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Valuentum Commentary
Dec 11, 2017
Video: Nelson's Active Management Theorem, Poker and "High Society," Inertia and the Value-Growth Conundrum
President of Investment Research Brian Nelson details his simple new theorem of the stock market that may change everything you believe. Nelson explains using poker as an example, and he goes on to caution about the concept of inertia, and how investing has somehow transformed into a "game" -- if investors truly believe there are 'value' and 'growth' stocks. A must-watch intrigue. Running time: ~11 minutes. Dec 2, 2017
Nobel Prize-Winning Economist Robert Shiller On Indexing
Video: Robert Shiller on what worries him about passive investing -- from CNBC. Nov 26, 2017
How to Think About Corporate Tax Reform
Image Source: DonkeyHotey. Donald Trump and team are working hard to “Make America Great Again,” and lowering tax rates on corporations is a key initiative. Nobody knows for sure whether such efforts will come to fruition, but knowing how to use our research and understanding the fair value estimate range puts you ahead of the crowd, if it hasn’t already. Oct 23, 2017
Earnings Roundup: Unilever, Procter & Gamble, Kimberly-Clark
We love the business models of consumer staples, but recent fundamental performance hasn’t been great, and valuations are a bit stretched. Unilever is blaming natural disasters in the US for its underlying sales growth shortfalls, Procter & Gamble has to deliver now that it defeated Nelson Peltz, and Kimberly-Clark’s meager top-line expansion may not support its valuation. A good business does not always make a good stock. Sep 8, 2017
The Wisdom of Oaktree's Howard Marks
Image Source: emmolos. The latest memo from Oaktree's Howard Marks here should be read and then read again. The section on passive investing is an absolute treasure. "Passive investing is done in vehicles that make no judgments about the soundness of companies and the fairness of prices. More than $1 billion is flowing daily to “passive managers” (there’s an oxymoron for you) who buy regardless of price. I’ve always viewed index funds as “freeloaders” who make use of the consensus decisions of active investors for free. How comfortable can investors be these days, now that fewer and fewer active decisions are being made?" -- Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital Sep 7, 2017
Adviser Fees on Indexed Assets Can Eat Up Your Nest Egg?
Indexing sounds like an easy way to track the market's performance, but if your indexed assets are held in financial advisors' accounts, it can come with a big cost: significant underperformance. Over 20 years, we estimate in this hypothetical example that the cumulative cost as a result of a 1% annual financial advisor fee on indexed assets can amount to as much as 66% of a saver's initial investment -- just for holding an index fund. Please be careful out there! Aug 1, 2017
Coca-Cola, Pepsi, Kimberly-Clark: Great Businesses But Lofty Earnings Multiples and Net Debt Positions
We love the business models of some of the most well-known consumer-staples equities, namely Coca-Cola, Pepsi, and Kimberly-Clark, but lofty earnings multiples and net debt positions complicate their investment prospects. Little to no top line growth only further muddies the picture. Jul 25, 2017
Stocks in the News: Kinder Morgan, Union Pacific, Colgate-Palmolive
Let’s cover the quarterly reports from a few industry bellwethers. Jul 17, 2017
ETF Analysis: Consumer Staples
The consumer staples sector boasts some of the strongest business models, but investors should not ignore the lofty valuations of underlying ETF constituents. Jul 14, 2017
Systemic Risk in These Frothy Times
Image shown: Nelson's Syllogism of the Stock Market. Let’s talk about index investing, market valuations, and mention how a few ideas in the portfolio of the Best Ideas Newsletter are doing. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
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