BRKA

Berkshire’s Buybacks, More Earnings Reports

by

Berkshire’s Buybacks, More Earnings Reports — In alphabetical order by ticker symbol: ANET, ATVI, BRK.B, CHD, DWDP, DNKN, GILD, HBI, K, TEVA — Arista Networks (ANET): Arista reported a solid first-quarter report May 2, but its outlook for the second quarter left something to be desired. The cloud networking company could offer a hint to what to expect from Cisco (CSCO) when it reports in the coming week or so. Arista’s revenue during the first quarter was fine, jumping 26%, and earnings per share also handily beat, but top-line guidance for the second quarter came in at $600-$610 million, below consensus forecasts. It’s still early in the year to jump to any conclusions, but investors in Cisco should perhaps set expectations … Read more

Occidental Petroleum, Backed by Buffett’s Financial Firepower, Makes a Go At Anadarko Petroleum in an Affront to Chevron

by

Image Source: Occidental Petroleum Corporation – IR presentation The bidding war over Anadarko Petroleum is heating up with Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway offering to invest $10.0 billion in a new 8% preferred issue from Occidental Petroleum, along with warrants to purchase up to 80 million shares of OXY at $62.50, if the energy company successfully acquires Anadarko. Occidental is bidding against Chevron because both firms want Anadarko’s Permian Basin acreage, but the leverage Occidental would take on the fund the deal would be extremely onerous in our view. By Callum Turcan Apparently three’s a crowd in the energy world, with the bidding war over Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (APC) heating up now that Warren Buffett has thrown his hat into the … Read more

Part III: Buffett’s Letter to Berkshire Shareholders

by

Part III of our analysis of Buffett’s Letter to Berkshire Shareholders emphasizes the importance of companies buying back stock at prices below estimated intrinsic value. We talk about how the Oracle thinks about his excess cash, and why he always seems to be there ready to bail out trouble when the financial markets head south. His thoughts on the market are included, too. By Brian Nelson, CFA In the first part of our analysis of Buffett’s Letter to Berkshire Shareholders, released February 23, we emphasized how book value doesn’t make much sense in the equity valuation process for the valuation of non-financial operating companies, the importance of evaluating the price-to-fair value estimate ratio, and how to think about share buybacks … Read more

Part II: Buffett’s 2018 Letter to Berkshire Shareholders

by

Part I of this multi-part series focused on Warren Buffett’s transition away from what we consider arbitrary book value and how the Oracle of Omaha thinks about share buybacks. Let’s dig further into his letter in Part II. << Read Part I By Brian Nelson, CFA It was a long time coming but Warren Buffett has finally done away with book value as a measure of business performance (see Part I), and while we think there’s more to assessing a company than just looking at its market price of course, when it comes to operating entities, assessing intrinsic value, of which the market price is one estimate, remains a critical function of any discerning analyst. Book value, in any case, … Read more

Part I: Berkshire’s 2018 Shareholder Letter Does Not Disappoint

by

Warren Buffett was on point in his most recent letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. The company remains one of our favorite ideas in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. By Brian Nelson, CFA Warren Buffett wasted little time getting to the point in his 2018 letter to Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) shareholders, released February 23: Long-time readers of our annual reports will have spotted the different way in which I opened this letter. For nearly three decades, the initial paragraph featured the percentage change in Berkshire’s per-share book value. It’s now time to abandon that practice. Brian here. Those that have read my book Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation might have predicted as much. Warren Buffett is one of the … Read more

Raising Our Fair Value Estimate on Berkshire Hathaway, Our Thoughts on the Insurance Industry

by

Image Source: AIG Competitive Structure of the Insurance Industry Constituents in the insurance industry earn revenues primarily from insurance premiums, policy fees from life insurance/investment products, and income from investments. Operating expenses consist of policyholder benefits and claims incurred, interest credited to policyholders, commissions and other costs of servicing products, as well as general business expenses. An insurer’s profitability is dependent on its ability to price and manage risk on insurance and annuity products, to manage its portfolio of investments effectively, and to control costs through expense discipline. The insurance industry is highly competitive, with rivals numbering in the thousands–including stock companies, specialty insurance organizations, life insurers, mutual companies, other underwriting firms, and banks. Though risk-acceptance criteria, product pricing, and … Read more

Overweighting Outperformers

by

Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio (trading session October 21, interim) — Image: The performance of ideas in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio during the trading session October 21. Many of the higher-weighted ideas in the newsletter portfolio (weightings shown here) are propelling the portfolio to relative outperformance. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio comprises a portfolio constructed of Valuentum’s best ideas. These are companies that have scored favorably on the Valuentum Buying Index (VBI) and have been included in the newsletter portfolio with consideration of sector diversification and market/economic risk. The Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio is found in the Best Ideas Newsletter, which is released on the 15th of each month. Its archives can be accessed here. Source: Seeking Alpha. — Hi everyone, — As … Read more

Governance: The G in ESG Investing

by

By Valuentum Analysts No discussion of ESG investing would be complete without addressing the role of corporate governance (“stewardship”) in equity investing. As with the other aspects of ESG investing, corporate governance covers a lot of ground. It can include pretty much anything related to how a company is run, including leadership, executive compensation, audits and accounting, and shareholder rights. These areas are just the tip of the iceberg, however.  A company with good corporate governance is one that is run well with the proper incentives and with all stakeholders in mind, from employees to suppliers to customers to shareholders and beyond. Good corporate governance practices decrease the risk to investors as it cuts through conflicts of interest, misuse of … Read more

Credit Suisse Is a Case Study in Poor Governance and Why ESG Investing Matters

by

Image Shown: Shares of Credit Suisse Group AG have performed poorly in recent years as a revolving door of leaders combined with several major scandals have led to billions in losses and prompted Swiss regulators to launch investigations into the bank. The company has a plan in place to turn things around, though it will take years for these efforts to be fully reflected in its financial performance. Credit Suisse recently issued out lackluster guidance for 2022 that weakened investor confidence in its turnaround story. We think Credit Suisse is a good case study in poor corporate governance.   By Callum Turcan   A key part of the investment decision-making process involves evaluating a company’s leadership team, the process of which … Read more

Valuentum’s June Best Ideas Newsletter

by

Image: Page 49, June edition of American Library Association Booklist.   By Brian Nelson, CFA — Welcome new members!   Roughly 90% of active management is underperforming their benchmarks, after fees, over the trailing 15-year period ending 2018. It’s a sad story out there. Most active investors are performing backward-looking analysis, others are using short-cut multiple analysis to make decisions; still, others may be continuing down the path of thinking that may have gotten active management in trouble in the first place: theoretical quantitative finance.   The bedrock of finance, for example, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and its beta have been shown to explain little about stock market returns, yet it is still in finance textbooks and still on key … Read more