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Valuentum Commentary
Oct 8, 2024
PepsiCo Experiencing Subdued Growth, Business Disruptions Due to Geopolitical Tensions
Image: PepsiCo has traded sideways for most of the past couple years. For 2024, PepsiCo expects a low-single-digit increase in organic revenue (was previously approximately 4% in organic revenue growth) and at least an 8% increase in core constant currency earnings per share. PepsiCo is targeting total cash returns to shareholders of $8.2 billion for the year, comprising $7.2 billion in dividends and the balance in share repurchases. As it relates to core earnings per share, management is targeting at least $8.15, a 7% increase compared to 2023 core earnings per share of $7.62. Though PepsiCo’s results weren’t great with subdued category trends in North America and business disruptions from geopolitical tensions, we still like shares as a key diversifier in the portfolio of the Best Ideas Newsletter. Sep 26, 2024
An Important Measure of Leverage for Dividend-Growth and Income-Oriented Shareholders, One That Is Dividend-Adjusted
As more and more investors rely on company dividends for income, dividends, in our view, have become more debt-like commitments in nature, especially from the perspective of dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders. Years ago, we rolled out a measure of financial leverage that considers both the company’s debt and the present value of its future expected cash dividend obligations, which, in the eyes of die-hard dividend-growth or income-oriented shareholders, may be implicitly assumed to be debt-like commitments in substance. We think this leverage ratio can be used in conjunction with the Dividend Cushion ratio to gain additional insight into the dividend-paying financial health of an entity. Sep 19, 2024
Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios. Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks. Jul 11, 2024
PepsiCo Adjusts Organic Revenue Growth Guidance
Image: PepsiCo’s shares have been choppy since the beginning of 2022. We’re not reading too much into PepsiCo's modest downward organic revenue growth guidance revision for 2024 (approximated 4% versus at least 4%), as the firm's underlying profitability remains strong, with expectations for at least 8% core constant currency expansion in 2024. Total cash returns to shareholders is targeted at $8.2 billion for 2024, consisting of dividends of $7.2 billion and share repurchases of $1 billion. For the 24 weeks ended June 15, PepsiCo had negative free cash flow, while it retained a hefty net debt position on the balance sheet. Though PepsiCo is not a net-cash-rich, free cash flow generating powerhouse, we like the diversification benefits it provides in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Jun 10, 2024
Update: Frequently Asked Questions About Valuentum Securities, Inc.
Valuentum (val∙u∙n∙tum) [val-yoo-en-tuh-m] Securities Inc. is an independent investment research publisher, offering premium equity reports and dividend reports, as well as commentary across all sectors/companies, a Best Ideas Newsletter (spanning market caps, asset classes), a Dividend Growth Newsletter, modeling tools/products, and more. Independence and integrity remain our core, and we strive to be a champion of the investor. Valuentum is based in the Chicagoland area. Valuentum is not a money manager, broker, or financial advisor. Valuentum is a publisher of financial information. We address a number of questions from both subscribers and visitors to our site. May 17, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the website. May 3, 2024
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of May 3
Let's take a look at firms raising/lowering their dividends this week. Apr 23, 2024
PepsiCo Has Raised Dividends in Each of the Past 50+ Years
Image: Pepsi’s shares continue to be choppy, but we like its consecutive annual dividend growth streak. On April 23, PepsiCo reported solid first-quarter 2024 results that showed a beat on both the top and bottom lines. The beverage and snacks giant plans to return $8.2 billion in cash to shareholders during 2024, with dividends accounting for $7.2 billion and share buybacks the balance. We love PepsiCo’s consecutive annual dividend growth streak, and the firm continues to deliver where it counts. Mar 11, 2024
You Already Own Whatever Your Investment Will Pay You in Dividends
Image Source: Images Money. Stocks are generally valued on the present value of all their future free cash flows, which already include future dividend payments. A company’s dividend policy may impact an investor’s eagerness to pay a higher price for shares on the basis of a higher yield, but the dividend is a symptom of future free cash flows (and therefore intrinsic value), not the driver behind it. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
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