UnitedHealth Group Raises Guidance for 2023
April 14, 2023
By Brian Nelson, CFA On April 14, UnitedHealth Group (UNH) reported first-quarter 2023 that beat the consensus estimates on both the top and bottom lines. Revenue advanced 14.7% in the quarter, while non-GAAP earnings per share of $6.26 beat the consensus number by $0.18, increasing from $5.49 per share in the prior-year period. The high end of the fair value estimate range of UnitedHealthGroup stands north of $600 per share, implying considerable valuation upside potential compared to where shares are trading at the time of this writing. Image: We view valuation as a range of probable fair value outcomes. The high end of the fair value estimate range for UnitedHealth Group stands north of $600. Shares are currently trading at
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of April 14
April 14, 2023
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Aon (AON): now $0.615 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.560. Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.243 per share monthly dividend, was $0.240. Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (CHP.UN:CA): now CAD 0.0625 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.0617. CSW Industrials (CSWI): now $0.19 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.17. Mexico Energy (MXC): now $0.10 per share special dividend. Proctor & Gamble (PG): now
Fed Winning the Fight Against Inflation, Food-at-Home Prices Easing
April 12, 2023
Image: CPI-U, not seasonally adjusted. The 12-month percent change in the pace of inflation for all items has fallen from north of 9% in June 2022 to 5% in March 2023. Image Source: BLS By Brian Nelson, CFA The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on April 12, and it showed that the Fed is winning its fight against inflation. The CPI-U rose just 0.1% in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, down 0.3 percentage points from the increase in February. During the past 12 months, the all-items index has advanced 5.0% before any seasonal adjustments, a level that is still higher than the Fed’s long-term target, but not one indicative of
Markets Don’t Look Bad
April 11, 2023
Image: The market-capitalization weighted S&P 500 (SPY) continues to hold its January breakout, while support held in mid-March. By Brian Nelson, CFA Though the regional banking crisis in the U.S. remains on investors’ minds, the panicky environment that has defined much of the past couple months has settled down somewhat, even as First Republic Bank’s (FRC) back remains against the ropes. The regional bank has suspended the dividends on several series of its preferred stock, and we’re hearing of advisor flight from the bank as it now appears to be fighting a consumer perception battle as it struggles to stay afloat. First Republic is clearly on the front lines of the regional bank crisis, and if the bank holds the
Not Worried About Global PC Demand Weakness
April 11, 2023
Image Source: IDC By Brian Nelson, CFA On April 9, International Data Corporation (IDC) issued preliminary findings for the first quarter of 2023 for global personal computer (PC) shipments in its Worldwide Quarterly Personal Computing Device Tracker. The results were a bit surprising, with the firm noting that “weak demand, excess inventory, and a worsening macroeconomic climate were all contributing factors for the precipitous drop in shipments of traditional PCs during the first quarter of 2023.” According to the IDC report, global PC shipments fell 29% to 56.9 million compared to the first quarter of 2022. Apple (AAPL) experienced the biggest year-over-year percentage decline, where shipments fell more than 40%. Dell Technologies (DELL), Lenovo (LNVGY) (LNVGF) and ASUS experienced declines
Best Ideas Newsletter Portfolio Idea Republic Services Continues to Execute Well
April 10, 2023
Image: Republic Services has been executing nicely, growing its adjusted free cash flow at a 14% compound annual growth rate the past three years. Image Source: Republic Services By Brian Nelson, CFA Things are looking good at garbage hauler Republic Services. (RSG). The company reported fourth-quarter 2022 results a couple months ago that showed revenue growth of 19.7% and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.13. Both numbers came in better than expected. Roughly 8.3 percentage points of the firm’s top-line expansion in the quarter came organically, with core price comprising 7.4 percentage points of the organic increase. For the full year, Republic Services beat its guidance that called to grow adjusted free cash flow 15% and adjusted earnings per share
Taiwan Semiconductor Experiences Revenue Weakness in March
April 10, 2023
Image: Taiwan Semiconductor’s shares have rallied nicely since the beginning of November of last year. By Brian Nelson, CFA Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) reported March revenue on April 10. During the month, net revenue dropped nearly 11% on a sequential basis and more than 15% on a year-over-year basis from March 2022. Though the top-line weakness in the month was somewhat of a surprise, the company’s revenue advanced 3.6% during the first quarter of this year. The Taiwanese chip fabricator is an idea for the risk-seeking investor that is looking for exposure to the semiconductor space. The company pays a decent dividend yield, and the high end of our fair value estimate for shares stands at $90 per share. Taiwan Semiconductor’s
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of April 7
April 7, 2023
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending April 7. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Bank of America Corporation Deposit Shs Perp Pfd Shs Series E (BAC.PE): now $0.3222 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.2556. Bank OZK (OZK): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.34. Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF.UN:CA): now CAD 0.107 per share monthly dividend, was CAD 0.102. CF Bankshares (CFBK): now $0.06 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.05. Constellation Brands (STZ): now $0.89 per
U.S. Economy Likely Weakened During Regional Bank Crisis; Artificial Intelligence the Next Great Platform
April 6, 2023
Image Source: Trong Khiem Nguyen By Brian Nelson, CFA Broader markets in the U.S. continue to be concerned about the impact of the Fed’s rapidly-rising contractionary monetary policy on the banking sector. A number of regional banks have already failed, with SVB Financial’s (SIVB) demise bringing into light concerns over the solvency of many other regional banks in the U.S., if their books of business are marked-to-market for both available-for-sale (AFS) and held-to-maturity (HTM) securities. The Fed raised rates so quickly that many regional banks may have been caught taking on too much interest rate risk. Liquidity across the regional banking sector, however, seems to have improved thanks to Fed actions, and deposit flight from regional banks seems to
Legacy of Benjamin Graham
April 6, 2023
Legacy of Benjamin Graham: The Original Adjunct Professor. This film, brought to you by the Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing, Columbia Business School, premiered on February 1, 2013 at the 16th Annual Columbia Student Investment Management Association conference. Produced by: Louisa Serene Schneider. Shot & Edited by: Christina Choe. Video Source: HeilburnnCenter Tickerized for companies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. ———- It’s Here! The Second Edition of Value Trap! Order today! —– Brian Nelson owns shares in SPY, SCHG, QQQ, DIA, VOT, BITO, RSP, and IWM. Valuentum owns SPY, SCHG, QQQ, VOO, and DIA. Brian Nelson’s household owns shares in HON, DIS, HAS, NKE, DIA, and RSP. Some of the other securities written about in this article may
