Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Mar 11, 2020

Worst in Energy Not Over, Stay Away from Leveraged Enterprises, Seeds of Financial Crisis Sown?
Image Shown: The energy and banking markets continue to be experiencing pain. Since we removed the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) and Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) from the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, the XLE has fallen more than 50% and the XLF has fallen 13%, while the SPY has held up roughly 2%. We continue to believe staying away from energy and financials/banks will be a source of significant alpha.These are challenging times. The oil price swoon has complicated an already-dire situation with COVID-19. We’re seeing cracks in the credit markets, and the European banking system is far from healthy. The US banks may face knock-on impacts from energy loan defaults and hold significant counter-party risk from their European brethren, which have breached post-Lehman lows. We’re doubtful any fiscal stimulus will stave off this crisis, and it may just set up the markets for the next leg down, if Congress ends up in a stalemate. We will continue to keep our members informed on the state of global energy markets as more information becomes available, but we think avoiding energy and banks/financials will continue to be a source of alpha. We removed the XLE and XLF from the newsletter portfolios in August of last year. We’re reiterating our 2,350-2,750 target range on the S&P 500.

Aug 6, 2017

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending August 4
Let's take a look at companies raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Jul 1, 2017

Malkiel Balks, Yellen Talks
Let’s first address how research in the financial industry is becoming more and more open to combining value and momentum considerations. We’ll also cover a few takeaways from the stress tests and some ‘strong’ talk from Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

May 18, 2017

Brazil: Sorry For Your Losses
The Brazilian equity markets are in free fall.

May 1, 2017

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending Apr 28
Let's take a look at companies raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Oct 17, 2016

Breaking the Bank…
Image Source: Tony Webster. The fragility of the global banking system is not to be taken lightly…

Apr 7, 2016

Debt, Debt and More Debt
Image Source: Michael Fleshman. A shocking statistic in education, an important “hidden” data point on auto sales, trouble at the malls, tracking the commercial aerospace cycle, and our thesis on banking equities continues to ring true...