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Valuentum Commentary
Nov 14, 2017
How Have Our “Best Ideas” Performed During 2017?
The top-weighted ideas are getting the job done, while we avoided one of the biggest missteps in all of 2017. We’ve had better years, but 2017 was still a great one. Oct 23, 2017
Restasis Patent Protection Weighing on Shares of Allergan
Image Source: Allergan. We have witnessed numerous examples over the years of biotech/pharma companies selling-off over fears of the length of patent protection on an essential product. The concern is well-founded--if the company relies on the product for a significant portion of sales, it may be challenging to replace, especially if the clinical pipeline is relatively bereft of viable next-generation products. We believe the recent sell-off in the shares of Allergan may now be wholly factoring in the loss of patent protection of one of its core assets in Restasis, and the equity may not be getting enough credit for its highly diversified revenue stream. Oct 5, 2017
Competitive Pressures Not Going Away for Teva
Image Source: Mylan. The end of the patent life of a lucrative product can often lead to significant legal strife as aspiring biosimilar equivalents jockey for exclusivity. We have found the recent aggressive move by Mylan noteworthy in our ongoing coverage of Teva’s recent struggles. On a separate but related note, the settlement between Amgen and Abbvie underscores the volatile nature of maneuvers conducted in order to extend the patent life of a highly successful product. Sep 21, 2017
The Asset Sales at Teva Have Begun
Image Source: Teva. We continue to watch the implosion of Teva with some interest; the company was once a Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea thanks to its strong ability to generate a copious amount of free cash flow. However, Teva made the classic mistake of purchasing a company that operates in a highly-commoditized industry at a market top while loading up the balance sheet with an enormous amount of debt at the precise time the favorable industry dynamics began transitioning to a headwind. Let’s review the company’s progress for signs of a turnaround. Aug 27, 2017
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending August 25
Let's take a look at companies raising/lowering their dividend this week. Aug 7, 2017
Generic Drug Price Deflation Continues to Weigh on Shares of Teva
Shares of former Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Teva Pharmaceuticals have come under renewed selling pressure after reporting weak quarterly results due largely to deflationary price pressures felt in the generic drug division. Teva has been relatively powerless in stopping the trend. We had removed the shares from the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio well before the last leg down, and the Dividend Cushion ratio warned of tremendous risk to the sustainability of the dividend far in advance. Jun 15, 2017
I CARE
Image: The S&P 500 from early 2009 through today, June 15, 2017. May 25, 2017
Alerts – Spring Cleaning in the Newsletter Portfolios
We’re making a number of changes to the newsletter portfolios. May 24, 2017
Pipeline Woes Continue to Plague Amgen
Image Source: kibbles_bits. The commercial viability of a biotech outfit’s pipeline can often determine the future path of the share price. Irrespective of the past performance, if a company cannot innovate, it will witness its competitive position erode, leading to an inevitable decline in revenue. The latest setback from the clinical labs continues to support a bearish stance on Amgen. May 8, 2017
Stop Thinking Chronologically and Start Thinking Psychologically
Image Source: Kenzie Saunders. Let’s cover three important investing prompts, "The Psychology of the Markets," "Dividends Are a Symptom, Not a Driver of Intrinsic Value," and "Don't Revenue and Earnings Have to Advance for Stocks to Go Up?" Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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