DIS

Creed, Apple, and the Fitbit

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By Brian Nelson, CFA Hanging out in malls on Thanksgiving isn’t really our thing at Valuentum, but what we’re hearing thus far is that “Thanksgiving shopping was a bust.” It even felt as though tourism was down a bit as traditional near-impassable auto traffic was surprisingly absent in at least one key family destination, the gateway to the Smokies in Gatlinburg, Tennessee, and maybe keeping travelers from commuting through the city of Chicago was the potential for riots following the release of the dash cam video allegedly showing a police officer shooting a youth 16 times in November of last year. My trip from northern Illinois to Gatlinburg, Tennessee, and back was rather uneventful, not that I am complaining about … Read more

Profit Taking in Hasbro’s Shares

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Note: On July 1, we took some profits on Hasbro (HAS) north of $75 per share. Please read the introduction on page 1 of the July edition of the Dividend Growth Newsletter .   Image Source: Hasbro Things are still going great at Hasbro, even as the sharp sell-off following its third-quarter report tries to tell a different story. We think the post-earnings drop in shares is merely profit taking, something we, too, had engaged in a few months ago with its shares in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. The company’s equity has more than doubled since the beginning of 2012, and investors are taking money of the table in advance of the all-important holiday season, in our view. In … Read more

Video: Are Economic Moats Priced Into Stock Prices? — You Bet They Are

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President of Equity Research Brian Nelson debunks the myth that the economic moat is not included in stock prices. Length: ~8 minutes. Tickerized for firms in the Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT), as of October 14, 2015. Brian Nelson, CFA: This is Brian Nelson from Valuentum Securities. I wanted to talk about an important concept and answer an important question. Is Warren Buffet’s economic moat priced into stock prices? Before I answer that question, I think we need to define a couple things. Return on invested capital is a measure of a business’ performance. It’s calculated as earnings before interest divided by net new investment, which is a measure of return on new invested capital. So what is the return the … Read more

The Flight to Safety

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Image Source: Pravine Chester It’s no secret that investors have been disappointed with returns across the equity market in 2015, and this week has not made the unrest any easier to deal with. Money managers across the globe will be looking at a short-term chart of the S&P 500 (SPY), observing that the broad US index has finally broken down from a critical multi-month base, and many will look to “lighten up” on some of their equity positions that they have been reluctantly “letting run” for months. It is no surprise to us why Netflix (NFLX) was one of the market’s worst performers in Thursday’s trading session. The company is trading at nearly 500 times earnings (not a typo), and the low … Read more

Disney’s Disappointment

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On August 4, media giant and consumer spending bellwether Walt Disney (DIS) put up decent fiscal third-quarter results, but concerns about the future of pay-TV left investors a bit cautious on its outlook. We don’t expect a material change to our $94 per share fair value estimate of the company (we have been far below the market price of $120+), and we point to most of the sell off as profit-taking following a very strong multi-year share-price run. During the fiscal third-quarter (ended June 27, 2015), revenue leapt to $13.1 billion from $12.5 billion in the year-ago period (a 5% increase), while diluted earnings per share advanced at a nice 13% clip, to $1.45 per share. On display yet again … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending June 26

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending June 26. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Disney (DIS): now $0.66 per share semi-annual dividend, was $1.15 annual dividend. Harman (HAR): now $0.35 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.33. Herman Miller (MLHR): now $0.1475 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.14. John Wiley & Sons (JW.A): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.29. Kayne Anderson Midstream/Energy Fund (KMF): now $0.51 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.5025. Matson (MATX): now $0.18 per share quarterly dividend, … Read more

You Must Be So Pleased!

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Image Source: Gage Skidmore We know it’s difficult for new members, especially those not following the newsletter portfolios directly, to read about the “story arc,” or the follow-ups on some of the ongoing ideas held within the newsletter portfolios. But Hasbro (HAS) is a rather unique case. For much of the past decade or so, the firm was simply written off as a physical toy company in a digital world. What we saw that others didn’t, however, was the firm’s lovable brand portfolio and the ongoing opportunity in its Entertainment and Licensing segment. Though the first quarter is the least significant of the year, shares are surging yet again on its quarterly performance. Absent currency exchange fluctuations, revenue advanced an … Read more

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending December 5

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Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 5. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Agree Realty (ADC): now $0.45 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.43. Alexandria REIT (ARE): now $0.74 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.72. Associated Estates Realty (AEC): now $0.21 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.20. Axis Capital Holdings Limited (AXS): now $0.29 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.27. C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW): now $0.38 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.35. Cameco (CCJ): now C$0.10 per share quarterly … Read more

Thanksgiving Weekend Sales Were Weak…

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According to preliminary survey results released Sunday by the National Retail Federation, retail sales during the Thanksgiving weekend tumbled 11% to $50.9 billion from $57.4 billion during the same weekend last year. Executives are having a difficult time explaining the sharp drop off in retail sales (RTH), given similar aggressive strategies and promotions as previous years, but we think there are a few reasons for the hefty decline. For one, the lure of the post-Thanksgiving “mad-rush” may be wearing off, and the emerging “negative” social stigma of those willing to shop (instead of resting with family) coupled with those who believe they are “being forced to work” during the holiday (see Walmart strike) without fair wages may be turning off … Read more

Berkshire Scoops Up Duracell; Hasbro Ponders Dreamworks

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Edited November 14, 2014. We should have known that Warren Buffett (BRK.A, BRK.B) was interested in acquiring Procter & Gamble’s (PG) battery business, Duracell. Today, we found out that he was. In exchange for a recapitalized Duracell Company, including $1.7 billion in cash at closing, Berkshire Hathaway will fork over $4.7 billion worth of Procter & Gamble shares to the former parent to bring Duracell’s operations into Berkshire Hathaway. The transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2015. We think it’s mostly a win for Procter & Gamble. The company had announced its decision to shed Duracell in its most recent quarterly report, a move we had been heavily in favor of. Based on trading action following … Read more