Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

The Future for Independent Advisors and Planners Is…Stock Selection? What?
Image Source: 401K Calculator. "The annual fee of 0.04% to invest in an index ETF, for example, on a portfolio of $250,000 might run about $100/year. Over 25 years, assuming no compounding, that’s $2,500. Setting up a diversified portfolio of 40-50 or so blue-chip, moaty, dividend-paying stocks might cost $200-$300 in total over 25 years, assuming little-to-no turnover, set up through a discount broker. Spread out over dozens of clients, you’re talking real savings for clients."

Feb 15, 2018

Cisco Rallies Big Time!
Image shown: Performance of the S&P 500 (SPY) since August 2017. As US equities continue their newly-found volatility, let’s take a look at some recent earnings reports and other developments around the markets. Cisco, the workhorse of both simulated newsletter portfolios, put up a fantastic report and upped its dividend. Berkshire continues to love Apple, and we maintain the view that the 10-year Treasury rate may be the greatest determinant of how well stocks perform in the coming decades. Airlines, garbage stocks, the “gas tax,” and more.

Feb 8, 2018

Rising Risk Free Rates Threatening Market, Removing CVS and Hanesbrands
The most important variable to keep your eye on, the 10-year Treasury, is rising, and the long-term implications on equity values could be considerable. We don’t think the moves thus far have been too disruptive, but continued concerns over US tax receipts and infrastructure/defense spending could send sovereign yields roaring higher. As fourth-quarter earnings season marches on, let’s take a look at some meaningful recent quarterly reports. We’re also shedding two companies from the simulated newsletter portfolios.

Jan 31, 2018

Boeing!
Image shown: Boeing's shares have been rocketing higher of late! We couldn’t be more pleased with how one of our best ideas for consideration has performed: Boeing!

Dec 30, 2017

Bank Valuations and We're All Market Timers?
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson dives into questions about why an enterprise free cash flow model is not used for banking and insurance entities, and offers up the idea that we all might be market timers. What do you think? Running time: ~14 minutes.

Sep 6, 2017

First Harvey, Now Irma
Image Source: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. NASA Sees Irma Strengthen to a Category 5 Hurricane. This visible light image of Hurricane Irma was captured by NOAA's GOES East satellite as it strengthened to a Category 5 hurricane in the Central Atlantic Ocean on Sept. 5 at 7:45 a.m. EDT (1145 UTC). NASA and NOAA satellites have been providing valuable satellite imagery to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center, and revealed that Hurricane Irma has strengthened to a Category 5 hurricane on Sept. 5 around 8 a.m. EDT (1200 UTC). Credits: NASA/NOAA GOES Project. Hurricane season 2017 has not been kind to insurers.

Aug 9, 2017

North Korea and the Bomb
Image Source: James Vaughan. Tensions between the United States and North Korea have heightened, and we may look to August 2017 as the dawn of yet another Cold War. The news has little impact on our thesis, however. US stocks generally remain overvalued, and some of them considerably. In this note, let’s cover a few stocks in the news and reiterate our positive stance on the defense industry, two of our favorite ideas recently highlighted in the Nelson Exclusive publication. Learn more about the Nelson Exclusive publication here.

Aug 9, 2017

ETF Analysis: Banks and Financials
Investors that may not be comfortable dabbling in shares of one individual bank equity may find a low-cost, diversified banking ETF more amenable.

Jul 1, 2017

Malkiel Balks, Yellen Talks
Let’s first address how research in the financial industry is becoming more and more open to combining value and momentum considerations. We’ll also cover a few takeaways from the stress tests and some ‘strong’ talk from Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

Jun 26, 2017

Random Musings: Retail, REITs, BlackBerry, and More
Image shown: Best Buy's resiliency in the face of competition from Amazon. Let’s cover some recent news.

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