel “story” … Read more

Did You Know: Coca-Cola Is Shrinking; Intel Is Growing?

How fragile is this bubbly market? The long-anticipated Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) conference in Doha, Qatar, that would mark the beginning of the end for all of crude oil’s (USO) malaise came and went, and nothing happened. We’ve now had a series of rumors about the potential for production freezes that have driven crude oil prices from the mid-$20s to nearly $40 per barrel, but nothing fundamental has changed. The bump in crude oil prices since the bottom has been almost entirely speculative. Crude oil prices would jump on rumors, and then when the rumor would prove untrue, they wouldn’t give back the gains. It appears hopes, dreams and speculation with a dash of short covering have … Read more

We Said 2016 Was Going to Be a Big One for Intel; FVE: $38

Image Source: Thomas Cloer Last October, we wrote that “Intel May Have a Breakout Year in 2016,” and despite the rough start to the year, our thesis continues to progress nicely. Here’s what we wrote several months ago: Part of the reason why we like Intel (INTC) is that many continue to dismiss the firm’s entrance into the mobile market, an area traditionally dominated by Qualcomm (QCOM). It is widely-accepted that Intel’s research and development prowess has nearly put AMD (AMD) out of business, and we’re confident the chip giant’s resources and innovation track record will open the door to the mobile market in a big way. In March (2015), it was reported that Intel’s technology will find its way … Read more

What’s Working in Today’s Market?

By Brian Nelson, CFA As emerging markets around the world suffer from commodity-price-led economic weakness, capital continues to find a safe-haven in US government bonds (TLT, TBT), but for those equity-oriented funds that mandate a fully-invested status, not something we’re particularly advocates of, assets within US equities have favored “lower-beta” utilities (XLU) and consumer staples (XLP) sectors while cyclically-dependent and credit-levered sectors such as the financials (XLF) and materials (XLB) have suffered thus far in 2016. The industrials (XLI) and energy (XLE) sectors have also encountered higher-than-normal selling pressure in the first few weeks of the New Year, as investors evaluate the global economic landscape and what a prolonged period of low energy prices may mean for the lowest quality … Read more

Excited About Putting Cash to Work…Eventually

Investors are fretting over a lot of things as of late. China (FXI) announced January 19 that fourth-quarter GDP fell to 6.8%, with many noting that the measure was a 25-year low. Even if you believe that number, which may be a stretch in light of collapsing local stock markets in Shanghai and Shenzhen, the outlook can’t be much better. Steel mills across the country are reeling, and while published housing numbers don’t look that bad, we have a difficult time believing the Chinese banks are in good shape. HSBC (HSBC), Standard Chartered, and Citigroup (C) remain most exposed to what we would describe to be the growing likelihood of a contagion from weakening commodity-dependent sectors in the country. Intel … Read more

Lots to Like About Intel’s 2016: 3D XPoint and Altera!

Newsletter portfolio holding Intel (INTC) continues to change with the world around it. An increasingly smart and connected world offers significant opportunities for the company, but those opportunities will not be presented without obstacles to hurdle. It didn’t work out so well for the price of Intel the week of its report, as it released a somewhat cautious outlook on a day of a big market swoon, but we still expect some good things ahead from the chip giant. In fact, we continue to like the holding in the context of achieving the goals of the newsletter portfolios. In the fourth quarter of 2015, results released January 14, Intel reported record revenue of $14.9 billion, though the top line grew … Read more

Analysis: The Best Ideas Portfolio

Please select the image below to download the report.  Note: The High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio are not real money portfolios. Results, including those in the Nelson Exclusive publication, are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and actual results may differ from simulated information being presented.  The performance of the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, Nelson Exclusive publication, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio have not been externally audited. The following download of the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio is an internal assessment. Newsletter performance figures, including those in the Nelson Exclusive publication, are prepared by Valuentum. Hypothetical results are … Read more

Leading Investors to Water…

“Entrepreneurs are never satisfied. They want to do things better. They strive for perfection and use all the ingenuity to their command to achieve it.” – J.W. Marriott Company Name Symbol YTD % Outperform? Apple AAPL 7.84 Y Alibaba BABA -18.37 N Altria MO 18.75 Y Cisco CSCO -1.2 N eBay EBAY 24.26 Y Financial Select SPDR XLF 1.52 N General Electric GE 20.66 Y Gilead Sciences GILD 10.41 Y Google (now Alphabet) GOOG 46.07 Y Google (now Alphabet) GOOGL 46.84 Y Health Care ETF XLV 6.02 Y Intel INTC -3.73 N SPDR S&P Bank ETF KBE 9.25 Y Republic Services RSG 10.09 Y Rio Tinto RIO -31.07 N Teva Pharma TEVA 16.12 Y Union Pacific UNP -32.46 N Utilities … Read more

Intel May Have a Breakout Year in 2016

Intel’s (INTC) third-quarter results, released October 14, didn’t turn many heads, but the company did beat expectations on both the top and bottom lines, performance that was well-received by the market. Revenue generated in the quarter was approximately flat on a year-over-year basis, but the mark did beat the consensus estimate by $250 million. The chip giant’s earnings of $0.64 per share in the quarter exceeded expectations by a nickel per share. It wasn’t a bad showing by any stretch of the imagination, but Intel continues to feel the pain of a shrinking personal computing market, even as optimism flies high with respect to the firm’s 6th Gen Intel Core processors. Revenue from Intel’s Data Center Group, which includes server, … Read more

Intel Beats Consensus Estimates and Weak PC Demand

Newsletter portfolios holding Intel (INTC) reported solid results in the second quarter of 2015 on July 15, beating consensus estimates for both revenue and earnings per share. Revenue of $13.2 billion declined 5% from the year-ago period, and earnings-per-share was flat at $0.55. Net income dropped 3% in the period on a year-over-year basis. Though gross margin decreased 2 percentage points to 62.5% from the year-ago period, it was above the 62% midpoint of management’s guidance. The company is executing well against its strategies, but its business is not immune to economic trends. Weak global PC demand has had an impact on Intel’s results. The firm’s Client Computing Group, a combination of its former PC Client and Mobile and Communications … Read more