Torn on Procter & Gamble

Image Source: Phil Manker When Procter & Gamble (PG) first reported its calendar fourth-quarter 2014 results in January, we came out on the stock suggesting investors need not panic. When we rolled the model forward (what this means), however, our team was left scratching our heads. We ended up cutting our fair value estimate on P&G’s shares to $74 from $84, and we felt we were even being generous to get to the mid-$70s with that estimate. We’re torn. We love the strength of Procter & Gamble’s core brands (especially Pampers, Tide, and Gillette), its dividend track record, and its robust free cash flow, but its valuation has become out of line – mostly due to a reset of its … Read more