Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Oct 23, 2024

NextEra Energy Reaffirms Outlook
Image: NextEra Energy’s shares have bounced back nicely from their October 2023 lows. NextEra Energy reaffirmed its outlook, which we like quite a bit. This year, NextEra Energy continues to expect adjusted earnings per share in the range of $3.23-$3.43. For 2025, 2026, and 2027, the company expects adjusted earnings per share in the ranges of $3.45-$3.70, $3.63-$4.00 and $3.85-$4.32, respectively. NextEra Energy also continues to expect to grow its dividends per share at roughly a 10% rate per year through at least 2026, off a 2024 base. We like NextEra Energy as a core holding in the ESG Newsletter portfolio.

Sep 26, 2024

An Important Measure of Leverage for Dividend-Growth and Income-Oriented Shareholders, One That Is Dividend-Adjusted
As more and more investors rely on company dividends for income, dividends, in our view, have become more debt-like commitments in nature, especially from the perspective of dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders. Years ago, we rolled out a measure of financial leverage that considers both the company’s debt and the present value of its future expected cash dividend obligations, which, in the eyes of die-hard dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders, may be implicitly assumed to be debt-like commitments in substance. We think this leverage ratio can be used in conjunction with the Dividend Cushion ratio to gain additional insight into the dividend-paying financial health of an entity.

Sep 3, 2024

NextEra Energy’s Outlook Looks Great
Image Source: NextEra Energy. NextEra Energy reiterated its long-term financial expectations. “For 2024, NextEra Energy continues to expect adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $3.23 to $3.43. For 2025, 2026 and 2027, NextEra Energy expects adjusted earnings per share to be in the ranges of $3.45 to $3.70, $3.63 to $4.00 and $3.85 to $4.32, respectively. NextEra Energy also continues to expect to grow its dividends per share at a roughly 10% rate per year through at least 2026, off a 2024 base.” As far as utilities are concerned, we like NextEra Energy, and the company continues to be a key position in the ESG Newsletter portfolio.

Aug 9, 2024

Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.

Jun 10, 2024

Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.

May 24, 2024

NextEra Energy Expects 10% Annual Dividend Growth Through 2026
Image Source: NextEra Energy. NextEra Energy reaffirmed its long-term outlook. For the current year, management expects adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $3.23-$3.43, with the measure targeted to increase to $3.45-$3.70 per share in 2025 and $3.63-$4.00 per share in 2026. The company also reiterated its expectations to grow its dividends per share at approximately a 10% clip each year through at least 2026, using 2024 as the baseline. We like the company’s expected pace of dividend growth and its position as a leading clean energy company.

Mar 11, 2024

You Already Own Whatever Your Investment Will Pay You in Dividends
Image Source: Images Money. Stocks are generally valued on the present value of all their future free cash flows, which already include future dividend payments. A company’s dividend policy may impact an investor’s eagerness to pay a higher price for shares on the basis of a higher yield, but the dividend is a symptom of future free cash flows (and therefore intrinsic value), not the driver behind it.

Feb 25, 2024

We Remain Bullish; Is This 1995 – The Beginning of a Huge Stock Market Run?
Image: Large cap growth stocks have trounced the performance of the S&P 500, REITs, and bonds since the beginning of 2023. We expect continued outperformance in this area of the market. We’re now roughly four years past the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown, where equities collapsed in February and March of 2020. As the markets began to recover through 2020, our long-term conviction in equities only grew stronger. We think the biggest risk for long-term investors remains staying out of the market on the basis of what could be considered stretched valuation multiples. As we outlined heavily in the book Value Trap, valuation multiples hardly tell the complete story about a company and often omit key long-term earnings growth, cash flow dynamics, and balance sheet health considerations. We remain bullish on equities for the long haul, and we think the next couple years will be incredibly strong. Our best ideas can be found in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, and via the Exclusive publication as well as options idea generation.

Feb 16, 2024

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 16
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Jan 25, 2024

Earnings Roundup: TSLA, NEE, IBM, CMCSA, NOW
Image: The Model Y was the best-selling vehicle globally in 2023. Image Source: Tesla. Tesla missed fourth-quarter results, and while the firm continues to generate robust free cash flow with a solid net cash position, uncertainty surrounding the name looms. NextEra makes the cut for ESG investors, and its earnings outlook for the next few years remains robust, even if its dividend growth may slow. IBM is back in growth mode, and the firm is looking to capitalize on watsonx and generative AI. Comcast has a lot of things going for it, and the firm's robust free cash flow generation suggests that future dividend growth will be robust, despite its lofty net debt position. ServiceNow continues to deliver for investors, and it continues to grow at a robust pace.