Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Oct 31, 2024

Booking Holdings Experiencing Strong Performance in Europe
Image: Booking Holdings’ shares soar to all-time highs. Booking’s free cash flow of $7.25 billion through the first nine months of the year is nearly 40% of revenue, showcasing its cash-rich business model. The company declared a cash dividend of $8.75 per share to stockholders of record as of the close of business December 6. The high end of our fair value estimate range for Booking Holdings stands north of $5,000. We continue to like shares as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Shares yield 0.75% at the time of this writing.

Sep 19, 2024

Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios.

Jun 25, 2024

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Jun 10, 2024

Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.

Mar 29, 2024

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Feb 25, 2024

We Remain Bullish; Is This 1995 – The Beginning of a Huge Stock Market Run?
Image: Large cap growth stocks have trounced the performance of the S&P 500, REITs, and bonds since the beginning of 2023. We expect continued outperformance in this area of the market. We’re now roughly four years past the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown, where equities collapsed in February and March of 2020. As the markets began to recover through 2020, our long-term conviction in equities only grew stronger. We think the biggest risk for long-term investors remains staying out of the market on the basis of what could be considered stretched valuation multiples. As we outlined heavily in the book Value Trap, valuation multiples hardly tell the complete story about a company and often omit key long-term earnings growth, cash flow dynamics, and balance sheet health considerations. We remain bullish on equities for the long haul, and we think the next couple years will be incredibly strong. Our best ideas can be found in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, and via the Exclusive publication as well as options idea generation.

Feb 23, 2024

Booking Holdings’ Fourth Quarter Results Impacted By War in Middle East But Free Cash Flow Margins Remain Robust
Image: Booking Holdings continues to put up robust free cash flow margins. Booking Holdings is one of our favorite ideas, and we view shares as attractively valued on the basis of our point fair value estimate and quite attractive when considering the high end of our fair value estimate range. The pace of the company’s gross travel bookings and room nights booked continues to be robust, despite dislocations in its business associated with Israel, and the firm’s free cash flow generation continues to march in the right direction, with the company putting up fantastic free cash flow margins. We like Booking Holdings as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, and we won’t be removing it anytime soon. Its new dividend implies a forward estimated dividend yield of ~0.96%.

Feb 23, 2024

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 23
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Jan 19, 2024

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Jan 8, 2024

Thinking Slow: 3 Research Blind Spots That Changed the Investment World
Image Source: EpicTop10.com. We have to be on high alert about how our minds work. PBS recently delivered a four-part series examining how easily our minds are being hacked, and why it is so important to "think slow." When it comes to the active versus passive debate, does the analysis suffer from parameter risk? With respect to empirical, evidence-based analysis, does the analysis have the entire construct wrong? When it comes to short-cut multiples, are we falling into the behavioral trap of thinking on autopilot?