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Valuentum Commentary
Nov 16, 2020
Value Is Not Static and the Qualitative Overlay Is Vital to Our Process
With prudence and care, the Valuentum Buying Index process and its components are carried out. Our analyst team spends most of its time thinking about the intrinsic value of companies within the context of a discounted cash-flow model and evaluating the risk profile of a company's revenue model. We have checks and balances, too. First, we use a fair value range in our valuation approach as we embrace the very important concept that value is a range and not a point estimate. A relative value overlay as the second pillar helps to add conviction in the discounted cash-flow process, while a technical and momentum overlay seeks to provide confirmation in all of the valuation work. There's a lot happening behind the scenes even before a VBI rating is published, but it will always be just one factor to consider. Within any process, of course, we value the human, qualitative overlay, which captures a wealth of experience and common sense. We strive to surface our best ideas for members. Aug 20, 2020
Marriott International Can Survive COVID-19
Image Shown: Shares of Marriott International Inc have recovered somewhat from their March 2020 lows and are currently trading in the lower bound of our fair value estimate range. On August 10, Marriott International reported second quarter 2020 earnings that missed both consensus top- and bottom-line estimates. Marriott International’s financials have been devasted by the ongoing coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic, though its saving grace has been its asset-light business model which is built around property management and franchise fees. Most of its revenue comes from managing third-party locations and franchising out its various hotel brands to third-parties including Courtyard, Fairfield by Marriott, Residence Inn, Marriott Hotels, Sheraton, Westin, and others. Please note many of its franchised locations are also managed by Marriott International. Mar 25, 2020
Gut-Wrenching Volatility and Credit Facility Panic
Image shown: Stock markets have never been this volatile in history. Our 2,350-2,750 fair value on the S&P 500 remains unchanged, and we could see aggressive panic/forced selling to 2,000 on the broad market index (the S&P 500 closed at 2,447 on March 24). Long-term investors with time horizons greater than 10 years may have already been nibbling at this market, using dollar cost averaging strategies and may benefit from any bear market rally. These long-term investors have a keen eye toward retaining dry powder in the event the worst of the swoon is still ahead. Our additional options commentary can be added to your membership here. Mar 20, 2020
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending March 20
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Jul 2, 2017
Prepared Remarks From Nelson Exclusive Conference Call June 30
Read President of Investment Research Brian Nelson's prepared remarks for the yearly roundup conference call, held for Nelson Exclusive members. May 4, 2017
Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More
Valuentum's President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing. Nov 8, 2016
Podcast: REITs, Interest Rates and Beyond!
The Valuentum analyst team talks REITs and the reasons why REIT investors should pay close attention to changes in Treasury rates. Various secular themes across the data center, healthcare, office, and mall REITs are discussed, and an explanation for the sector's systematically poor raw, unadjusted Dividend Cushion ratios is covered. ~8 mins. Mar 30, 2014
Dividend Increases for the Week Ending March 28
Let's take a look at dividend increases for the week ending March 28. Mar 1, 2013
Firms Raising Their Dividends in the Week Ending March 1
The flurry of dividend increases continued in the week ending March 1. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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