HMC

The US Auto Recovery Is Unshakeable

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As the housing market recovery in the US appears more sustainable, US auto sales continue to gain steam. Low-end luxury is performing exceptionally well, as is the pickup segment—a likely result of the housing recovery. Let’s take a look at results from the industry. Ford Best Ideas Newsletter holding Ford (click ticker for report: ) posted a spectacular May, exceeding consensus estimates with unit sales surging 14% year-over-year to 246,585. As we hit home in our recent piece about the US housing recovery, pickup sales are driving a large portion of Ford’s gains. In fact, F-Series unit sales grew 31% year-over-year to 71,604 units! Other cars posting large sales included the Escape, up 26% year-over-year, the Fusion, up 10% year-over-year, and … Read more

March Auto Roundup

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March was another strong month of auto sales in the United States. The SAAR for the month of March came in at 15.27 million units, up from 14.14 million units in March of 2012. Let’s take a look at the results by OEM. Ford Best Ideas Newsletter holding Ford (click ticker for report: ) posted unit sales growth of 6%, driven by utilities (up 14%) and trucks (up 6%). Car sales were flat during the month, though we saw a solid increase of 6% for the redesigned Fusion, and we saw Police Interceptor sales ramp significantly with sales coming in at just under 1,000 units. Consumers flocked away from crossovers, dumping the Edge (down 13%) and the Flex (down 35%), … Read more

February Auto Roundup

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Let’s take a look at February auto sales, which appear to have come in at a SAAR around 15.4 million units. Ford Best Ideas Newsletter holding Ford (click ticker for report: ) posted a solid February, selling 195,822 vehicles—a 9% increase compared to the same month a year ago. We think the number is even more impressive considering February 2012 had fairly good weather, while February 2013 was viciously cold and snowy for much of the United States. Strength was broad based, though utilities (up 21%) greatly outperformed both cars and trucks, which were up 6% and 4% year-over-year, respectively. Both the Edge (up 29%) and Explorer (up 59%) were hot sellers during February, possibly the result of a cold … Read more

January Auto Sales Roundup

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Auto sales were off to a brisk start in 2013, posting a SAAR for the month of 15.3 million units—maintaining the strong pace we saw near the end of 2012 and up 14% year-over-year. Let’s take a look at how the major US auto OEMs performed. Ford Best Ideas Newsletter holding and standout performer Ford (click ticker for report: ) announced fantastic sales figures for January. Total unit sales jumped 22% year-over-year to 166,501 vehicles, and retail sales jumped 24% year-over-year. Brand strength was pretty broad based, with unit sales of the F-series up 22%, the Fusion up 65%, and the Explorer up 45%. Company-wide car sales jumped 34%, outpacing utility vehicles and trucks, which increased 23% and 11%, respectively. Unfortunately, the … Read more

December Auto Sales Roundup

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December auto sales were reported by the major US auto manufacturers Thursday, and it appears the monthly SAAR was somewhere between 15.4 and 15.6 million units. Let’s dig into the results. Ford Best Idea Newsletter holding Ford (click ticker for report: ) has been on a tear since reporting a record operating margin in North America during its most recent quarter. Shares are up 35% during the past three months, and December’s results were another positive for the automaker. Company-wide unit sales grew 1.9% compared to the same period last year, driven by a 2.5% unit gain at the Ford brand, but hurt by a unit decline of 12% at Lincoln. For the year, unit sales in the US grew … Read more

November Auto Sales Roundup

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November auto sales were strong across the board, with the SAAR expected to be around 15.2 million units. Let’s take a look at performance on an individual company basis. Ford Best Ideas Newsletter holding Ford (click ticker for report: ) healthily exceeded its consensus sales growth forecast of 3.5% unit growth, with sales expanding 6.5% during November and retail sales growing 12%. Total small car units surged 76% year-over-year, making it Ford’s best November small car performance in 12 years. Utilities and trucks units lagged cars, growing 2% and 3.7%, respectively, compared to 15.2% growth in total car sales. Although performance was boosted due to sales being pulled into November as a result of Sandy, we thought the results were good, … Read more

October Auto Sales Were a Tad Light; We’re Not Worried

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After Ford (click ticker for report: ) and General Motors (click ticker for report: ) posted fantastic third quarter results, industry-wide auto sales came in slightly lighter than expected in October, as many cite Hurricane Sandy as hurting industry-wide unit sales by as many as 300,000 units. Let’s take a look at a few companies. Ford Best Ideas Newsletter holding Ford announced an excellent quarter on Tuesday, and shares have rallied since trading resumed Wednesday. The firm’s October results were decent, with sales growing 0.4% year-over-year (retail up 2%), but they came in below consensus estimates of 3.5% expansion. More pressing, Alan Mulally confirmed that he will remain CEO until “at least” 2014, but President Mark Fields was promoted to … Read more

General Motors Reports A Fantastic Third Quarter

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American automaker General Motors (click ticker for report: ) reported fantastic third quarter results Wednesday morning. The firm shrugged off European weakness to grow revenue 2.5% year-over-year to $37.6 billion, nearly $2 billion better than consensus estimates, even though it was negatively impacted by $1 billion of currency fluctuations. Earnings were also much better than expected, falling 9% year-over-year to $0.93—about $0.28 higher than consensus expectations. EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) actually ticked up $100 million to $2.3 billion, so if it wasn’t for higher tax rates, earnings would have been comparable to last year. Though revenue in North America grew 7% year-over-year to $23.3 billion, EBIT in the region tumbled 17% to $1.7 billion. Operating margins fell substantially, … Read more

Ford Smashes Expectations, Operating Margin Expansion Drives Earnings

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American automaker Ford (click ticker for report: ) reported fantastic third quarter earnings Tuesday morning in spite of persistent weakness in Europe. Revenue fell 3% year-over-year to $32.1 billion, which was still much higher than consensus estimates. Operating profit, which excludes special items, surged 18% year-over-year to $0.40 per share, 25% higher than consensus estimates. The real story at work during the third quarter was the undeniable success of One Ford in driving operating margin expansion. While revenue in North America increased 8% year-over-year to $19.5 billion, operating margins expanded a whopping 340 basis points to 12%. As a result, pre-tax operating profit surged 50% year-over-year to $2.3 billion. Our main thesis behind the company is that operating leverage is … Read more