Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Mar 12, 2018

The "Luck" and "Randomness" of Index Funds
If the year-to-year performance of active funds relative to index funds can be considered “random,” so then is the year-to-year performance of index funds relative to active funds, regardless of fees and expenses. Image shown: page 1 of 14.

Feb 15, 2018

Cisco Rallies Big Time!
Image shown: Performance of the S&P 500 (SPY) since August 2017. As US equities continue their newly-found volatility, let’s take a look at some recent earnings reports and other developments around the markets. Cisco, the workhorse of both simulated newsletter portfolios, put up a fantastic report and upped its dividend. Berkshire continues to love Apple, and we maintain the view that the 10-year Treasury rate may be the greatest determinant of how well stocks perform in the coming decades. Airlines, garbage stocks, the “gas tax,” and more.

Feb 9, 2018

Systemic Risk
Image Source: Maximo Santana. We believe the next crisis will not be a banking crisis, but one of a breakdown in market structure.

Dec 19, 2017

Video: Quants! You're NOT Measuring VALUE and Nelson's Theory of Universal Value
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson defines the concept of universal value and shows how quantitative statistical methods are inextricably linked to those of fundamental, financial, business-model related analysis. Value does not exist in respective process vacuums! Value is universal. Find out why. Running time: ~10 minutes.

Nov 26, 2017

How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform
Image Source: DonkeyHotey. Donald Trump and team are working hard to “Make America Great Again,” and lowering tax rates on corporations is a key initiative. Nobody knows for sure whether such efforts will come to fruition, but knowing how to use our research and understanding the fair value estimate range puts you ahead of the crowd, if it hasn’t already.

Oct 25, 2017

Analysis of Marcus Corp (MCS) and Schneider National Trucking (SNDR)
Image Source: Dan. Marcus Corp has done well in establishing itself as a meaningful regional player in the movie theater market, and its ability to outperform the industry in terms of box office results and profitability in its movie theater operations--thanks in part to its solid portfolio of owned real estate--is impressive. However, inconsistent free cash flow generation and a notable debt load give us some reason for pause, as does its weak Dividend Cushion ratio, and we see little valuation opportunity present in shares at this time. Schneider National Trucking operates a broad portfolio of freight transportation and logistics solutions that appear to be positioned well for profitable growth thanks to a diversified customer base, the proliferation of e-commerce, and potential margin-expanding initiatives. We generally prefer the business models of more asset-light peers, however, as the company’s free cash flow generation suffers due to the capital intensity of maintaining of a fleet of owned transportation equipment. We’re expecting ongoing expansion in its cash flow generating capacity, as a result of ongoing cash flow from operations expansion and lower capital spending in the near term, but shares of Schneider are trading firmly in the upper half of our fair value estimate range at the moment.

Aug 19, 2017

Realty Income Has Avoided Much of the Trouble in Retail
Image Source: Realty Income. Realty Income’s dividend track record largely speaks for itself, and the REIT may be one of the most attractive in its peer universe. With a focus on some of the strongest retail tenants, it has largely avoided most of the trouble in retail. The REIT recently declared its 566th consecutive common stock monthly dividend.

Jun 19, 2017

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 16
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividends this week.

May 4, 2017

Valuentum’s 3 Breakthroughs in the Field of Finance and More
Valuentum's President Brian Nelson pauses for a picture before speaking at the CFA Society of Houston in March 2017. Let’s cover Valuentum’s 3 major breakthroughs in the field of finance. The first one is big and may challenge you to rethink everything you think you know about investing.

Jun 12, 2016

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending June 10
Let's take a look at companies raising/lowering their dividends this week.