The Valuentum Dividend Cushion Predicts CONSOL’s Dividend Cut

Coal and natural gas firm CONSOL (CNX) became the latest company whose dividend cut Monday had been successfully predicted by the Valuentum Dividend Cushion. With a Valuentum Dividend Cushion score of -3.5 before the board’s decision to conserve cash and slash the payout, it appeared to us that the move was inevitable (a measure below 1 is suspicious, while a measure that is negative is highly concerning). Out of our 1,000+ company coverage universe, CONSOL’s dividend was assessed by us to be among the 10 weakest. We make available the most-visited ‘Dividend Yields to Avoid’ article on the left column of our home page under ‘Stock Screens,’ and we update the list of firms that receive the dubious honor periodically. … Read more

Why Dividend Growth Investing Needs to be Forward Looking

Shares of Exelon (click ticker for report: ) have been tumbling lately due to the possibility of a dividend cut. The utility company needs rates to increase in order to keep up its current payout. That may not occur, and CEO Chris Crane noted that the firm may have to cut its dividend in order to keep its strong credit rating standing, which is fundamental to running Exelon’s business. In the aftermath of the announcement, both Jefferies and Argus cut the ratings on the stock, but we think both firms were a bit late to the party. Inside our Valuentum Dividend Report for Exelon, we can see what we thought about Exelon on October 30. The fact that Exelon’s dividend … Read more

Efficacy of the Dividend Cushion Ratio

A version of this article was originally published September 2019. The Dividend Cushion ratio is one of the most powerful financial tools an income or dividend growth investor can use in conjunction with qualitative dividend analysis. The ratio is one-of-a-kind in that it is both free-cash-flow based and forward looking. Since its creation in 2012, the Dividend Cushion ratio has forewarned readers of approximately 50 dividend cuts. We estimate its efficacy at ~90%. By Valuentum Analysts  Key Takeaways: The Dividend Cushion ratio is a helpful tool to use to cushion your dividend growth or income portfolio against potential dividend cuts. The ratio also helps to assess the growth potential of a company’s dividend, above and beyond current expectations of payout … Read more