Are S&P 500 Stocks Returning Too Much Cash to Shareholders?

S&P 500 companies are on pace to return a record amount of capital to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases, but what are the investment implications? Let’s take a look. By Kris Rosemann How can any company return too much cash to its shareholders, right? Well, let’s first start this discussion of recent capital allocation trends with some clarifying thoughts. We’re not against corporations returning excess capital to shareholders via dividends and buybacks (SPYB, PKW), provided they are value-generating moves. In many ways, we’re just as excited as the rest of the market about generating sustainable and growing income via strong dividend paying equities, as evidenced by the existence of the Dividend Growth Newsletter and the strong performance of its … Read more

Taxes and the Distressed MLP Investor

Image show above: Performance of the Alerian MLP ETF. “Perhaps the worst thing about MLPs is that investors can spend more time doing and thinking about tax-related items than actually evaluating the businesses of the underlying entities. This could result in poor investment decisions.” – Brian Nelson, CFA By Brian Nelson, CFA What a sensitive topic for many… Our team presented at the Chicago chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) last weekend. It is always an honor and a privilege to have the opportunity to present to such wonderful people! They ask so many great questions. (By the way, I’m working on my schedule for 2017, so if you’d like our team to speak on a topic … Read more

Best Idea Kinder Morgan Working To Solve Debt Problem

Image Source: Benson Kua By The Valuentum Team Kinder Morgan is on its way to righting its debt problems, and we love it! When the US government seemingly raises the so-called debt ceiling every few months, how can the public view towards massive leverage and effectively being unable to repay future obligations without making significant changes hold a stigma? In many ways, it has now become “okay” to be buried under mountains of debt. Is it now the norm? Each citizen in the US, for example, owns a piece of its country’s $19.3 trillion national debt, amounting to a whopping $60,000 per person, and this number is growing. That means that each new baby born in America is saddled with … Read more

MLP Debate: Not Over?

I’d like to apologize in advance, but we have to cover some well-traveled ground…again. We know many of you joined “midstream” our call on Kinder Morgan and the MLP space, perhaps in January or February 2016, and some may not have the entire story arc. This article really may be the difference between a life-long customer and someone that cancels today. By Brian Nelson, CFA In June 2015, Valuentum issued a report “5 Reasons Why We Expect Kinder Morgan’s (KMI) Shares to Collapse,” a piece that included our warning about the impending collapse in shares of Kinder Morgan and our major concerns across the MLP spectrum due to their insufficient free cash flow relative to distributions paid in light of … Read more

Distributing Truth on MLPs

By Kris Rosemann The recent merger break-up fiasco at Energy Transfer Equity (ETE) and Williams Companies (WMB) has put the master limited partnership (MLP) conversation back into the spotlight, after the two entities were unable to finalize a merger that had been announced in fall 2015 and would have created the largest pipeline company in the US. The deal between Energy Transfer Equity and Williams was officially terminated by Energy Transfer Equity June 29 after a court ruled that the firm was legally able to walk away from the agreement when it was unable to deliver an opinion on the tax treatment of the transaction that was required by June 28. Williams has since stated that it will seek monetary … Read more

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 13

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 13. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AirBoss of America (ABSSF): now C$0.065 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.06. Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQUNF): now $0.1059 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09626. American Software (AMSWA): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Black Box (BBOX): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Colombia Pipeline (CPGX): now $0.13875 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.13375. Connecticut Water Service (CTWS): now $0.2825 per share … Read more

Part III: Nelson’s Evaluation of Berkshire’s 2015 Annual Report

<< Go back to Part I << Go back to Part II By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s always a wonder to open up on the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) annual report for a large variety of different reasons, but every time I do I can’t help but ponder yesteryear through the table on page 2, “Berkshire’s Performance vs. the S&P 500.” I think I have a unique knack for imagining what might have been if today’s standards would have been applied to Berkshire in the 1970s, perhaps in some ways how many baseball fans may think about whether the legends of the past would have put up the type of numbers that they did if presented with today’s dynamics. For … Read more

Valuentum Applauds SEC’s Move To Evaluate Non-GAAP Reporting

  Image Source: SEC By Brian Nelson, CFA Too many investors have been hurt. Management teams want to present their results the best way they can within the boundaries of the law, to bolster their holdings. Some analysts want to “pitch” their stocks in the most optimistic light possible, to preserve their jobs. The consumers of such research want the future to always be bright, so they want to believe the “good news.” The result: there are now very few places to find objective, unbiased research and analysis. It therefore has become more important for companies to provide the most accurate and helpful information possible, and non-GAAP earnings presentation isn’t it — in fact, it has gotten way out of whack. … Read more

The Market – On Its Head

By Brian Nelson, CFA The sector/theme returns have almost been turned on their head as some of the worst performers in the first few weeks of 2016, namely materials (XLB), energy MLPs (AMLP, AMZ), and energy (XLE), have transformed into leaders through the latest data update, April 21. As we outlined in “Alerts: Adding More High-Quality Exposure, (April 2016)” the dividend “track record” growth craze is on, in our view, and yield-rich exposures from utilities (XLU) to the dividend-growth focus itself (SDY) have rallied more than 9% in the year thus far. The metals gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) have also proved to be good trades out of the gates thus far in 2016, up ~18% and 23%, respectively, though … Read more

ETE Down 70%; IBM Poor Quality, Netflix Begins to Implode

Shown above: Energy Transfer Equity’s recent share price performance. A lot of investors depend on us for our energy research. We’ve been busy publishing on the website, and we can’t possibly send out all of our research via email, so please come visit. Many are aware of our take in any case: the energy master limited partnership (AMLP, AMZ) isn’t going away tomorrow, but it may not last over the long haul. This is nothing new. We’ve been saying this since the peak in energy MLP share prices, which just so happened to coincide with Energy Transfer Equity’s (ETE) heights in the mid-$30s. Our readers understand that we’re taking the long view with MLPs when we talk about business models … Read more