Baidu’s Internet Presence in China Is Phenomenal

By Brian Nelson, CFA With a population of over 1.3 billion people, more than 4 times the population of the US, China is flush with opportunities. We at Valuentum think one of the greatest long-term investment opportunities in the country has to do with ongoing Internet penetration, specifically related to search engine use and technology. Baidu (BIDU) is at the forefront of increased Internet penetration in China, and its recent results have showed fantastic sales expansion. For example, the firm noted that total revenue advanced nearly 60% in its most recently-reported first quarter from the corresponding period in 2013. For me, the relationship with Baidu goes back almost ten years when I worked at a buyside firm that was lucky to … Read more

Baidu Dollars Likely Shifting to Alibaba Near Term; Raising Our Fair Value of Yahoo

Valuentum previewed the valuation of Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba in October 2013. Today, we’ve updated our analysis of the company in the table below and have raised our intrinsic value estimate to approximately $100 billion from $75 billion previously. This revision has had a relatively large per-share upward re-valuation of the shares of 24%-owner Yahoo (YHOO) in its 16-page report. Softbank, which owns more than 35% of Alibaba, will also see a more optimistic slant towards its own valuation in coming periods. Our updated valuation details of Alibaba are shown below. The previous table had a typo regarding the long-term growth rate of the perpetuity calculation, which has been corrected in the table above. Though we think our forecasts are … Read more

Plenty of Growth Ahead for Chinese Internet Companies

The Chinese Internet space has been a fantastic growth story through the course of 2013. Shares of Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Baidu (click ticker for report: ), Qihoo (QIHU), Sohu.com (click ticker for report: ), and Tencent (click ticker for report: ) are all up at least 50% year-to-date. What do all of these companies have in common? They all have exposure to China’s rapidly-growing Internet usage as well as the country’s Internet search market. Search growth in China is phenomenal. Image Source: China Internet Watch In the second quarter of 2013, the value of the Chinese search market surged approximately 35% year-over-year (shown above), lapping a very robust growth rate well above 50% during the same period of 2012. Chinese search … Read more