Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Oct 15, 2024

UnitedHealth Remains a Free Cash Flow Generating Powerhouse
Image: UnitedHealth’s shares have done well the past few years, but a gloomy outlook for 2025 has prompted a selloff. Looking to 2024, UnitedHealth Group lowered the high end of its guidance to the range of $27.50-$27.75 compared to $27.50-$28.00 previously due in part to higher than expected business disruption impacts for the affected Change Healthcare services. On the conference call, the company noted that its “2025 adjusted profit could be $30 per share (Seeking Alpha),” which was below consensus of $31.17 per share for the year. Though its medical care ratio advanced in the quarter and it continues to navigate the impact of cyberattack and direct response costs, we’re huge fans of UnitedHealth’s robust free cash flow generation, and we still like shares in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.

Aug 9, 2024

Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.

Jul 16, 2024

UnitedHealth Group Reports Messy Second Quarter Results
Image: UnitedHealth Group’s shares have been choppy since the beginning of 2023. UnitedHealth Group’s second quarter results were quite messy with a lot of moving parts, but cash flow remains resilient and the firm’s dividend growth trajectory remains solid. Back in June, the firm raised its annual dividend rate by 12%, marking the 15th consecutive year that UnitedHealth has increased it at a double-digit pace. UnitedHealth ended the quarter with $75.1 billion in total debt and $77.4 billion in cash and investments. We continue to include UnitedHealth Group as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.

Jul 7, 2024

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Jun 10, 2024

Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.

Jun 7, 2024

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of June 7
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Apr 16, 2024

UnitedHealth Group Reiterates 2024 Adjusted Net Earnings Outlook
Image: UnitedHealth Group’s shares have been choppy during the past couple years. UnitedHealth Group’s shares have seen better days as the firm works to recover from a cyberattack, while the industry’s medical costs are on the rise as patients begin to pursue procedures that were deferred during the peak of the COVID-19 crisis. Though it may be some time for UnitedHealth Group’s performance to normalize given the cyberattack and pent-up demand, we liked that it maintained its adjusted net earnings outlook for 2024 amid concerns of rising costs. UnitedHealth remains a key idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.

Apr 4, 2024

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Mar 21, 2024

Pfizer 6% Dividend Yield Speaks of Considerable Risk, Free Cash Flow Coming Up Short
Image: Pfizer’s shares have been under considerable pressure the past few years. Though we are positive on Pfizer’s turnaround, its Dividend Cushion ratio of 0.3 is not to be taken lightly (any ratio below 1 indicates heightened risk of a dividend cut). Income-oriented investors seeking a turnaround story may be interested in Pfizer, but we’re staying on the sidelines. We’ll continue to monitor developments at the pharma giant, especially as patents on several of its major drugs approach expiration. Shares yield ~6% at the time of this writing.

Feb 25, 2024

We Remain Bullish; Is This 1995 – The Beginning of a Huge Stock Market Run?
Image: Large cap growth stocks have trounced the performance of the S&P 500, REITs, and bonds since the beginning of 2023. We expect continued outperformance in this area of the market. We’re now roughly four years past the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown, where equities collapsed in February and March of 2020. As the markets began to recover through 2020, our long-term conviction in equities only grew stronger. We think the biggest risk for long-term investors remains staying out of the market on the basis of what could be considered stretched valuation multiples. As we outlined heavily in the book Value Trap, valuation multiples hardly tell the complete story about a company and often omit key long-term earnings growth, cash flow dynamics, and balance sheet health considerations. We remain bullish on equities for the long haul, and we think the next couple years will be incredibly strong. Our best ideas can be found in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, and via the Exclusive publication as well as options idea generation.