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Valuentum Commentary
Oct 30, 2019
Johnson & Johnson Announces New Test Results That Reveal No Traces of Asbestos in Johnson Baby Powder Products
Image Source: Johnson & Johnson – February 2019 CAGNY IR Presentation. Major retailers including Walmart, Rite Aid Corp, and CVS Health pulled Johnson Baby Powder products from their shelves after the announcement by the FDA. Johnson & Johnson is hoping that by fighting back it can preserve its brand power, revenues, and position on retailer’s shelves once it’s all said and done. We will continue to monitor this situation going forward and would like to note that Johnson & Johnson, potential legal liabilities aside, raised its full-year guidance for 2019 multiple times this year highlighting the underlying demand for its vast array of healthcare-related offerings. That supports a nice free cash flow growth trajectory. Oct 20, 2019
Johnson & Johnson’s Talc Problems Hit Another Bump
Image Shown: Johnson & Johnson’s embattled ‘Baby Care’ segment performed poorly during the third quarter of 2019. Image Source: Johnson & Johnson – IR Presentation. Johnson & Johnson was back in the news Friday October 18 when the company announced it was voluntarily recalling “a single lot” of its embattled Johnson’s Baby Powder product in the US due to alleged asbestos contamination risks. The US Food and Drug Administration tested a single bottle from this lot, according to Johnson & Johnson, with the federal regulator noting that sub-trace levels (no greater than 0.00002%) of chrysotile asbestos had been detected in the bottle. Johnson & Johnson plans to vigorously contest these allegations and maintains that its talc products don’t contain asbestos. Oct 15, 2019
Johnson & Johnson Raises Full-Year Guidance Yet Again
Mounting legal liabilities have been weighing negatively against Johnson & Johnson and its stock price over the past year as investors fret about the size of these potential settlements/judgements. We see the firm’s latest quarterly performance and guidance increase for 2019 as validation of the strength of Johnson & Johnson’s broad-based healthcare business model. Once the market gets a better idea of Johnson & Johnson’s total potential legal liabilities, shares could begin to converge towards their intrinsic value given the underlying strength in the firm’s businesses. Our fair value estimate for shares of JNJ stands at ~$150 per share. Oct 12, 2019
ICYMI: Interview with Valuentum's President Brian M. Nelson, CFA
Catch up with Valuentum's President Brian M. Nelson, CFA in a recent interview with dividend growth investor Arne Magnus Lorentzen Ulland of the blog stockles. Sep 3, 2019
Triple-A Rated J&J’s Opioid Liabilities Likely More Than Priced In
Image Source: J&J. Shares of J&J have settled into the high-$120s at the time of this writing, well below our ~$150 fair value estimate. We’re going to stick with J&J in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio at this time. Aug 2, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending August 2
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Jun 4, 2019
VBI 9-Rated AmerisourceBergen Now On Our Radar
Image Source: AmerisourceBergen Corpration -- IR Presentation. Let's take a look at VBI 9-rated stock AmerisourceBergen, a pharmaceutical sourcing and distribution company that yields 2% as of this writing. We like AmerisourceBergen's dividend growth story, strong free cash flow generation, guidance raise, and relatively low net debt load. We'll also cover AmerisourceBergen's downside risks as well as its upside potential. Shares appear undervalued as things stand today, with ABC trading below the low end of our fair value estimate range. May 28, 2019
Our Reports on Stocks in the Healthcare Products Distributors Industry
Image Source: Express Scripts. We have dropped coverage of the Healthcare Products Distributors industry: ABC, CAH, HSIC, MCK, PDCO. May 14, 2019
Markets Swooning, Expect Extreme Volatility, Finger on Put-Option Trigger
Image shown: We notified members December 26 that we had moved the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio to a "fully invested" position, from a 30% and 20% cash "weighting" at the high end of the range, respectively. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
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and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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Image Shown: Shares of Procter & Gamble have been on an epic run since mid-2018, and we think shares have gotten ahead of themselves here.Consumer staples giant Procter & Gamble is a solid company that generates sizable and consistent free cash flows. However, in our view, shares of PG have gotten way ahead of themselves due to a “flight to quality” that has seen the market bid up P&G’s share price from the low $70s in April 2018 to almost $120 as of this writing. Shares of PG now yield 2.5% as of this writing and trade well above the top end of our fair value estimate range of $101 per share. Please note P&G has paid out a dividend for 129 consecutive years and the company has increased its payout over the past 63 consecutive years, earning it the coveted status of ‘Dividend Aristocrat’.