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Aug 9, 2018
ETF Analysis: Technology
Technology sector ETFs have something for just about every kind of investor. Aug 7, 2018
Gilead Sciences at the Crossroads
We continue to be big fans of the transformation currently underway at Gilead Sciences. That said, however, we were initially surprised by CEO John Milligan’s decision to step down. Aug 6, 2018
Valuentum’s Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Distribution
The weighted average cost of capital is one of the most subjective measures in corporate finance, but it is also one of the most important ones. Aug 1, 2018
Johnson & Johnson: Headline Risk But Business Solid
We remain big fans of the steady hand displayed by the venerable Johnson & Johnson as the pharmaceutical bellwether continues to perform admirably. During its second-quarter results, we came away impressed with the continued strength in the Oncology division, which masks the deceleration in growth in Cardiovascular Disease. There continues to be headline risk with respect to talcum powder litigation, but J&J’s underlying business remains solid, in our view. Jul 30, 2018
Facebook: $236 Fair Value Estimate, Now Rated 6 on the Valuentum Buying Index
Image Source: Facebook's second-quarter slide presentation. We were blindsided by Facebook’s outlook, and so was the market. Nobody feels worse about the Facebook idea than we do. Not only was Facebook a top weighting on the Valuentum Buying Index, but it also grew to a rather large position in the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio. We added Facebook to the simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio at $112.10 in January 2016, and a good portion of its outsize returns have been eroded since its peak at ~$220. We still like shares, but for the company to return to top-rated status, the market would have to get behind it in the form of an advancing stock price. Jul 26, 2018
Facebook Wounds Self-Inflicted, Margin Guidance Issued to Ease Political Pressure
Social media giant Facebook released disappointing operating-margin guidance for the next couple years during its second quarter earnings call, and shares were promptly crushed. We are putting the company’s fair value estimate under review with expectations of a modest downward revision, but we think the company has the ability to absorb growing expenses and capital spending, both of which are almost completely under its control. Jul 26, 2018
Visa, PayPal Impacted by One-Time Items; Fundamentals Remain Strong
Image shown: The share-price performance of Visa (V) and PayPal (PYPL), top chart, since PayPal split from eBay (EBAY), relative to S&P 500 (SPY), bottom chart.Simulated Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio ideas Visa and PayPal both had their calendar second quarter results impacted by one-time items, but we continue to like these strong companies that operate in the very attractive financial technology services industry. Jul 19, 2018
Johnson & Johnson Powers Ahead, Litigation Overhang Remains
Image Source: J&J quarterly presentation. Amid headline pressure from consumer lawsuits, Johnson & Johnson continues to execute well, as evidenced by its solid second quarter report. Jul 13, 2018
What Are the Downside Risks of Gilead Sciences?
We think the risk-reward at Gilead remains positively skewed in investors’ favor, but let’s examine the downside case for Gilead Sciences so there are no surprises. It’s always a good approach to evaluate where an investor may go wrong with an investment idea, and assessing upside and downside cases, as in a fair value range, remains par for the course. Jul 12, 2018
ETF Analysis: Dividends
Dividend ETFs offer potential for reasonable income generation without the risk of relying on any one company. Variety is abundant for a group so similarly focused.
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