Brain Teaser – Reflexive versus Reflective

Dear members: — Jason Zweig of the Wall Street Journal, wrote in his pioneering text, Your Money and Your Brain, a few fun examples of how sometimes the psychological process of anchoring and adjustment can trip us up. — In one notable example, Zweig wrote about how two psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman had asked volunteers to spin a wheel of fortune numbered from 0 to 100. The contestants didn’t know that the wheel was rigged to produce either a 10 or a 65 for the experiment. — After spinning the wheel, the contestants were then asked whether the percentage of total United Nations membership made up of countries in Africa was higher or lower than the number that came up. … Read more

American Tower Ups Dividend Payout 6%+ But Shares Not Immune to REIT Sector Weakness

Image Source: American Tower By Brian Nelson, CFA On December 8, American Tower (AMT) upped its quarterly payout by 6.1%, to $1.56 per share relative to its last sequential dividend issued in October, and now shares yield ~2.9% on a forward estimated basis. Equity REITs have been pummeled in 2022, and AMT has unfortunately failed to buck the trend. Though we like the scale and leverage inherent to cell tower stocks’ business models (which we’ll talk about in this work), we’re taking note of weakening adjusted funds from operations (FFO) and free cash flow trends at AMT, particularly in light of the tower operator’s massive net debt position. Interest rates have been working against REITs during 2022. Image Source: American … Read more

April Deals May Flower Future Growth

Image Source: Iqbal Osman By Kris Rosemann Thursday, April 28, was marked by a surge of M&A activity, as major corporations continue to search for growth as global economic concerns remain and the US economy shows signs of slowing. The world’s largest economy, which is accustomed to slow starts to the year, saw seasonally-adjusted GDP grow at a 0.5% rate in the first quarter of 2016, the slowest rate for the first quarter since 2014. Though a rebound in GDP growth in the second quarter has followed in nearly every year since the Great Recession, a variety of global pressures has caused US GDP growth to slow on a quarter-over-quarter basis since the second quarter of 2015 when it nearly … Read more

Pay TV Is Getting Friendly with Netflix

Since it successfully transitioned from a DVD rental service to a content streaming powerhouse, Netflix (click ticker for report: ) is now viewed as a major threat to pay TV. The story goes that consumers will eventually “cut the cord” and abandon pay TV while relying exclusively on Netflix and online video service Hulu for content. Though there are many reasons why we think this trend is overblown, Liberty Global’s (LBTYA) Virgin Media has taken another step toward eliminating this competitive threat: Virgin subscribers will be able to access a Netflix app via TiVo set-top boxes. Liberty Global is controlled by none other than media mogul John Malone. Malone is best known for his bold M&A deals throughout the years … Read more