Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Deere Expects Replacement Cycle to Continue Despite Trade Tensions
Image Source: David Wright. Deere & Co’s fiscal 2018 fourth quarter report included expectations for the replacement cycle for farm machinery to continue despite global trade tensions and other geopolitical uncertainty. Its equipment operations have performed well of late as it continues to ride a wave of solid demand.

Sep 5, 2018

There Is Milk At The Store
"Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning." -- Winston Churchill

Aug 31, 2018

Near-term Optimism at Caterpillar and Deere
Caterpillar and Deere serve notoriously cyclical end markets, but both companies appear to be quite optimistic with their near-term outlooks, even as trade issues weigh on their international operations. Shares of Cat yield ~2.4%, while shares of Deere yield ~1.9%.

Aug 6, 2018

Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution
The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones.

May 30, 2018

Study: Valuentum's Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio
"Though we largely achieved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio’s goals in advancing the newsletter portfolio each publication year (ends December 15) and achieving relative outperformance and risk-adjusted superiority to the benchmark, we may have done even better had our equity allocation been full during the measurement period." -- Brian Nelson, CFA

Apr 25, 2018

Demand Bouncing Off Multi-Year Bottom at Caterpillar
Improvement in Caterpillar’s underlying end markets is driving its performance, and management took the opportunity following a solid showing in the first quarter of 2018 to raise its bottom-line guidance for the full year. The market, however, did not look favorably on management’s comments that the first quarter should be expected to be the “high-water mark” for the year in terms of margin performance. We’ve updated our fair value estimate of shares.

Apr 18, 2018

ICYMI: Valuentum’s Improved Stock and ETF Web Pages
Valuentum has rolled out improved stock and ETF web pages on its website www.valuentum.com. Now, subscribers can access key proprietary information on the stock and ETF web pages in addition to the customary stock and ETF reports.

Mar 22, 2018

Trump Targets China with Tariffs
Image: Shanghai, China (December 2016), Andrey Filippov. Stock markets in the US are slowly building in the prospect of retaliation (a “trade war”) from China, as a result of President Trump’s new tariffs. We maintain our view that the stock market has been frothy for some time, and the recent volatility may just be the beginning of a reversion to normalized valuations, with or without concerns about global trade.

Mar 12, 2018

The "Luck" and "Randomness" of Index Funds
If the year-to-year performance of active funds relative to index funds can be considered “random,” so then is the year-to-year performance of index funds relative to active funds, regardless of fees and expenses. Image shown: page 1 of 14.

Mar 1, 2018

Trump’s Tariffs Ignite Concerns about Protectionism, Rising Input Costs
Image Source: Michael Vadon. President Trump is making true on his promise to protect the domestic steel and aluminum industries. Input costs may move higher for many global industrials, and the long-term implications of protectionist policy will be tested. We’re not expecting retaliation, but we can’t rule it out either. Rising rates remain our primary concern.

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Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor