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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Jul 19, 2018
Johnson & Johnson Powers Ahead, Litigation Overhang Remains
Image Source: J&J quarterly presentation. Amid headline pressure from consumer lawsuits, Johnson & Johnson continues to execute well, as evidenced by its solid second quarter report.
Jul 13, 2018
What Are the Downside Risks of Gilead Sciences?
We think the risk-reward at Gilead remains positively skewed in investors’ favor, but let’s examine the downside case for Gilead Sciences so there are no surprises. It’s always a good approach to evaluate where an investor may go wrong with an investment idea, and assessing upside and downside cases, as in a fair value range, remains par for the course.
Jul 12, 2018
ETF Analysis: Dividends
Dividend ETFs offer potential for reasonable income generation without the risk of relying on any one company. Variety is abundant for a group so similarly focused.
Jul 10, 2018
Biogen Hits a Potential Home Run
We closely follow the progress of the clinical pipeline of companies in the pharma/biotech sector. Unlike other less product-driven industries, the pharma/biotech sector can experience wide swings in operating performance as a result of the lapsing of patent protection on key drugs, underscoring the importance of innovation to replace aging products. Biogen may have hit a home run in the critical field of Alzheimer's, an area of tremendous untapped need.
Jul 6, 2018
Indexing Moves Markets and Creates Inefficiencies
We think the example of Longfin Corp shows definitively that index investing moves markets and can create inefficiencies. In a prior paper, we introduced the concept of expectations “errors” as it relates to testing market efficiency, and in this paper, we strive to identify the foundational element that may help explain not only that inefficiencies exist because of index investing, but also the drivers behind such inefficiencies, illustrated as function of shares purchased by index trackers to achieve the respective index weight as a percentage of the number of shares in the company’s float. It may not be whether indexing moves markets or causes inefficiencies, but rather, how frequently and by how much.
Jun 28, 2018
Amazon: The Destroyer of Other Companies’ Profits
Image Source: Victor. Amazon is stepping into the pharmacy business with the purchase of online pharmacy start-up PillPack. The market is implying the move will prove to be more than just a headache for those operating in the drug store/pharmacy and drug-distributor complex. Whether the impact will be significantly material in the coming years remains to be seen, but it’s a big directional negative for impacted parties.
Jun 26, 2018
General Electric Stripping Businesses, Dividend in Aggregate
Image source: GE investor presentation. Once a seemingly unshakable component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and one of the most-recognizable industrial firms in the world, General Electric announced further divestiture plans of its sprawling portfolio of businesses. More changes are in store for its dividend as well.
Jun 24, 2018
Aiding in Misbehaving
Download the full paper in this article.
Jun 24, 2018
Owens & Minor: Dividend At Risk, But Shares Not Expensive
We’re fans of consistent dividend payers with strong free-cash-flow coverage and solid balance sheets, but we remain very skeptical of companies with a dividend that seems “too good to be true” as the eye-popping dividend is often a byproduct of an egregious drop in the price of the stock. We believe Owens & Minor is an example of an overleveraged, slow-growth entity that may have trouble maintaining its dividend in coming years. We value shares at $20 each, however, so the market may be overreacting a bit on the downside.
Jun 22, 2018
Internet Sales Taxes and Restructuring the U.S. Post Office
The Supreme Court has been active in creating revenue opportunities for states, as in legalizing sports betting and most recently in facilitating the collection of online sales taxes. The White House has floated the idea of reorganizing the U.S. Postal Service, but we think this endeavor represents more of a tail risk for Stamps.com than anything else. Though we expect smaller online retailers to feel some pressure as a result of the online sales tax ruling (Amazon already collects online sales taxes), we don’t think the ruling, while leveling the playing field for some brick-and-mortar retailers, will change the fate of many aging department stores such as J.C. Penney and Sears, both of which may not make it to the other side of the next downturn with shareholder capital intact.



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