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Valuentum Commentary
Oct 23, 2017
Restasis Patent Protection Weighing on Shares of Allergan
Image Source: Allergan. We have witnessed numerous examples over the years of biotech/pharma companies selling-off over fears of the length of patent protection on an essential product. The concern is well-founded--if the company relies on the product for a significant portion of sales, it may be challenging to replace, especially if the clinical pipeline is relatively bereft of viable next-generation products. We believe the recent sell-off in the shares of Allergan may now be wholly factoring in the loss of patent protection of one of its core assets in Restasis, and the equity may not be getting enough credit for its highly diversified revenue stream. Oct 12, 2017
An Overview on Valuing Junior Biotech Companies -- Does Clovis Fit the Bill?
The biotech industry remains one of the most fascinating yet perplexing industries for investors. Anecdotes of the entry-stage biotech with a home-run new therapy are often romanticized, but the reality is the vast majority of molecules fail in various stages of clinical testing. Due to the boom-bust nature of the industry, many are wary of investing in the space, and traditional valuation metrics are not as useful due to a large number of such speculative entities being in the pre-revenue stage. With this in mind, let’s take a glimpse into our thought process when evaluating upstart biotech companies. Oct 5, 2017
The Legal Battle Between Regeneron and Amgen Heats Up
Image Source: Regeneron. The legal battle between two of the titans of the biotech world heated up further with a recent ruling overturning the injunction of a critical asset. We are updating our thesis in light of current events. Sep 22, 2017
Best in Biotech? Global Blood Therapeutics' Promising Treatment for Sickle Cell Anemia
Image Source: National Institute for Health. We remain impressed with the depth of research conducted over a wide host of disease states. Though a molecule may appear to hold significant promise in the pre-clinical phase, we have often witnessed the unique ability of the human body to react to various treatments. Often an unwanted side effect can torpedo a treatment, thus relegating millions of dollars of research obsolete. However, if a promising molecule is brought to market, the payoff is often well worth the effort. Our goal is to sift through the various clinical data to unearth the most promising treatments with the understanding that nothing is assured until the FDA authorizes the product for marketing in the US. We believe we have identified a promising junior biotech in the rare drug field with a promising treatment for sickle-cell anemia. Sep 14, 2017
Upadacitinib Posts Impressive Data for AbbVie
Image Source: AbbVie. In the pharmaceutical realm, the productivity of the clinical pipeline is essential to replace the loss of revenue due to an expiration of the patent life of a product. AbbVie is facing the monumental task of having to diversify away from the top-selling pharmaceutical product in the world with little in the way of assurances the transition will be a success. We are pleased with the recent data release on Upadacitinib as we view the molecule as AbbVie’s top R&D product. Sep 11, 2017
Canakinumab Posts Some Impressive Data For Novartis
Image Source: Novartis. We remain impressed with the depth of the clinical pipeline that is currently being brought out to market by the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea Novartis. We closely follow the data delivered from clinical trials to gauge the potential for the pipeline; in the case of Novartis, we feel the strength of the emerging pipeline bodes very well for continued dividend growth over the next few years. In this piece, we will detail the clinical results for Canakinumab, as we feel the molecule will nicely complement Novartis’ burgeoning cardiovascular unit. Sep 5, 2017
Gilead Sciences Finally Takes Out A Promising Biotech
Image Source: Gilead. We are pleased to see that Gilead Sciences has decided to put its vast cash hoard to use by acquiring a cutting-edge technology that will further its clinical pipeline. Sep 1, 2017
Let's Talk Business Analysis
Image Source: Ian. Valuentum's Brian Nelson explains the benefits of combining both economic moat and economic castle analysis in business analysis. An excerpt from part II of Valuentum's four-part investment education workshop. Aug 7, 2017
Generic Drug Price Deflation Continues to Weigh on Shares of Teva
Shares of former Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio idea Teva Pharmaceuticals have come under renewed selling pressure after reporting weak quarterly results due largely to deflationary price pressures felt in the generic drug division. Teva has been relatively powerless in stopping the trend. We had removed the shares from the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio well before the last leg down, and the Dividend Cushion ratio warned of tremendous risk to the sustainability of the dividend far in advance. Jul 31, 2017
Amgen’s Pipeline Continues to Disappoint
Image Source: Amgen. The ability to generate commercially-viable products via the clinical pipeline is crucial to grow profits and offset revenue declines from the loss of patent protection. We remain unimpressed with the progress shown thus far by biotech stalwart Amgen. Let’s review the clinical pipeline along with a consideration of the recently-released earnings report. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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