In the News: McDonald’s, Costco, Target

September 27, 2023

By Brian Nelson, CFA The market is once again worried about a potential government shutdown in the U.S., beginning on Sunday, as Congress works on a budget for fiscal 2024 through the rest of September. This recurring news has been a seasonal part of the market’s jitters every few years or so, however, and we’re not worried about what we would describe as an overhyped risk. A potential government shutdown in the U.S., if it happens, will inevitably be resolved, and while it tends to make for scary media headlines, it just doesn’t factor into the thesis of long-term investors. We don’t think readers should overreact. That said, it’s hard to know how the markets may continue to perform with

Report Updates: Amazon Registers the Lowest Rating on Our Scale

September 24, 2023

Select the company’s link below to access their stock webpage where their 16-page stock report (pdf) can be downloaded. The stock webpage also houses the company’s dividend report (pdf), where applicable, as well as the latest company/industry commentary and news.    Albemarle (ALB) Amazon.com (AMZN) Applied Materials (AMAT) Cisco (CSCO) Halliburton (HAL) Lam Research (LRCX) Phillips 66 (PSX) Visa (V) CVS Health (CVS) Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) AbbVie (ABBV) Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) Gilead Sciences (GILD) Pfizer (PFE) Abbott (ABT) Oracle (ORCL) Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) Fresh Del Monte (FDP) Kraft Heinz (KHC) Lancaster Colony (LANC) McCormick (MKC) Molson Coors (TAP) Smucker (SJM) Sysco (SYY) ———- It’s Here!  The Second Edition of Value Trap! Order today!   —– Brian Nelson owns shares in SPY, SCHG, QQQ,

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of September 22

September 22, 2023

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending September 22. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          American Tower (AMT): now $1.62 per share quarterly dividend, was $1.57. Argan (AGX): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Axfood (AXFOY): now SEK 4.00 per share dividend. Costain Group (CTNGY): now GBP 0.004 per share semi-annual dividend. E Split Corp. PFD (ENS.PR.A:CA): now CA 0.175 per share quarterly dividend, was CAD 0.1312. Equity Bancshares (EQBK): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was

Cisco Buys Splunk

September 22, 2023

Image Source: Brandon Leon By Valuentum Analysts Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Cisco (CSCO) is all about growing its recurring revenue base these days, and its announcement that it will buy Splunk (SPLK) on September 21 will not only help in a big way towards that goal, but the deal will also position Cisco for tremendous opportunities in the booming market that has become artificial intelligence [AI]. That said, some investors were not fans of the purchase price – some $28 billion in cash – but we think the price is fair and strategically, there’s nothing wrong with adding to the fold an asset-light, recurring-revenue business that has the foundation to be a key long-term player in AI. We’ll be

Details Regarding Visa’s Exchange Offer

September 21, 2023

By Brian Nelson, CFA Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Visa Inc. (V) has a number of different common stock and preferred share classes. Investors in Visa generally hold its class A common stock that is traded on the NYSE, but the credit card giant also has class B and class C common stock as well as series A, series B, and series C preferred stock that are tied to the value of its class A common shares. Due to prior litigation corresponding to its initial public offering and 2007 capital restructuring, Visa has both a U.S. retrospective responsibility plan and a European retrospective responsibility plan, and pursuant to the terms of these plans, the company’s class B and class C

ICYMI: Questions for Valuentum’s Brian Nelson

September 20, 2023

Valuentum’s President Brian Nelson, CFA, answers your questions. Q: What Is Valuentum? A: In short, it is a strategy that combines the concepts of value and momentum within individual stocks. We measure value through the cash-based sources of intrinsic value – net cash on the balance sheet and future expected free cash flow. We measure momentum rather simply, generally via relative strength or other technical and momentum indicators. We like stocks with strong net cash positions on the balance sheet, ones that are generating tremendous free cash flow, and have strong secular growth prospects such that the prospect for expectations of free cash flow can continue to be ratcheted higher. Today, most Valuentum stocks are included in the stylistic area

Fed Rate Decision, UAW Strike Continues, Microsoft Ups Payout

September 20, 2023

Image Source: Mike Mozart By Brian Nelson, CFA If you’re thinking like us about the ongoing Fed rate-hiking cycle, you’re probably thinking that perhaps we’ll see another rate hike or two down the road, even if the Fed pauses at today’s September 20 meeting. However, whether the Fed pauses from here on out or executes a couple more rate hikes, it really shouldn’t matter much to long-term investors. From where we stand, the conversation about interest rates should now be shifting away from worries about elevated inflation to the future positive prospects that correspond to the work that the Fed has already done. With the market-cap weighted S&P 500 (SPY) just a stone’s throw away from all-time highs, despite aggressive

The Role of Luck in Investing and How To Think About It

September 18, 2023

Dear members: — For every Amazon (AMZN) that made it, there are hundreds, maybe thousands, from the dot-com era that didn’t. Very few remember Pets.com or etoys.com, both of which went belly up during the dot-com meltdown. For every Tesla (TSLA), there is a DeLorean Motor Co. We might have completely forgotten about DeLorean were it not for the blockbuster movie, Back To The Future, that immortalized its futuristic sports car. — For every streaming enterprise like Netflix (NFLX), there is a Napster that failed. Most of us probably don’t even remember the original Napster, which encountered legal troubles before closing shop shortly after the dot-com bust. For every Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), there’s an AltaVista or Netscape. For every Apple (AAPL), there

Apple’s Big “Wonderlust” Event Is Business as Usual

September 13, 2023

Image Source: Apple By Brian Nelson, CFA On September 12, Apple Inc. (AAPL) hosted its widely-anticipated “Wonderlust” event. The market was anticipating several new products, and Apple delivered. The firm’s iPhone 15 Pro, iPhone 15, Apple Watch Series 9, and Apple Watch Ultra 2 will go a long way to retaining share in smartphones and wearable devices, but the company opted to leave prices unchanged. Many had been expecting a price increase, but we’re not reading too much into Apple’s decision to leave them unchanged, given economic uncertainty in the U.S., Huawei’s release of its latest phone (the Mate 60 Pro) and rising geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China. The iPhone 15 Pro frankly looks awesome, and it is

ESG Issues Plague Discover

September 12, 2023

Image: Discover’s shares have faced pressure due to a card misclassification issue and the resignation of CEO Roger Hochschild. Discover Financial’s (DFS) shares have faced a difficult 52-week stretch as corporate news hasn’t been great. The company’s equity is down nearly 14%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) is up more than 8% over the same time stretch. Though Discover has the potential to bounce back from the troubles it has encountered, the firm has certainly been in hot water since it disclosed a card product misclassification. From its press release on July 19: Beginning around mid-2007, Discover incorrectly classified certain credit card accounts into our highest merchant and merchant acquirer pricing tier. Incremental revenue resulting from this card product misclassification

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About Our Name

But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] "attractive"? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth,"...We view that as fuzzy thinking...Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term "value investing" is redundant.

                         -- Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992

At Valuentum, we take Buffett's thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the two approaches found on each side of the spectrum (value/momentum) in a name couldn't be more representative of what our analysts do here; hence, we're called Valuentum.



The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Valuentum Exclusive publication, ESG Newsletter, and any reports, data and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, data or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor, and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. The sources of the data used on this website and reports are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum, its employees, and independent contractors may have long, short or derivative positions in the securities mentioned on this website. The High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio are not real money portfolios. Performance, including that in the Valuentum Exclusive publication and additional options commentary feature, is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Actual results may differ from simulated information, results, or performance being presented. For more information about Valuentum and the products and services it offers, please contact us at info@valuentum.com.