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Recent Articles
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Disney’s Free Cash Flow Is Expected to Surge But A Strong Recovery Is Already Priced In
Nov 9, 2023
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Image Source: Valuentum.
On November 8, Disney reported improved fourth-quarter results for its fiscal 2023. Revenue advanced 5% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter, and the firm drove non-GAAP diluted earnings per share to $0.82 from $0.30 in the prior year period. The company’s Disney+ streaming service added 7 million core customers in the quarter, and its commentary that its streaming business would reach profitability in the fourth quarter of next fiscal year was welcome. Cost savings will be key, and the executive team expects free cash flow to grow significantly in fiscal 2024 versus the most recently reported year. All of this was great news, but a massive recovery in free cash flow is already factored into its price. Our $81 fair value estimate remains unchanged.
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Gilead's Oncology Business Could Represent One Third of Product Revenue By 2030
Nov 8, 2023
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Image: Gilead’s potential in oncology speaks to long-term sustainability.
On November 7, Gilead Sciences reported better-than-expected third-quarter results with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share handily beating the consensus estimates. Gilead was once a market darling having cured hepatitis C, but success in this area has forced the company to reinvent itself, and it continues to make solid progress in HIV product sales and oncology (Trodelvy and Cell Therapy). We have Gilead on our radar for consideration, and the company’s dividend yield of ~3.7% pays investors to wait for its promising pipeline to flourish. We value Gilead north of $100 per share, far above where it is currently trading.
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Vertex Pharma Hits All-Time Highs!
Nov 7, 2023
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Image: Vertex Pharma is one of our favorite biotech ideas, and the company continues to power to new highs.
Vertex Pharma is one of the best biopharma ideas on the market today. The company’s CF franchise throws off a lot of free cash flow, and it holds a pristine balance sheet with a huge net cash position. Not only this, but the firm’s pipeline has impressive potential. Vertex’s next line-up up therapies could go a long way toward solving the opioid epidemic, while its ventures with CRISPR Therapeutics offer further long-term upside potential in gene-editing technology, one of the most exciting areas of biotech these days. The high end of our fair value estimate range stands north of $460, and we continue to like Vertex as a core idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
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Business as Usual at Berkshire
Nov 5, 2023
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Image: Berkshire Hathaway continues to be a strong free cash flow generator.
Berkshire Hathaway reported third-quarter results on November 4 that were about in-line with what we were expecting. A huge cash balance and strong free cash flow are par for the course at Berkshire, and the company’s stake in Apple continues to power its equity securities portfolio. Year-to-date shares of Berkshire are up more than 13%, but we do admit that some of the luster has come off shares in light of the performance of asset-heavy names across the utilities and energy sectors. Given Berkshire’s strong run the past few years, we’re not as enamored with shares as we once were, but we still think they are worthy of inclusion to the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
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