Great Early Holiday Sales Read for Best Ideas Portfolio Holdings

On Saturday, IBM Digital Analytics Benchmark, a source for real-time cloud-based online retail data and analysis, revealed strong online retail trends for this Thanksgiving and Black Friday: US Holiday shoppers once again shopped online early for the best deals with Thanksgiving Day online sales increasing by 19.7 percent over 2012. This momentum set the stage for a record Black Friday, with online sales growing 18.9 percent over the same period last year. The biggest surge came from mobile sales increasing to 25.8 percent of total online sales for Thanksgiving and 21.8 percent for Black Friday as consumers went from the dinner table to their tablets to lock in the best offers. In addition, IBM reported that New York City consumers … Read more

GameStop Tumbles on Lower Than Expected Holiday Outlook

One of the ‘Top 25 Overvalued Stocks on the Market’ reported third-quarter results Thursday. GameStop (GME) represents the latest firm that we highlighted as significantly overvalued to engage in a large pricing correction toward our fair value estimate. Third-quarter results at the world’s largest video game retailer weren’t the problem. Total global sales advanced 18.8%, while comparable store sales rose 20.5%. Sales of new software increased 43.1% thanks to strong performance from Grand Theft Auto V. Hardware sales also performed well, jumping 15.3% thanks to a strong sell-thru of Nintendo 2DS and 3DS. Pre-owned sales, however, declined 2%. The strong overall performance led to 675 basis points of market share gains. GameStop’s net earnings jumped 45.3%, to $68.6 million, while the … Read more

Jana Bets Big on Outerwall

Great investors are often a wonderful source of investment ideas and opportunities—imagine capitalizing on a great Buffett idea like Coca-Cola (click ticker for report: ) in the late 1980’s. However, blindly following an elite investor can have disastrous consequences—think following Bill Ackman into J.C. Penney (click ticker for report: ). Valuentum helps you sort out the good ideas from the bad. Still, when an investor with a superb track record takes a sizable stake in a troubled company, we tend to pay attention. Barry Rosenstein’s Jana Partners has trounced the S&P 500 since its inception, achieving annual compounded returns of 12.7% versus 1.7% for the S&P 500 over the same time frame. Jana is known as an activist shareholder that … Read more

Grand Theft Auto V Will Drive Fantastic Results at Take-Two

It is no secret that the video game industry is surprisingly cyclical for many players. Look no further than GameStop (click ticker for report: ), which has seen shares soar after a multi-year lull in games now appears to be over with the launch of Microsoft’s Xbox One (click ticker for report: ) and Sony’s PlayStation 4 (click ticker for report: ). The game-developing business is probably even more cyclical, but it has little to do with broader economic conditions. Rather, development is somewhat similar to biotechnology in the sense that developers may spend years developing a game before finally launching and recouping costs with extraordinarily high marginal profits. That story is playing out at Take-Two Interactive Image Source: TTWO … Read more

Shares of GameStop Look Expensive Even with Strong Guidance

Retailer GameStop (click ticker for report: ) posted a steep decline in second quarter results that was overshadowed by a positive outlook for the back half of the year. Revenue fell 10.7% year-over-year to $10.4 billion, which was a bit better than consensus expectations. Earnings per share dropped 44% year-over-year to $0.09, which was also better than consensus estimates. Sales have been weak… Image Source: Valuentum, Company Filings Shares of GameStop are up 177% over the past year—a phenomenal increase given the steep same-store sales declines recently (shown above). Weakness didn’t moderate much in the second quarter, with same-store sales dropping 10.7% year-over-year. Of course, the rally in GameStop’s share price has little to do with what happened in fiscal … Read more

Microsoft Wants to Be the Apple of Your Living Room

Earlier today, Dividend Growth Newsletter holding Microsoft (click ticker for report: ) finally unveiled its next generation console, the Xbox One. It wasn’t hard to tell that something big was around the corner for the next generation console, as the company had made some new hires including former CBS executive Nancy Tellem to head the firm’s content development initiative. Let’s take a look at the revelations and how it might impact the company. Steven Speilberg produces a Halo TV show As we mentioned earlier, Xbox’s move into exclusive content was not at all a surprise. In fact, we assumed we might hear about an exclusive TV show or movie even earlier. However, we were a little stunned to see legendary … Read more

Best Buy’s Comps Are Soft; Risk/Reward Not Compelling

After shares nearly flirted with $10 in December, electronics retailer Best Buy (click ticker for report: ) has seen its stock more than double thanks to moderating sales declines and a store revamping strategy that displayed great promise. However, Best Buy’s first quarter fell short of consensus expectations as the Street got a bit ahead of itself in gauging the velocity of the turnaround. Revenue declined 10% year-over-year to $9.3 billion, which was well below consensus estimates. Adjusted earnings per share fell 58% compared to the prior year to $0.32 per share, which was a touch better than consensus expectations. Free cash flow swung to negative $179 million for the quarter, reflecting the firm’s inability to earn net income more … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending February 22

This week was jam-packed with companies raising their quarterly cash dividends. Below we provide a list of firms that upped their dividends for the week ending February 22. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports, please click here. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF): now $0.20 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.175. Analog Devices (ADI): now $0.34 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.30. Chemung Financial (CHMG): now $0.26 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.25. Chesapeake Lodging Trust (CHSP): now $0.24 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Cheviot Financial Corp. (CHEV): now $0.09 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.08 Corrections Corp of America … Read more

Why GameStop Looks Like a Value Trap

At Valuentum, we pride ourselves on a multi-faceted investment methodology, acknowledging that several market-movers view any given investment from different perspectives. That is precisely why we’re staying away from shares of GameStop (click ticker for report: ), which scores poorly on the Valuentum Buying Index (our stock-selection methodology). Let’s take a look at why we don’t like the company. Changing Dynamics of Gaming Culture One of the unique features of the video game market has been the relatively liquid buying and selling of games. Since the days of FuncoLand (which was eventually acquired by GameStop), consumers could purchase and sell games new or used, and the game shops would help facilitate this market. Have a copy of Nintendo’s Super Mario that … Read more