Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Nov 16, 2020

Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process
With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company's revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There's a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members.

Apr 7, 2020

24 in a Row! Order the Exclusive Today!
Image Source: An excerpt from the March 2020 edition of the Exclusive publication. Valuentum offers commentary across the capital stack in the Exclusive publication. In the Exclusive publication, Valuentum highlights three new ideas each month to consider, one for income, one for capital appreciation, and a "short" idea (all three outside our existing coverage universe). Through March 2020, the success rate for capital appreciation ideas is 84%+ and an incredible 95%+ for short-idea considerations. As of this writing, the Exclusive is currently on a short-idea win streak of 24 in a row! Make sure the Exclusive is part of your Valuentum membership.

Jun 11, 2019

Beyond Meat’s Market: $5 Billion or $1.5 Trillion?
Image: The Beyond Burger accounted for about 70% of the company’s sales in 2018. Source: S-1. The big question: how big is Beyond Meat’s opportunity? Is it $5 billion or $1.5 trillion?

Nov 8, 2018

Comps Accelerate and Margins Expand in Chipotle’s Third Quarter
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The once beaten down fast casual restaurant chain Chipotle is back to delivering solid comparable restaurant sales growth thanks to menu price increases, and restaurant level operating margin expanded significantly as lower marketing and promotional spending was required to appease cautious consumers.

Jun 27, 2018

Restaurant Traffic Down, Chipotle Still a Favorite Idea
Image Source: Chipotle (page 89 of 160). In late April of this year, we added Chipotle to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. The high end of our fair value estimate is nearly $600.

Aug 17, 2015

Fast Casual Burger Growth Sizzling!
Newly public, fast-casual burger companies are reporting tremendous top-line growth.

May 12, 2015

Turnaround Plan at McDonald's Does Not Fly With Franchisees
The answer to the troubles at McDonald's may not rest with this iteration of its turnaround plan. We think the best time to own McDonald's equity has passed.

Feb 4, 2015

Yum! Brands’ Fourth-Quarter Earnings Preview
Yum! Brands reports after the bell today. Watch Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson on CNBCAsia at 5:40CT.