We liked Costco’s fiscal 2024 fourth quarter performance, despite the slight miss on the top line. Based on its adjusted comp performance in the period, we think Costco is gaining share against other big box retailers, too. The only problem with Costco, however, at the moment is its valuation, which remains elevated, with shares trading at 45-50 times next year’s earnings. Costco is a great company, but our fair value estimate is substantially below its share price, meaning we won’t be interested in shares unless they drop significantly.
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