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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Latest Valuentum Commentary

Oct 29, 2024
Momentum Across Alphabet’s Business Is “Extraordinary”
Image: Shares of Alphabet look poised to break out to all-time highs. Alphabet ended the quarter with $93.2 billion in total cash and marketable securities and long-term debt of $12.3 billion. Cash flow from operations in the quarter was $30.7 billion, while capital spending totaled $13.1 billion, resulting in robust free cash flow generation of $17.6 billion. Year-to-date, cash flow from operations was $86.2 billion on capital spending of $38.3 billion, good for free cash flow generation of $47.9 billion. Alphabet also announced a cash dividend of $0.20 per share, to be paid to each of the company’s Class A, Class B, and Class C shares. Our fair value estimate stands at $188 per share.
Sep 30, 2024
DOJ Antitrust Lawsuits Targeting Our Top Two Ideas: V and GOOG
Image: Alphabet's and Visa's shares have performed remarkably well since the beginning of 2023. We received a number of questions regarding the DOJ's investigation into anticompetitive practices for two of the top ideas in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. Antitrust news with respect to Alphabet’s ad search business and Visa’s debit card business is nothing surprising, but it speaks to the positives and dominance behind their business models, something we like quite a bit. Any outcome of an antitrust lawsuit is uncertain and could result in a settlement and potential other action, including divestitures.
Sep 19, 2024
Brain Teaser - Reflexive versus Reflective
Image: Amy Leonard. Valuation multiples tend to trigger the reflexive side of our brain, and we process the multiples through anchoring. On the other hand, enterprise valuation, or the process required to answer the questions (in this article) correctly, shows that our reflexive process can be quite incorrect at times. In fact, cognitive biases such as anchoring can completely trip us up into missing out on truly undervalued companies that may have high P/E ratios while baiting us into value traps with low P/E ratios.
Sep 10, 2024
Oracle Expects Increased Revenue Growth Throughout Fiscal 2025
Image: Oracle’s shares have performed quite well during the past couple years. Oracle remains a key idea in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio as well as the ESG Newsletter portfolio, and its fiscal first quarter results support our bullish take on the name. Though Oracle has a rather large net debt position, free cash flow remains robust, while the company capitalizes on its total remaining performance obligations, which advanced 53% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis. We liked the commentary about revenue growth to accelerate throughout fiscal year 2025, and we point to the high end of our fair value estimate range ($178 per share) for shares.
Aug 25, 2024
Latest Report Updates
Check out the latest report updates on the site.
Aug 9, 2024
Paper: Value and Momentum Within Stocks, Too
Abstract: This paper strives to advance the field of finance in four ways: 1) it extends the theory of the “The Arithmetic of Active Management” to the investor level; 2) it addresses certain data problems of factor-based methods, namely with respect to value and book-to-market ratios, while introducing price-to-fair-value ratios in a factor-based approach; 3) it may lay the foundation for academic literature regarding the Valuentum, the value-timing, and ultra-momentum factors; and 4) it walks through the potential relative outperformance that may be harvested at the intersection of relevant, unique and compensated factors within individual stocks.
Aug 4, 2024
Jul 27, 2024
Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle™ Rating
Image shown: An examination of the problem that might arise by focusing exclusively on companies that have economic moats, or sustainable and durable competitive advantages.Without an economic castle, an economic moat doesn’t matter. Let's examine Valuentum's Economic Castle™ rating.
Jul 24, 2024
Alphabet’s Free Cash Flow Faces Pressure in Second Quarter
Image: Alphabet’s shares have performed well so far in 2024. Alphabet reported solid second quarter results with strong performance across its operating segments. In the quarter, Google Cloud revenue came in better than expectations, while YouTube ads missed only slightly. Alphabet now pays a dividend, and it continues to aggressively buy back stock. The company’s free cash flow faced pressure in the quarter due to investments to drive innovation, and while this may pressure ROICs in the coming periods, we still like Alphabet as an idea in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio.
Jul 19, 2024
Netflix Still Has a Long Runway of Growth Ahead of It
Image Source: Netflix. Netflix reported solid second quarter results and raised its forward-looking guidance for the full year 2024. The company is winning the streaming wars and has a long runway of future membership growth given the 80% of TV time it and Youtube don’t already own. Its nascent ads business continues to gain traction, too. Netflix still expects to haul in free cash flow of $6 billion in 2024, as it continues to buy back stock. The company ended the quarter with $14 billion in gross debt versus cash and cash equivalents of $6.7 billion. We think Netflix is performing well, but we're already quite tech heavy in the newsletter portfolios and won't be adding shares to any portfolio at this time.


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The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees, and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.