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Valuentum Commentary
Dec 19, 2017
Homebuilder Optimism Rises to Decades-Long Highs; Valuations Similarly High
Image shown: The iShares US Home Construction ETF’s (ITB) share price performance since the beginning of 2017. Shares are up more than 55% year-to-date (2017). The Housing Market Index, which is based on a monthly survey of National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) members, posted a higher than expected jump in the most recent release of the monthly survey-based index, and homebuilders are nearly as optimistic as they have been at any point in the past two decades. Jun 26, 2017
Random Musings: Retail, REITs, BlackBerry, and More
Image shown: Best Buy's resiliency in the face of competition from Amazon. Let’s cover some recent news. Jun 5, 2017
Labor and the Economic Cycle
As we arguably near the “peak” in the business cycle, labor is starting to demand more, a dynamic that we believe is emblematic of the period of aging economic expansion. Let’s have a look at what’s happening in the fight for higher wages. May 17, 2017
Volatility Spikes, Oh Cisco, the Mighty US Dollar, and More
Image Source: CBOE. Let’s talk about recent market events May 17. There’s a lot going on. Jul 11, 2016
Understanding the Market Melt Up
Image Source: Martin Thomas. No – things are not getting better. The discount rate is shrinking – and that means rising equity values. Jun 24, 2016
Brexit: Secession Bells Are Ringing!
First Baptist Church in Columbia, S.C., where the first secession convention in the United States opened on Dec. 17, 1860. Source: Library of Congress, Washington, DC. Photo. Encyclopædia Britannica Online. Web. 24 Jun. 2016. Global markets are plunging, and the implosion may still be in the early innings. Market valuations remain stretched among stagnant global economic growth, and “Brexit” may be the catalyst for a correction. Jun 15, 2016
5 Years Strong!
Image Source: Andy Maguire. So much to say... let's talk. May 23, 2016
Why The Fed Matters
As higher discount rates are embedded in traditional valuation models, the value of long-duration free cash flows is reduced exponentially, shrinking estimates of intrinsic worth. It’s purely fundamental. Feb 1, 2016
Dividend Growth ‘Bubble’ To Continue But For How Long?
Let’s talk about it. Jan 25, 2016
What’s Working in Today’s Market?
Let’s take a look at the major sectors to see where assets are flocking to and away from so far in 2016. We’ll talk about recent news, and several equities we’re paying particularly close attention to for addition to the newsletter portfolios. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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