Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Aug 9, 2024

Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.

Jul 25, 2024

Republic Services Showcases Pricing Strength, Raises Dividend
Image: Republic Services’ stock has been consistently strong since the beginning of 2023. For 2024, Republic expects revenue in the range of $16.075-$16.125 billion, adjusted EBITDA in the range of $4.9-$4.925 billion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $6.15-$6.20. Adjusted free cash flow is expected to be in the range of $2.15-$2.17 billion on the year. Management continues to be shareholder friendly buying back stock, and the firm raised its quarterly dividend by $0.045, to $0.58 per share. We like Republic’s pricing strength, its attractive disposal assets, as well as its free cash flow generation. The company remains a holding in the newsletter portfolios.

Jul 7, 2024

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Jun 10, 2024

Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site.

Jun 3, 2024

Waste Management to Acquire Stericycle
Image: Waste Management’s shares have done quite well the past 12-18 months. The oligopolistic nature of the waste business is something that we like a lot, and while Waste Management’s deal for Stericycle will be more complementary in nature bringing in an incremental suite of medical waste and secure information destruction services, we have no qualms with the acquisition.

May 1, 2024

Republic Services Covers Dividends with Free Cash Flow By a Nice Margin
Image: Republic Services’ stock has had a fantastic run during the past couple years. Republic's operating cash flow expanded to $811.5 million in the quarter versus $687.7 million in the year-ago period, while free cash flow of $297 million in the quarter comfortably covered cash dividends paid in the period ($168.3 million). We continue to like Republic Services across our newsletter portfolio suite.

Apr 4, 2024

Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website.

Feb 28, 2024

Republic Services Issues Solid Guidance for 2024
Image Source: Republic Services.  Republic Services is one of our favorite industrial entities. The company has valuable property in the form of disposal facilities, and its collection operations, while always facing a competitive environment, are essential services, making its business relatively recession-resistant. Republic Services is also a strong cash-flow generator. During 2023, for example, the garbage hauler generated cash flow from operations of ~$3.618 billion (was $3.19 billion in 2022) and adjusted free cash flow of ~$1.985 billion (was $1.742 billion in 2022). The company’s cash dividends paid were $638.1 million and $592.9 million in 2023 and 2022, respectively, so Republic Services is doing a great job covering its payout with traditional measures of free cash flow.

Feb 25, 2024

We Remain Bullish; Is This 1995 – The Beginning of a Huge Stock Market Run?
Image: Large cap growth stocks have trounced the performance of the S&P 500, REITs, and bonds since the beginning of 2023. We expect continued outperformance in this area of the market. We’re now roughly four years past the depths of the COVID-19 meltdown, where equities collapsed in February and March of 2020. As the markets began to recover through 2020, our long-term conviction in equities only grew stronger. We think the biggest risk for long-term investors remains staying out of the market on the basis of what could be considered stretched valuation multiples. As we outlined heavily in the book Value Trap, valuation multiples hardly tell the complete story about a company and often omit key long-term earnings growth, cash flow dynamics, and balance sheet health considerations. We remain bullish on equities for the long haul, and we think the next couple years will be incredibly strong. Our best ideas can be found in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio, High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, and via the Exclusive publication as well as options idea generation.

Feb 13, 2024

Waste Management’s Pricing Power Is Fantastic, Sustainability Initiatives Are Noble
Image Source: TheInvertedFan. There are few industry economics that we like better than the waste management industry, and Waste Management is the leader in this oligopolistic environment. Management plans to continue buying back stock, and the firm intends to raise its dividend by $0.20 per share, to $3.00 on an annual basis, making it 21 consecutive years that it has raised its payout. Though free cash flow will face pressure from its sustainability initiatives, the company’s free cash flow generation remains robust. At a $3 per-share annualized dividend, shares of Waste Management yield ~1.6% on a forward-looking basis. Though we don’t include Waste Management in the newsletter portfolios (we include peer Republic Services in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio), the company is one of our favorites for consideration.