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Valuentum Commentary
Apr 4, 2025
Trump Tariffs Higher than Expected; What We're Doing
The Trump tariff increases came in larger than what we were expecting, and it remains to be seen how they will flow through the global economy, as we monitor potential retaliatory tariffs from other countries. As it relates to the equity markets, we’re taking a wait and see approach at the moment as we monitor new policy changes related to trade, immigration, fiscal (tax), and regulations. In short, we’re not overreacting to the sell off as we won’t have a great handle on the tariff impact to companies for a few quarters when they report results post-tariff increases. That said, we’re expecting continued market volatility, with meaningful risk to the downside, before trade uncertainty alleviates in the coming months. Feb 14, 2025
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of February 14
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Jan 16, 2025
Taiwan Semiconductor's Results Showcase Strong Growth
Image Source: TSM. Looking to the first quarter of 2025, TSM expects revenue to be between US$25-US$25.8 billion based on the exchange rate assumption of 1 U.S. dollar to 32.8 NT dollars. This was above consensus calling for US$24.75 billion in revenue in the quarter. Gross profit margin is targeted between 57% and 59%, while operating profit margin is expected to be between 46.5%-48.5%. All told, we continue to like TSM’s strong top-line growth and free cash flow generation, and the firm remains a core idea in the ESG Newsletter portfolio. Nov 15, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of November 15
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Oct 17, 2024
Taiwan Semiconductor Benefiting from Strong Smartphone and AI Demand
Image: Taiwan Semiconductor released better than expected results. Taiwan Semiconductor ended the quarter with NT$2,167.6 billion in cash and marketable securities against long-term interest-bearing debt of NT$936.16, showcasing a nice net cash position. Free cash flow in the quarter advanced to NT$184.91 billion from NT$68.03 in the year-ago period. Looking to the fourth quarter of 2024, revenue is targeted in the range of US$26.1 billion and US$26.9 billion (consensus was at US$25.02 billion), while gross profit margin and operating profit margin, based on the exchange rate assumption of 1 US dollar to 32 NT dollars, are expected to be 57%-59% and 46.5-48.5%, respectively. We liked Taiwan Semiconductor’s results and outlook, and the company remains a key idea in the ESG Newsletter portfolio. Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. Jul 19, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of July 19
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Jul 18, 2024
Taiwan Semiconductor Impresses in Second Quarter, Gives Strong Outlook
Image: Taiwan Semiconductor reported better-than-expected second quarter results. Though Taiwan Semiconductor is exposed to geopolitical uncertainty, perhaps exacerbated by former President Donald Trump’s latest comments about how Taiwan should pay the U.S. for national defense, the company’s outlook remains robust, in our view. Taiwan Semiconductor remains one of our favorite ideas in the ESG Newsletter portfolio. Jun 25, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. Jun 14, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of June 14
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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